The Weekly Punching Parlay Season Two, Episode 5 - UFC Betting Tips

DaveBets

Friday, June 21, 2019 8:13 AM UTC

Friday, Jun. 21, 2019 8:13 AM UTC

UFC Fight Night 154 is just around the corner and after lasts weeks success, let’s keep that momentum and attempt to beat that bookie again in this weeks episode of “The Punching Parlay”.    

<div><h2 align="center"><strong>Ariane Lipski vs. Molly McCann </strong></h2><p>Before I get into this, I have to stress that these odds are extremely high and become useful for a parlay bet only. Both girls are untested and fairly green in their respective careers, so to give Lipski such a huge advantage in the odds market is ridiculous.</p><p>We have a tough card ahead of us, with a few questionable odds and relatively new fighters… It’s an interesting card for handicappers.</p><p>The ladies Flyweight division will kick off this week’s episode of ‘The Punching Parlay’. English born fighter Molly McCann steps into the octogen against Brazilian prospect Adiane Lipski.</p><p>Both fighters come in with opposite styles. Lipski will be aiming to keep this fight at range and on the feet whilst mixing up her strikes to keep Molly at distance. On the other hand, Molly should be looking to make this a dog fight and will be the stronger woman up against the cage in grappling exchanges. Saying that Lipski should have the advantage If the fight goes to the mat.</p><p>Lipski holds the advantages in size and reach, her striking technique is a step ahead of Molly and I think that’s where we’ll see the difference in skill between these two. Molly is tough, I think she may even win the first round… but as soon as Lipski can find her range and get comfortable, I expect her to lead the scorecards or even potentially grab herself a TKO finish.</p><p>Molly became the first English female fighter to win in the UFC, but her previous opponent is certainly a drop down in skill level when comparing her against Lipski. We can’t count Molly out, but I’m confident in Lipski and her stand-up game, I’m also confident in her ability If the fight ends up on the mat. The first leg of this week’s parlay will be Ariane Lipski.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Introducing 'The Violence Queen'&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Ariane_lipski?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@Ariane_Lipski&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCBrooklyn?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCBrooklyn&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/OEbQeEHda3\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/OEbQeEHda3&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— UFC (@ufc) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ufc/status/1086323838839738368?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;January 18, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 align="center"><strong>Luis Pena vs. Matt Wiman </strong></h2><p>The next fight is an odd one… somebody amongst the matchmaking offices decided that bringing Matt Wiman back into the UFC octogen. To give some perspective, Matt Wiman made his UFC debut in 2006. His previous fight was in 2014, he is aged 35 and we have no idea what the man has been doing for the past 5 years. Confusing or cunning?</p><p>I think the UFC know exactly what they’re doing in this spot. It’s the classic up and comer gift fight, Luis Pena is being gifted an easy fight in hopes that he can extend his highlight reel. It’s not the first time, and it certainly won’t be the last, I’m not complaining either… mismatched fights give bettors like me a good chance to capitalise at the bookies.</p><p>Luis Pena is still a green fighter, and I actually faded him when he faced Steven Peterson back in March simply because he was entertaining a weight division which seemed too low for him when I made my first judgement. Pena proved me wrong, he was just as impressive and the weight cut didn’t seem to affect him what so ever.</p><p>You could argue the experience factor here, but considering Wiman wasn’t the most active fighter he’s actually had very little experience versus a high calibre of opponent. Matt Wiman had his last fight in 2014, Luis Pena hadn’t even made his professional debut at this point in time. For some, this may be a cause for concern but I wouldn’t worry about the 35-year-old fighter who hasn’t fought in five years coming up against a fresh young prospect in Luis Pena.</p><p>Pena has a huge size advantage; youth is also on his side. Activity? well… that’s obvious. We have no information on Matt Wiman and being the fight game, he could shock everyone, but I highly doubt it. So, the second leg for this week’s parlay will be Luis “Violent Bob Ross”.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;30-27&lt;br /&gt;30-27&lt;br /&gt;30-27&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Luis Pena gets the W! How about that head kick!&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCNashville?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCNashville&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/duhL0mlNtM\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/duhL0mlNtM&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Watch UFC 239 live on BT Sport Box Office (@btsportufc) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/btsportufc/status/1109621564746682372?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;March 24, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 align="center"><strong>Renato Moicano vs. Chan Sung Jung </strong></h2><p>I don’t usually mix main events with the punching parlay but this week I’m happy to take the risk with Moicano. I will also try and keep this section of the article short and sweet due to this fight being covered in our ‘Squared Up’ article here at odds market.</p><p>If you want an easy to the path to victory against “The Korean Zombie” then I’m sorry, you’ll have to look elsewhere. A legend in the business and unfortunately due to other commitments hasn’t been able to fully flourish in his UFC career. For 8 years Sung Jung has been a member of the UFC roster but we’ve only been lucky enough to see him fight on six occasions!! Six fights in eight years are just not enough fighting experience to come in and handle a savvy black belt BJJ expert.</p><p>Moicano will win the striking battle and has the ground game to end the fight via submission at any point of the fight, I think Sung Jung’s high pressure and output will be put to rest by Moicano’s Muay Thai based striking. The third and final piece of this weeks parlay will be Renato Moicano.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Fiiiiight weeeeek!!! Moicano vs Korean Zombie this Saturday LIVE on ESPN+! &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/Bj85CVKKUd\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/Bj85CVKKUd&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Dana White (@danawhite) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/danawhite/status/1140788664588492800?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;June 18, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p align="center"><strong><u>Punching Parlay Wrap Up</u></strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong><em>Ariane Lipski at [1.40] [2/5] [-250]</em></strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong><em>Luis Pena at [1.27] [27/100] [-370]</em></strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong><em>Renato Moicano at [1.53] [8/15] [-187]</em></strong></p><p align="center"><strong><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds">Parlay/Accumulator Odds: [2.72] [7/4] [+175] with Bet365</a></strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>Stake: £100 / 1u</strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>Returns: £272</strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>Profit: £172</strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>Current Parlay Bank: -2 Units/-2.0u</strong></p><p align="center" style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>The Weekly Punching Parlay Season 2 Record: 1-3 </strong></p><p style="margin-left:0.25in"><strong>Season One<br />Record: 10-0<br />End of Season 1 Profit: (£1154,10.1 Units of Profit)<br />Starting Stake: £100 (1 unit)</strong></p><p style="margin-left:0.25in">The Weekly Punching Parlay is documented and trackable through our fighting section on the <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/fighting">Odds Market</a> website.</p><p style="margin-left:0.25in">Follow DaveBets on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/DaveBets_">HERE</a>.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p></div>
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