Germaine de Randamie vs Aspen Ladd: UFC Fight Night: 155 Squared Up

Jason Paglia

Wednesday, July 10, 2019 8:38 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 10, 2019 8:38 PM UTC

I didn’t see myself pulling the trigger on Ladd but now it’s a different story!

<p><a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">UFC 239</a> was a profitable event last weekend for the MMA crew at Odds Market. If you read the <a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Odds Market MMA articles</a> and <a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">caught the video breakdown on the OM YouTube page</a>, you banked units all night long. The ‘Squared Up’ series won again and has crushed the book, cashing 82% of our last 11 fight predictions.</p><p>The UFC continues the west coast trip this week as they head to the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California for UFC Fight Night:155. By no means is this fight card as impressive as last weekend’s PPV card but, it doesn’t have to be entertaining to profit from it. This week’s main event however should be a fun watch. The women’s Bantamweight division takes center stage <a href="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">when Aspen Ladd squares up against Germaine de Randamie</a> in a match that should decide the next title opponent for bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes. Fighting Nunes doesn’t exactly sound like a prize anyone wants to win but, this is MMA and these women are warriors. Ok, enough small talk, let’s do it.</p><div><h2 style="text-align:center">GERMAINE de RANDAMIE (8-3) vs ASPEN LADD (8-0)</h2><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="" style="width:696px;height:392px" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Germaine de Randamie</strong></h2><p>Dutch combat fighter Germaine de Randamie did not start her career in mixed martial arts. Initially, she burst onto the scene as a Dutch kickboxer. She won her first kickboxing title in 2000 at the age of 16. She would go on to win multiple championships through multiple weight classes and ended her kickboxing career with a perfect 37-0 record. de Randamie transitioned to mixed martial arts in 2008 where she signed a three-fight contract with Strikeforce MMA. It was after she won 2 of 3 fights for Strikeforce that the UFC offered her a contract. In 2013 she made her UFC debut against Julie Kedzie where she won by a split decision victory. Later that year she took a big step up in class against now bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes which didn’t exactly work out for her. She lost that fight against Nunes in 2013 and has not lost since. It is worth noting that she has only fought four times since the Nunes fight but, nonetheless she goes into this weekend’s fight with Aspen Ladd on a four-fight win streak. Below is a look at Germaine de Randamie, by the numbers.</p><p><strong>― STATS ―</strong></p><p>•Method of Victory •Significant Strikes (per/min) •Takedowns</p><p>▪3 wins by TKO ▪ 3.13 Landed ▪ 0% Accuracy</p><p>▪5 wins by Decision ▪ 2.16 Absorbed ▪ 88.89 % Defended</p><p>▪0 wins by Submission</p><p> </p><p><strong>― PROS ―</strong></p><p>• Power (de Randamie packs a solid punch for a bantamweight fighter. At the very least you must respect it.)</p><p>• Kickboxing (She was 37-0 as a professional kickboxer and won multiple championships through multiple weight classes. My guess is her kickboxing and striking as a whole is very good, what do you think?)</p><p>• Takedown Defense (GdR is god awful on the mat. She doesn’t take anyone down. Her takedown accuracy is 0%, however she has excellent takedown defense. I was surprised to see her defend takedowns at a 89% clip.)</p><p>• Fight IQ (GdR has fought 48 times in her combat sports career. She has seen and done everything, and because of this she has a higher fight IQ than the average bantamweight.)</p><p> </p><p><strong>― CONS ―</strong></p><p>• Ground Game (It doesn’t exist….. like at all.)</p><p>• Inactivity (GdR has basically fought once per year for the last four years. That is a big deal for fighters. de Randamie is old by female MMA standards, and a fighter’s skills start to deteriorate substantially after 36. A fighter needs to be in the octagon often, it keeps them sharp. )</p><p>• Pace (de Randamie has an issue with letting her opponents control the pace of her fights and how they progress. This makes it easier for fighters to pickoff rounds if they have an adequate striking game.)