Ed Hawkins (@cricketbetting) says injury worries for Bangladesh in Southampton make the outsiders worth a wager.
<div><h2>Afghanistan v Bangladesh</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/cricket/int/world-cup/bangladesh-vs-afghanistan-3738807/?mtid=6" target="_blank" title="Afghanistan vs Bangladesh Odds Board"><strong>10:30 AM - Monday 24<sup>th</sup>, June 2019</strong></a></p><p>Afghanistan almost produced the greatest shock in <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/cricket/icc-cricket-world-cup-2019-complete-betting-guide/90025/" target="_blank" title="Cricket World Cup Complete Betting Guide">World Cup </a>history on Saturday. They were within 12 runs of downing second-favourites India after they bowled brilliantly and then managed their chase wisely.</p><p>Only a Mohammad Shami hat-trick in the final over denied them. It means they come into this one full of confidence. India, meanwhile, are mighty relieved. Still, it is fair to have grave doubts about India’s prospects in this tournament. Some significant flaws were exposed.</p><p>Chiefly, India remain reliant on Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli for big runs. If one of those two don’t come off, their batting, suddenly, looks weak. The likes of Vijay Shankar, Kedar Jadav (whose half-century proved crucial) and a ponderous MS Dhoni are unlikely to worry the best bowling attacks. The smart move would be to drop Jadav and play the explosive Rish Pant to give much-needed middle-order impetus.</p><p>We could be overreacting because of the conditions in that match. The pitch at Southampton has turned slow and sluggish and that could assist Afghanistan again in reducing the gulf in odds. With spin expected to be important against Bangladesh it is relatively simple to reckon that their army of tweakers can get a grip on the game. Rashid Khan, who found form against India, will be the key man.</p><p>Bangladesh are no better than 1/4 (1.25) with Betfair, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place your bets with Paddy Power">Paddy Power</a> and William Hill. It’s a poor price despite the fact they still hold slim qualification hopes. They have significant injury worries. Mohammad Saifuddin and Mosaddek Hossain missed the defeat by Australia due to a back spasm and hurt shoulder respectively, while Mehidy Hasan, Mushfiqur Rahim, Tamim Iqbal and Mashrafe Mortaza are doubts. Bet365 are 7/2 the Afghans (4.5) and we’ll have a nibble.</p><p>The Bangladesh top bat market has some value. Betfair are struggling to split Shakib-al-Hasan and Tamim at 3s (4.0) and neither man represents a mug wager. Also a word for the excellent Mushfiqur who gets a 9/2 (5.5) quote from <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Betfair</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Ladbrokes">Ladbrokes</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">William Hill</a>.</p><p>For Afghanistan, Hashmatullah Shahidi is underrated at 5s (6.0). We’d have him sharing jolly status with Rahmat Shah at 7/3 (4.5).</p><p><strong>Best Tips for the Match</strong></p><ul> <li>Afghanistan 7/2 @ <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker">Bet365</a></li></ul></div>