The odds on Man City winning the Premiership title have plummeted following their impressive 1-0 victory over Chelsea at the weekend. Pep Guardiola’s men made it four clean sheets in a row as they held on to take three points at Stamford Bridge. It points to a newfound defensive resolve that helped them shrug off an injury to leading goalscorer Sergio Aguero and move back above fierce rivals Man Utd into the top spot.
Before the weekend, City were best priced at 1.95 to win the title and they moved out further on the back of Utd’s thumping 4-0 victory over Crystal Palace. Now they are as low as 1.66 with most bookmakers and best priced at 1.73 with William Hill and Stan James. Man City were the underdogs at the Bridge as champions Chelsea were bang in form, but the Citizens made a mockery of that by landing a victory that was more comfortable than the scoreline suggests. Belgian midfielder Kevin De Bruyne blasted in a superb winner against his former club as City enjoyed 62% of the possession and had 17 shots to Chelsea’s four. It was an emphatic statement from the league leaders and provided further evidence that they have found a greater degree of solidity than in previous years.
They are still unbeaten and have now won six out of seven games, scoring 22 goals and conceding just two. Further clean sheets against Feyenoord and Shaktar Donetsk in the Champions League point to this stronger defensive core and vindicate the club’s decision to spend a fortune on a new goalkeeper and three full-backs this summer. They have been rocked by the news that Benjamin Mendy is out for the season with a bad knee injury, but Danilo has deputized superbly. Captain Vincent Kompany has not been missed at the back as John Stones has been far less error-prone and Nicolas Otamendi has seriously upped his game.
The loss of Aguero, who broke his ribs in a car crash, is a blow, but City have fantastic strength in depth in attack. Gabriel Jesus, Leroy Sane, and Raheem Sterling are all in sensational form and banging in plenty of goals, while £45 million new boy Bernardo Silva is also competing for a place. With De Bruyne and David Silva pulling the strings, City’s attack is currently irresistible, and most of the recent action is going on them.
That means it is a good time to back their rivals. Black Type has 7/2 on Man Utd winning the title, while Betway and Sun Bets are offering 3/1, and those are interesting prices. Utd are level on points with City, they have conceded the same number of goals and they have scored just one fewer. They are tall and powerful and full of pace and intelligence, with Romelu Lukaku emerging as a ferocious attacking talent. Jose Mourinho has a habit of winning the title in his second season at a club, and they could make a good bet at that price. However, Utd are yet to face anyone of note, whereas City have already beaten Chelsea and Liverpool, hence the short odds on Guardiola’s side.
Chelsea are in trouble and slipped down to fourth after the defeat, but they are just six points behind and the prices being offered on the champions (11/1 at Black Type, 10/1 at Paddy Power) look attractive, at least as an each-way shout. The Blues started the season poorly last time around but made up the ground to win the league comfortably. Alvaro Morata’s injury is a blow, but they have Eden Hazard to still return to his best and could yet have a say in the title race. A longer shot would be Tottenham, who have been poor at home and suffered from a European hangover but are third thanks to their magnificent away form. Spurs are 15/1 with 10Bet.