</p><p> </p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="" style="width:600px;height:400px" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center">Aspen Ladd</h2><p>There is not a lot to say about Aspen Ladd. She is a 24-year-old MMA prospect that has done nothing but win. In her amateur career, she went 6-1. She made her professional debut for the Invicta FC promotion, where she knocked out Ana Carolina Vidal. At Invicta FC Ladd went 5-0, and impressively finished four of five opponents. In October of 2017, Ladd made her UFC debut against Lina Lansberg and stopped her in the second round by TKO stoppage. Saturday, Ladd will come into the biggest fight of her career with an 8-0 professional record and a promising future. Will she take the next step and become a real contender? That is the question. Below is a look at Aspen Ladd by the numbers.</p><p> </p><p><strong>― STATS ―</strong></p><p>•Method of Victory •Significant Strikes (per/min) •Takedowns</p><p>▪5 wins by TKO ▪ 5.58 Landed ▪ 80% Accuracy</p><p>▪2 wins by Decision ▪4.89 Absorbed ▪ 66.67% Defended</p><p>▪1 win by Submission</p><p> </p><p><strong>― PROS ―</strong></p><p>• Volume (Ladd is a very strong power striker. Ordinarily the pro would be striking but, what puts her striking over the top is the amount of volume she throws. Landing 5.6 strikes per minute is crazy, and every one is thrown with bad intentions.)</p><p>• Wrestling (She has an excellent wrestling game. Her top control is wicked. She also has a purple belt in BJJ even though she doesn’t use it often.)</p><p>• Pressure ( She is always walking forward. She controls the Octagon every fight. For fighters that aren’t great against pressure fighters, you should probably avoid Ladd.)</p><p> </p><p><strong>― CONS ―</strong></p><p>•Fight IQ (It is almost impossible for Aspen Ladd to be an intelligent fighter in the cage right now. 8 professional fights is not enough time to have seen everything you should and should not do in the cage. She isn’t a dumb fighter by any means, but at this point in her career its expected.)</p><p>•Striking Defense (This is Aspen Ladd’s biggest issue in the Octagon right now. For everything that this kid does well, for all the promise she has, she gets punched in the face a lot. She absorbs just under 5 strikes per minute, that is a problem because one day someone that hits hard is going to touch that chin. Germaine de Randamie has the striking ability and the power to do it. Will she land it on Ladd??????)</p><p> </p><h2>THE VERDICT</h2><p>This is a very tough fight to call. I love everything about Aspen Ladd, she is the real deal and one of the bright stars in the future of the division (whenever Amanda Nunes decides to retire). There are three concerns for Ladd in this fight. #1 Her fight IQ is not where I would like it to be. #2 She has never fought a kickboxer in the same galaxy as Germaine de Randamie. #3 What we talked about earlier in the article, is a very big problem for Ladd. You can absorb five strikes per minute when you are fighting Evinger, Lansberg and Eubanks but not when you are fighting Germaine de Randamie.</p><p>At the end of the day, I like Germaine de Randamie, she has accomplished a lot in the fight game but she has one gigantic whole in her game. I am amazed she has had this much success in MMA. She only stands a chance when she is on her feet. If she isn’t on her feet, it is an automatic loss. Now she faces a fighter in Ladd with exceptional wrestling and the standup to match de Randamie.</p><p>Aspen Ladd owns the only certain path to victory in this fight. She needs to walk de Randame down, get her to respect Ladd’s striking and the second she does, she needs to grab the double leg and ride for the remaining 4 minutes in every round.</p><p>de Randamie doesn’t have a guaranteed path to victory. She doesn’t dictate the pace in her fights, and certainly won’t in this one and, she isn’t a fan of pressure, which Ladd excels in..</p><p>Because of the monumental difference in ground game, this is Aspen Ladd’s fight to lose. At first glance, I saw the line and thought de Randamie was being disrespected, but she isn’t. The advantage Ladd has on the ground is indicative of the gap in the line. When I started breaking the fight down, I didn’t see myself pulling the trigger on Ladd but now it’s a different story. LAY IT !!!</p><p> </p><h2>PREDICTION</h2><p><strong><a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Aspen Ladd at 5/8 (1.62) at Betway</a></strong></p></div>
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