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Australian Open – Tennis Odds Analysis

After several upsets and remarkable battles in the first days of the Australian Open, it’s time to take a look to the current odds and the most valuable players to keep an eye on this event.

Men’s Competition
Surprisingly, the two undeniable favourites – Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray – are already out of the competition. After Djokovic’s defeat in the 2nd round against Denis Istomin, this seemed to be a perfect opportunity for Murray to grab his first Australian Open title. However, the world no.1 suffered a shocking defeat in the 4th round against Mischa Zverev. Regardless of what happens in the rest of the tournament, this Australian Open 2017 is already one of the most surprising events in the history of tennis.

After an incredible five-set victory over Kei Nishikori, Roger Federer is now the main favourite to win his 5th Australian Open title at 4.00 at William Hill. His fellow countryman – Stan Wawrinka – is the right behind him at 5.00 at Paddy Power while Milos Raonic is available at the same price at Ladbrokes. Besides these three, Rafael Nadal is also one of the main contenders with Bet365 offering 6.00 for the Spaniard to win 15th Grand Slam trophy.

Despite some concerns about Roger’s ability to play a long match against a top player, Federer cleared all the doubts with a phenomenal performance against Nishikori. The Swiss shouldn’t experience any major problems in the following round against the surprising Mischa Zverev, which will be important for him in order to save energy for the following rounds. In the semi-finals, Roger will face the winner of the match between Stan Wawrinka and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Due to his edge over these opponents’ and since he shouldn’t spend much time on court against Zverev, there is good value on Federer’s price to reach the final at 2.50 at Bet365.

On the bottom half of the draw, it’s quite difficult to predict which player will be the decisive match. Even though Raonic is the favorite, Nadal is always a fearful opponent on Grand Slam events. However, the Spaniard has a very difficult match in the 4th round against Gael Monfils. Adding to these two, Grigor Dimitrov is also in great shape and extremely confident after his straight-sets victory over Richard Gasquet.

Due to the lack of value on the “To Reach Final” market in the bottom half of the draw, we’ll focus our attentions on the “4th Quarter Winner”. Even though Dimitrov is playing at a great level, David Goffin is never an easy opponent due to his outstanding counter punching skills. The Belgian can create an upset on this side of the draw, which makes him a good underdog to win this 4th quarter at 4.00 at Paddy Power.

Women’s Competition
It has been a great start of the tournament for Serena Williams with three solid performances against Belinda Bencic, Lucie Safarova, and Nicole Gibbs. Looking to Serena’s numbers on the first three matches, the highlight clearly goes to her serve. Besides placing solid percentages with 59.30% first serve in, the American also won 88.90% of her service games with an impressive average of 1.00 ace per service game.

While Serena started her campaign in Melbourne at a very high level, Angelique Kerber suffered a disappointing loss in the 4th round against Coco Vandeweghe.

Taking a look now at the outright market, Serena continues to be the favourite with her best price available at Bet365 at 2.62. After Kerber’s elimination, Garbine Muguruza is now the top contender on the top half of the draw with BetVictor offering 6.00 for her success in Melbourne. Even though it won’t be easy for Garbine to win the title in a potential final against Serena, there is good value on the Spaniard’s price to reach the final at 2.10 at Bet365.

Known as one of the biggest servers in the history of the game, Karolina Pliskova is going through a terrific moment in her career. After two easy wins, Pliskova featured a remarkable comeback against Jelena Ostapenko, showing that regardless of the result she’ll always keep fighting. Due to Agnieszka Radwanska’s elimination and Karolina’s outstanding level in recent months, the Czech is the undeniable favourite to win the 3rd quarter with Coral offering 1.57 for Pliskova to reach the semi-finals.

About Zack Jones

Zack Jones
Copywriter for Oddsmarket, specialist in Football, tennis and NBA.

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