Ed Hawkins (@cricketbetting) suggests spinners could dominate instead of pacers on suitable English wickets.
<div><p>They say that only dead fish swim with the tide. And although ordinarily that tide is a wave of statistical analysis, hard-researched data and rationale thought, maybe it could be time to take a punt on something expected on this market.</p><p>It is true that of the 15 men who have made the top three wicket-takers in the last five World Cups that only three have been spinners. But spinners have been dominating the wicket lists in the last two years. It would be wrong to completely ignore this trend, particularly as there are some big number available about some masters of tweak.</p><p>Kuldeep Yadav, the India spinner, is the top wicket-taker in our study period. He has 87 in 44 matches, which is an extraordinary 2.07 wickets per game. He is 33/1 (34.0) with Betway. But we’re inclined to avoid!</p><p>For a start, Kuldeep had an awful Indian Premier League. He suffered a technical breakdown and, at one stage, he looked like he was suffering from the dreaded yips. Kolkata Knight Riders just stopped playing him.</p><p>Kuldeep’s record is also based on taking wickets with his googly in day-night matches in India. In gloomy light, batsmen often find this variation harder to pick. It’s why Kuldeep has been so successful at breaking middle-overs partnerships. He won’t enjoy such friendly conditions in the UK.</p><p>Adil Rashid, <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/cricket/world-cup-betting-hosts-name-squad-and-leave-out-archer/89829/" title="England's Cricket Squad">England’s</a> premier spinner, does not have that problem and his vast experience of home conditions could mean he is the better bet of the two. Rashid is third in the wicket lists with 70 in 29. That’s an average of a very impressive 1.8 wickets per game.</p><p>Importantly, Rashid could bowl at the death, meaning cheap wickets. England captain Eoin Morgan is not afraid of bowling Rashid at the end of an innings because England’s outfields are big and overseas batsmen can misjudge the larger boundaries. <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&f=1" target="_blank" title="Will Hill Cricket Odds"><strong>Rashid is 16/1 (17.0) with William Hill.</strong></a></p><p>Finally a word about Afghanistan’s Rashid Khan. No bowler in the world has a better average of 2.4 wickets per game. This suggests we should be betting him at 20s (21.0) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet354 Cricket Odds">Bet365</a>. Please don’t. A chunk of Rashid’s wickets have come against vastly inferior fellow Associate team batsmen. They don’t have the same quality technically or temperamentally as teams from the Big Eight. He’s no mystery anymore having been well-studied in multiple franchise leagues.</p></div>