Thursday , February 22 2018
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Bundesliga Weekend Match Value

Round 8 of the Bundesliga starts with Borussia Dortmund 5 points clear at the top and Bayern Munich looking back to a former legend to get them back up to top spot. With Bayern facing a winnable game against Freiburg and Dortmund up against last season’s surprise package RB Leipzig, while we may not see a change in leadership, there is a chance things could get closer.

The Friday night game is between VfB Stuttgart and FC Köln. Köln have a pretty good record in the reverse fixture but Stuttgart have picked up the majority of wins when playing at home. Pinnacle are offering 2.04 on that happening again and considering Köln’s lowly position in the league, that might be worth considering.

Bayern Munich are such strong favourites against visitors Freiburg that there are some very tempting odds on the other side of the equation. With no real history of success in this game though (they’ve only won 11% of their games against Bayern) I couldn’t justify that as a bet. With Jupp Heynckes back in charge, perhaps Bayern will shake off their early season lethargy. No bet for me but a game that could have pointers towards the future.

Hannover v Eintracht Frankfurt is another game I have to skip over. There is no value in this one for me and both sides have been so even in their matches against each other recently that I couldn’t split them.

Hertha Berlin v Schalke has a potential bet I can get behind though. Schalke are the side to back here and there is value on multiple fronts. These two sit next to each other in the table, barring a draw, that won’t be the case after 90 minutes. Schalke to win away from home is at 2.95 with Pinnacle.

Two very even sides meet in the Hoffenheim v Augsburg match. Both are doing well in the league and both have a good history of winning this fixture. Whatever you do, don’t bet on the draw, there is normally a winner in these games.

Mainz take on Hamburg at the Opel Arena and put simply, Mainz should win this. Hamburg are a bit of a basket case though and you don’t know when they’ll pull a decent performance out of the bag. For that reason, I’m avoiding this one.

Borussia Dortmund face up against RB Leipzig in the last match of the day and although this will be s stern test for the home side, the bookies have them down as strong favourites. Value is hard to find in this one and it would be too easy to stretch to something like a half time draw. I’m staying sensible this week though and avoiding the temptation.

Sunday gets started with Bayer Leverkusen v Wolfsburg and while I’m sure it will be a good match, it’s not the one I have my eye on. Instead I’m looking to the second game of the day where I’ll be backing Borussia Monchengladbach as they travel to Werder Bremen’s home ground. I’m already on the 2.63 offered by bet365. I’ll leave it up to you whether or not you join me.

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