Thursday , February 22 2018
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Champions League Group Stage Value Bets Wednesday

Wednesday night’s games are full of low priced favourites and that could make it difficult to pick out some winners. Regardless I’m going to go through Groups E to H and see what can be found.

Liverpool have been solid performers in the Champions League this season and have almost sewn up qualification for the next round. One more point will be enough from them to secure Champions League participation in 2018 but only a win guarantees them top spot. Spartak Moscow are basically battling it out for the second spot but there is a chance of finishing top of the group if Maribor can somehow overcome Sevilla in the groups other game.

My only bet in either of these two games is Both Teams To Score in Liverpool v Spartak Moscow. The Liverpool defense is a bit leaky but their front line is formidable. 18bet are way ahead of the market here with odds of 2.13 if you have an account there. The rest of us will have to be happy with the 1.91 on offer from William Hill or Ladbrokes for our football betting picks.

Group F probably has the best games of the night with Feyenoord v Napoli and Shakhtar Donetsk v Manchester City. Manchester City are already qualified as group winners and I don’t think the half million pounds for winning the group means a lot to them so they may rest some players for the Manchester derby at the weekend. I don’t have anything for any of these games as the odds are just too low.

Group G is still quite open. Ok, Besiktas have qualified (who’d have thought that when this group was announced) as group winners and Monaco (last season’s semi-finalists) are bottom of the group, not to pass “Go” and not to pick up £200. RB Leipzig have improved from their early season form but to make them strong favourites for this one seems a little bizarre. I’m not brave enough to go for an outright Besiktas win but I will take Besiktas +0.5 which you can pick up for around 3.6 (average odds). Porto v Monaco looks like a home win and the bookies have it tied up tight.

Our last Group is what was termed the Group of Death when the names were originally called out. With Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund andAPOEL in the group, the third wheel was expected to be Tottenham Hotspur who did not shine at Wembley last season. The Tottenham v APOEL game is a dead rubber for Spurs who have already won their group. APOEL can take the third spot (that qualifies for the Europa League) and need to better Dortmund’s result at Real Madrid. Spurs may take the opportunity to rotate in this one and regulars like Harry Kane may be rested for a busy Christmas schedule. I’m not betting on that one but I do think Real Madrid will win at home against Borussia Dortmund, I suspect they’ll put out a strong team to make some kind of statement and I’m going for Real Madrid -1.5 in this one at 2.32 with Pinnacle.

That closes out the group games for the Champions League this season. In a few days, we’ll have a much better idea of who the runners and riders for overall winners could be. Check out the Tuesday UCL predictions here.

About Justin Hilbert

Justin Hilbert

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