Cricket World Cup 2019 Betting Match 36 and 37: Pakistan v Afghanistan & New Zealand v Australia

Ed Hawkins

Friday, June 28, 2019 7:59 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 28, 2019 7:59 PM UTC

Ed Hawkins (@cricketbetting) says there’s a wealth of value for Saturday’s double header
<div><h2><strong>Pakistan v Afghanistan</strong></h2><p><strong>Saturday 10.30</strong></p><p>There are likely to be more than a few folks reckoning this is prime upset material. Pakistan are notoriously unreliable when they are under the weight of expectation. Afghanistan almost pulled off something stunning against India.</p><p>But the possibility of this being a stroll for Pakistan, who were superb against New Zealand to keep their semi-final hopes alive, cannot be dismissed, either.</p><p>The pitch may be the decisive factor. If it’s slow and tacky then Afghanistan’s spinners are bang in the game. When Sri Lanka stunned England there it was slow from ball one and it got slower.</p><p>On that basis the <a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Afghan standout price of 5s (6.0) with BetVictor</a> is worth a small interest. Bear in mind, though, that if the sun is out and Pakistan bat first it is a long way back. Headingley is a curious venues as batters often make hay with the heat on their back but struggle when it’s behind cloud.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>New Zealand v Australia</strong></h2><p><strong>Saturday 13.30</strong></p><p>This is an absolute blockbuster. No wonder. It’s a repeat of the last World Cup final and it is arguable that not much has changed four years on. Just as then, these two look the best teams in the tournament.</p><p>Well, perhaps we’re being a little generous with New Zealand. Pakistan finally revealed their batting flaws but Australia, having duffed up England to cause a major panic in Blighty, are in roaring form. Their inability to post big totals from positions of strength is beginning to feel irrelevant considering their bowling strength. Despite that, we’ll bet the Kiwis at 7/4 (2.75). The gulf is nowhere near as big as Unibet suggest. There is a chance that the Kiwi pace unit could stifle Australia’s runmakers.</p><p>For tops bets, we will give Ross Taylor another chance at 9/2 (5.5) with Betfair and Paddy Power to score most NZ runs. He has been pushed out from 4s but our two-year win rate data says he should be jolly. With Colin Munro, Martin Guptill and Tom Latham all out of form he has only Kane Williamson to beat.</p><p>For Australia top bat David Warner is 11/4 (3.75) and Aaron Finch 3/1 (4.0). Only Warner, though, makes the grade in terms of pure value on the win data.</p><p> </p><h2>Best Tips for the Match</h2><p><strong>Back Warner top Australia batsman 11/4 <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a>, <a href=";a=1ba923f3-5341-4bda-b457-0138ac61ae7a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Betfred</a>, <a href=";a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Ladbrokes</a>, <a href=";a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Coral</a> and <a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">William Hill</a></strong></p><p><strong>Back Taylor top NZ batsman 9/2 <a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Betfair</a>, <a href=";a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Paddy Power</a></strong></p><p><strong>Back New Zealand 7/4 <a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Unibet</a></strong></p></div>
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