The Champions League can be a bit of a gold mine when things are going right, but there are certain times in a competition where you need to take things steady and play the more obvious selections. Of course, the bookies sometimes get things wrong and leave some value on the table, and those are the bets that interest me the most and where I’ll be concentrating in this article.
I’m only betting on one of Tuesday’s Champions League Round of 16 games, and that will be the Juventus v Tottenham match. This one seems to have a fairly predictable script: Tottenham are the upstarts in this year’s European competition and now they’re up against the grizzled stalwarts of the cup. With home advantage, the more experienced side should gain themselves an advantage to take into the second leg of the round.
Unfortunately (for Spurs fans like myself), I can’t see the script being torn up here. In a game where you have the best defence in Italy against one of the best defences in England, this is not where we’re going to see a lot of goals. In fact, I don’t see more than one, so my bet is under 1.5 goals at 3 with BetVictor.
Moving on to Wednesday night, and I’ve got a little something in both games. Up first is Porto v Liverpool and this should be a highly-entertaining game. Liverpool don’t know how to play cagey football so they will be on the front foot looking to win this one. Porto have more experience in European competitions and will have the nous to take advantage of any Liverpool slip.
With home advantage I like chances for Porto to get (a little) something out of this one. I’m on the draw at 3.6, that’s available at several bookies so shop around for the best odds you can get (I recommend SBROdds.com).
Kicking off at the same time is the game of the round. Real Madrid welcome Paris Saint-Germain to the Bernabeu and this one is a match of pedigree against cold hard cash. PSG have spent a lot of money to get themselves into a position where they expect to play games like this. Real Madrid have the recent pedigree and a whole lot more Champions League experience than their opponents.
Why, then, am I going for a PSG win? The simple answer is: pace. Real Madrid will be hard to break down and tactically on point. The one thing that almost no tactic can account for is outright pace and PSG have that in abundance. I’m backing the away side to pull off a shock at odds of 2.85 with Pinnacle here. It should be a great game and definitely one I’m looking forward to.