Best value bets for NFL Week 5

Martin Green

Tuesday, October 2, 2018 6:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018 6:09 PM UTC

We are now a quarter of the way through the regular NFL season and several statistical trends are emerging to help punters beat the bookmakers.

<h2><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/american-football/us/national-football-league/baltimore-vs-cleveland-3452727?mtid=401" target="_blank" title="Check Baltimore - Cleveland Odds">Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns</a></h2><p>The Ravens should be surging with confidence at present after going to Pittsburgh and beating the highly rated Steelers 26-14. The Baltimore offence outgained the Steelers by 167 yards, while the Ravens defence was solid as a rock. They frustrated Ben Roethlisberger superbly at Baltimore have emerged as real contenders in the AFC North. They are level at the top of the division, along with the Bengals, as both teams are 3-1. The Browns, meanwhile, have gone 1-2-1 and they slumped to a demoralising 45-42 defeat against Oakland. They conceded 21 points in the final frame, which is worrying form. The Ravens have won their last five games against the Browns, while Cleveland are 0-4 against the spread versus Baltimore under Hue Jackson. Baltimore are 10/11 with various bookmakers to cover a -1.5 point handicap spread and that looks like an excellent choice. The Browns have the worst record against the spread over the past two years in the NFL, and betting against them has often been a profitable enterprise.</p><p> </p><h2><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/american-football/us/national-football-league/minnesota-vs-philadelphia-3452731?mtid=401" target="_blank" title="Check Minnesota - Philadelphia Odds">Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles</a></h2><p>This is a repeat of last season’s NFC Championship game, in which the Eagles defied their underdog status to annihilate the Vikings and surge into the Super Bowl. The big game was being held in Minnesota, so Philadelphia denied the Vikings a fantastic opportunity to seize glory on home soil. Instead they had to watch on as the Eagles vanquished the Patriots in the Super Bowl, but now they have a shot at revenge. Yet it will be extremely difficult to come by. The Eagles are 11-1 in their last 12 games at Liberty Financial Field, which they have turned into a real fortress. Star QB Carson Wentz is now back from injury, but the offensive line afforded him dreadful protection as Philadelphia lost 26-23 in overtime against the Titans in week four.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;What the heck happened to the Eagles' offensive line? &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/Td7Lyi89Nl\"&gt;https://t.co/Td7Lyi89Nl&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Reuben Frank (@RoobNBCS) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/RoobNBCS/status/1046578215916048384?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;1 de outubro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>They have a lot of work on the training ground to do, but at home they should be able to beat the Vikings. They are 4/7 to do so, which could go into an accumulator, but for more value you can give them a 3-point handicap and back them to <a href="https://a.bookmakersreview.com/record/v?c=132&amp;a=e605009c-af6d-4596-a06f-dbd28d37b12f&amp;f=2" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Check this top rated Bookmaker!">cover the spread at 20/23 with Bet365</a>, Ladbrokes and Bet Victor.</p><p> </p><h2><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/american-football/us/national-football-league/atlanta-vs-pittsburgh-3452728?mtid=401" target="_blank" title="Check Atlanta - Pittsburgh Odds">Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers</a></h2><p>Atlanta succumbed to a heart-breaking 37-36 defeat at the hands of the Bengals in week four, leaving them 1-3 for the season. The Steelers are also licking their wounds after that 26-14 defeat to Baltimore left them 2-2. Yet history is very much on Pittsburgh’s side now, so they should feel optimistic about their chances of returning to winning ways at the weekend. In their last seven games against AFC teams, the Falcons are 0-7 straight up, and 1-6 against the spread. They have never won in Pittsburgh, losing six and drawing one of their seven visits. The Steelers are 4-point underdogs, and they look a good bet to cover that spread.</p><p> </p><h2><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/american-football/us/national-football-league/dallas-vs-houston-3452734?mtid=401" target="_blank" title="Check Dallas - Houston Odds">Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans</a></h2><p>The battle of Texas takes place at primetime in the US, and the Cowboys are 10-2 in 12 primetime appearances since QB Dak Prescott arrived in 2016. In that time they are 7-4-1 against the spread, while the Texans are 4-15-1 against the spread in their last 20 primetime games, suggesting they do not relish the spotlight. Dallas delivered a great offensive performance to overwhelm the Lions in a 26-24 victory in week four, leaving them 2-2 for the season as they benefited from the brilliant form of Ezekiel Elliott. The Texans arrested a run of three straight defeats to secure an over-time win against the Colts, but they have the sort of leaky defence that Dallas should relish playing against. Bet365 has 21/20 on Dallas +3 and that looks interesting, while the <a href="https://a.bookmakersreview.com/record/v?c=132&amp;a=26ea6fa8-c86d-4d9d-9328-b4c0b06702ae&amp;f=2" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with Unibet!">7/8 that Unibet is offering</a> on Dallas +4 looks great.</p>
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