IPL 2019 Betting Matches 18 and 19: Depleted CSK Vulnerable

Ed Hawkins

Friday, April 5, 2019 8:04 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 5, 2019 8:04 PM UTC

Ed Hawkins (@cricketbetting) analyses Saturday’s double header and uncovers a top bowler wager

<h2 style="text-align:center">Chennai Super Kings v Kings XI Punjab, MA Chidambarram Stadium</h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/cricket/in/indian-premier-league/chennai-super-kings-vs-kings-xi-punjab-3753711/?mtid=6" target="_blank">Saturday 6 April, 11.30</a></p><p>Chennai Super Kings lost their unbeaten record with a supine performance against Mumbai Indians last time out. They were never at the races and their effort in a chase would have been hugely disappointing to punters who had taken surprisingly big pre-toss prices.</p><p>Perhaps there was a weight of money which knew there was a problem in the camp or some such. They could only manage 133 in a chase of 171, a bizarre effort. MS Dhoni, usually the hero, plodded along taking 21 balls to score 12. That’s a strike rate of just 57. Suresh Raina was also on a go slow.</p><p>Confidence has taken a hit on them, then, against Kings XI <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/kings-xi-punjab-ipl-2019-team-profile/89572/)" target="_blank">particularly as Dwayne Bravo is out injured.</a> This means they have another hole to plug for the death overs. Kiwi all-rounder Scott Kuggeleijn could get a game.</p><p>Kings are in hot form, winning three from four. Last time out they produced a stunning comeback against Delhi Capitals. <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/chris-gayle-cricket-player-profile/89594/" target="_blank">Chris Gayle</a> has handed them a fitness boost with the opener set to recover from a niggle.</p><p>Chennai are best at 8/11 (1.73) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" target="_blank">William Hill</a> while Kings are available at 6/5 (2.2) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank">Bet365</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank">Betfair</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829" target="_blank">Coral</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank">Paddy Power</a> and <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07" target="_blank">Ladbrokes</a>.</p><p>Neither of those prices do much for us and, in truth, there’s not a huge amount of value around. Edges are in short supply. The one price we know to be a rick is the 4/1 (5.0) that Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power offer about Ankit Rajpoot making top Kings bowler. We make him more like 16/5 (4.3) on hit rate.</p><h2>Best tips for the match</h2><p>Ankit Rajpoot top Kings bowler 4/1 Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power</p><h2> </h2><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center">Sunrisers Hyderabad v Mumbai Indians, Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium</h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/cricket/in/indian-premier-league/sunrisers-hyderabad-vs-mumbai-indians-3753712/?mtid=6" target="_blank">Saturday 6 April, 15.30</a></p><p>Not much between these two according to the bookies. Sunrisers are rated at 4/5 with Bet365, Betfair, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=1ba923f3-5341-4bda-b457-0138ac61ae7a" target="_blank">Betfred</a>, <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c" target="_blank">Betway</a> and Coral. Betfair go 21/20 about Mumbai with everyone else even money (2.0).</p><p>We can’t agree on those numbers. We have Sunrisers as the superior team, despite Mumbai getting a win under their belt last time out against Chennai. And you only need to read the above to see what we thought of that performance.</p><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/sunrisers-hyderabad-ipl-2019-team-preview/89566/" target="_blank">Sunrisers are going great guns</a>. They have duffed up Rajasthan Royals and Royal Challengers Bangalore after a defeat by Kolkata Knight Riders in the opener but there were mitigating circumstances – Andre Russell. His extreme hitting downed RCB on Friday night and Sunrisers will take comfort that he’s tucking into everyone else.</p><p>Last term Sunrisers won the series 2-0, unbelievably defending 118 and chasing 147 with a wicket to spare. They have the wood on Mumbai and there is a sense that they are a smarter unit in all departments with Mumbai a little fast and loose.</p><h2>Best tips for the match</h2><p>Sunrisers to win 4/5 Bet365, Betfair, Betfred, Betway, Coral</p>
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