Five Must Bet NFL Regular Season Win Totals For The NFC

Jason Paglia

Friday, May 17, 2019 8:15 PM UTC

Friday, May. 17, 2019 8:15 PM UTC

This is part two of the first NFL article of the season for Odds Market. It’s an honor to write about the greatest sport on earth, on one of the best sports betting platforms on the interwebs. I’m done now, let's do this.
<div><h2>Chicago Bears</h2><p>In the span of one year, the Chicago Bears went from zero to hero in the NFC North. Now in Matt Nagy’s sophomore season as head coach, he faces a much tougher schedule to navigate through in the 2019 season, including the dreaded London trip. Mitch Trubisky played well last season, but if we are being honest… he didn’t have to do much. The Bears defense was legit last season. They finished last year with the 4th best DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) in the National Football League, which in my opinion is the best defensive analytic stat to use when handicapping pro football. Although you would expect the Bears defense to have another top 5 year, it’s worth noting that they lost Defensive Coordinator Vic Fangio to the Denver Broncos this year. How will the defensive scheme change with a new captain of the ship? We don’t know. Combine that with a mediocre draft class and underwhelming free agency pickups in the offseason and it spells regression to me. I don’t think anyone sees the Bears going (12-4) again this season, but I think they regress even more than the average fan out there does. The NFC North had a REALLY down year in 2018. I expect a more competitive division to chip away at last year’s record. That and the NFL’s 5th hardest schedule tells me <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank">it’s UNDER or pass</a>.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1d9e90082b6d5fb05682/original-chicago-bears" style="width:750px;height:500px;" /></p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1e5290082b6d5fb05686/original-chicago-bears" style="width:750px;height:291px;" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://usatftw.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/usatsi_10499035-1.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1" style="width:750px;height:450px;" /></h2><h2>San Francisco 49ers</h2><p>OK, let me preface this by saying I am so on the Jimmy G train. I love everything about him. When healthy he is one of the 8 best quarterbacks in the NFL. The key phrase in the previous sentence is, ‘when healthy’. Admittedly, Jimmy Garoppolo has a huge problem staying on the field. This is one of those win totals where you hold your nose, bet the over and hope Garoppolo can stay on the field. If he does, I am confident that this win total goes over. He has been fantastic when on the field. Garoppolo has won 8 of the first 10 games he has started. The last 49ers quarterback that did that was blackballed for taking a knee during the national anthem. Let's assume Garoppolo can stay healthy. 49ers GM John Lynch has built a talented roster 1 through 52 but his best signing of all was head coach Kyle Shanahan. Why the Atlanta Falcons didn’t give him the head coaching job two years ago is beyond me but, one team's garbage is another team's treasure. Is Kyle Shanahan 10-22 as a head coach? YES. Is he still one of the two best young coaches in pro football? YES. I know everything has to go right, but the win total is low enough that I am willing to take a chance that Jimmy G’s body holds up this year. <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank">Let’s go OVER</a>.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1e7390082b6d5fb05687/original-san-francisco-49-ers" style="width:750px;height:407px;" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://imagesvc.timeincapp.com/v3/mm/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn-s3.si.com%2Fs3fs-public%2Fstyles%2Fmarquee_large_2x%2Fpublic%2F2019%2F03%2F25%2Feli-manning-2019.jpg%3Fitok%3Dvv5u6tlk&amp;w=1000&amp;q=70" style="width:750px;height:418px;" /></h2><h2><span style="color:inherit;font-family:inherit;font-size:1.2em;font-weight:700;">New York Giants</span></h2><p>From everything I have seen, all indications point towards Eli Manning being the New York Giant’s starting quarterback for the 2019 season. If that is the case, the New York football Giants are a complete fade for this entire season. Eli Manning is going to Canton. He is a two-time Super Bowl MVP and I guess he deserves to be there but the show is over. The problem for Manning and the Giants is they both don’t know it yet. The Giants offensive line is horrendous. They should have been charged with attempted manslaughter for what they did to Manning last season. The addition of Kevin Zeitler and Mike Remmers might help slightly this year, but I still expect the same thing to happen this season. Saquon Barkley is the one shining light in pitch black darkness. They managed to lose the best player on defense, the best player on offense, reached for a QB that would have been there later and still have Pat Shurmur at the helm of this gigantic s**t show. At some point in this season I expect Giants fans to be outside GM Dave Gettleman’s house with torches. They are the worst team in the NFC East…….. do I really need to go on? If I haven’t sold you yet, I’m not going to. As a diehard New York Jets fan, I am soooo enjoying this. <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank">UNDER!</a></p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1eb990082b6d5fb05689/original-ny-giants" style="width:750px;height:451px;" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://ewscripps.brightspotcdn.com/dims4/default/9a0d321/2147483647/strip/true/crop/5339x3003+0+0/resize/1280x720!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fewscripps.brightspotcdn.com%2Fa5%2F3d%2Fe676f83f44e9b2263371aed80ba1%2Fgettyimages-1063222038.jpg" style="width:750px;height:422px;" /></h2><h2>Detroit Lions</h2><p>In general, picking football win totals aren’t that hard to handicap. The Detroit Lions won six games a year ago. Do they have one more win in them this year? If they do, we have ourselves a winner. I think this team has definitely given themselves one more win. Is Matt Stafford one of the three best quarterbacks in football? NO. Is he well above average for this league? YES. He has never been the problem. Everyone with eyes knows Kerryon Johnson is a stud, so he isn’t the problem. The problem on offense was pretty simple last season. The Lions had nobody to throw the ball to in the short and mid-range passing game. That problem has been solved. With their first pick in the 2019 Draft the Lions grabbed the best tight end in the nation a year ago in Iowa’s T.J. Hockenson. The addition of Hockenson should make for a more complete offense this season. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions defense improved last year but they were still a few key pieces away from taking the squad to the next level. They went out and grabbed the best defensive end and slot cornerback in free agency. The additions of Trey Flowers and Justin Coleman will help the defense substantially. All we’re asking this team to do is win one more game. I think they got that done in the offseason. <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank">OVER</a>!</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1ede90082b6d5fb0568a/original-detroit-lions" style="width:750px;height:445px;" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Qq5DeUbgN5SAO9G2Z0Zy9mIwfoM=/0x0:2655x1770/1200x800/filters:focal(924x654:1348x1078)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63839533/1068186332.jpg.0.jpg" style="width:750px;height:500px;" /></h2><h2>Philadelphia Eagles</h2><p>This one won’t be that long. I am a Carson Wentz believer. He has struggled at times since his magical rookie season but this kid is still the real deal. Nick Foles will live in the hearts of every Philly fan until the day they die but the Eagles made the right move when they let him go. Again, we are asking this team to win one more game then they did last year. Wentz looked injured in the games he played last season, he still didn’t look fully back. This season I think we see the skills that were put on display in his rookie campaign. The offense for the most part is intact, and the defense that hovered around the top ten for most of the year should repeat the effort. In part, this play is a fade of the NFC East. I thought about taking the Cowboys win total over also but went with the Eagles. They should go 4-2 or 5-1 in the NFC East depending on what happens in the two Cowboys games. They are good enough to roll through the Giants and the Redskins with those two quarterbacks. If that’s the case, we are asking them to go 6-6 the remaining 12 games. <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank">I think they can do that. OVER</a>.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5cdf1eff90082b6d5fb0568b/original-philadelphia-eagles" style="width:750px;height:295px;" /></p></div>
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