UFC 237 Squared Up:Andrade vs Namajunas

Jason Paglia

Thursday, May 9, 2019 9:00 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 9, 2019 9:00 PM UTC

The main event for UFC: 237 is going to be PHENOMENAL. True fans of MMA have been geeking out all week in anticipation of the women’s Strawweight championship fight between Jessica Andrade and champion Rose Namajunas.

<p>The title fight will close the show this Saturday night in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil and it will be electric. It is very rare in the sport of MMA when the women headline a PPV card but it is absolutely warranted this weekend. We are in for a treat and this fight fan can’t wait!!! Let’s get after it.</p><p> </p><div><h2 style="text-align:center;">JESSICA ANDRADE (19-6) vs ROSE NAMAJUNAS (8-3)</h2><h2>Jessica Andrade:</h2><p>Jessica Andrade stands all of 5’ 2” tall and has done nothing but wreak havoc in multiple divisions for the better part of four years. Now she goes home to Rio de Janeiro for a chance at immortality. She has never looked better than she does right now. Andrade has won 3 of her last 4 fights but, it was her last fight that was most impressive. She dismantled Karolina Kowalkiewicz in epic fashion and did something you don’t see often in women’s MMA, she knocked her ass out cold. Andrade will walk to the Octagon Saturday night with a ton of confidence and that makes her dangerous. Can she get it done? We’ll see Saturday. Let’s take a look at Andrade by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://sportshub.cbsistatic.com/i/r/2018/09/09/a24c32fb-f87e-41b3-83e0-df2ec9557e17/thumbnail/770x433/09fbec50598732a0edee3d8f8c4b2bf4/jessica-andrade.jpg" style="width:770px;height:433px;" /></p><p> </p><h2>― STATS ―</h2><div><table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" style="width:500px;"> <thead> <tr> <th scope="col">Method of Victory</th> <th scope="col">Significant Strikes (per/min)</th> <th scope="col">Takedowns</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>6 by TKO</td> <td>6.58 Landed</td> <td>58.93% Accuracy</td> </tr> <tr> <td>6 by Decision</td> <td>5.04 Absorbed</td> <td>75.00% Defended</td> </tr> <tr> <td>7 by Submission</td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table></div><div> </div><h2> </h2><h2>― PROS ―</h2><p>• Striking (When prepping for this fight, I was very surprised to see that Andrade lands 6.58 significant strikes per minute on her opponents. That is way more than I expected, so I gave her striking the nod and threw it in the PROS column, but ‘Thug Rose’ is on another planet when it comes to striking. Nonetheless still a PRO.)</p><p>• Strength (One thing that shocks all of Andrade’s opponents is her freakish strength. If the Hulk wasn’t green, was 5’ 2” and was a female that lived in Brazil, he would be Jessica Andrade.)</p><p>• Stamina (Stamina is usually an issue for fighters that are very muscular because their muscles eat up oxygen faster then lean fighters, but Andrade doesn’t have that problem. She is so small in stature that it gives her the ability to have cardio for days. This will suit her well if and when she gets to the championship rounds.)</p><h2>― CONS ―</h2><p>• Predictability (Jessica Andrade’s style works for her. It’s basically move forward slowly and hulk smash. The problem is, this will work for her until it doesn’t. You are at a disadvantage in fights when your opponent knows what you will do before you do it. Namajunas will know what she is going to do before she does it.</p><p>• Size (Saturday night Andrade will give up significant height and reach in this fight. This problem will be even more compounded by the fact that Namajunas fights longer then she actually is. This will cause trouble for Andrade.)</p><p>• Movement (Andrade’s only chance to win this fight is to get inside the range of Namajunas, If she doesn’t she will lose every round. Most fights Andrade gets inside but she has never fought ANYONE that has the movement that Namajunas has. Thug Rose jumps around and dances like a gazelle in the Octagon and the slow , plodding forward style that Andrade usually brings into the Octagon will not be enough to walk Namajunas down.)</p><h2>Rose Namajunas:</h2><p>Let me start here, I have a total crush on Rose Namajunas. Not because of her looks, although she is beautiful. It’s her attitude on life and most certainly the fighter that I’ve watched her become from Invicta through her UFC title reign. A Thug named Rose is legit. Namajunas shocked the MMA world at UFC: 217 when she beat the Polish Princess that owned the division for years in Joanna Jedrzejczyk to become the Strawweight champion. She did not however</p><p>shock me. I was on Namajunas at +450 because I knew she had the skills necessary to out strike the born striker. Namajunas came into the second fight with the former champ a small dog again, and again I backed Rose because I knew the first meeting wasn’t a fluke. Win or lose I have generally had the pulse of what Namajunas will do most nights in the Octagon but Saturday night she has a very different test in front of her. For all her success in MMA, she is still relatively green in the sport considering she has only had 11 pro fights. One thing is for sure, she has improved exponentially since her debut and she is a gamer that will come to fight Saturday night. Let’s break her down by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://ms.sbrfeeds.com/redirect-proxy/redirect/?url=http://wmmarankings.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/JM_ROSE_UFC_03_0002_V3-915x610.jpg" style="width:700px;height:467px;" /></p><h2>― STATS ―</h2><table border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" style="width:500px;"> <thead> <tr> <th scope="col">Method of Victory</th> <th scope="col">Significant Strikes (per/min)</th> <th scope="col">Takedowns</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>1 win by TKO</td> <td>3.72 Landed</td> <td>59.26% Accuracy</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2 wins by Decision</td> <td>3.72 Absorbed</td> <td>45.45% Defended</td> </tr> <tr> <td>5 wins by Submission</td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table><p> </p><h2>― PROS ―</h2><p>• Boxing (Everyone was sleeping on Namajunas’ striking until she stepped into the Octagon against the greatest female striker in the history of the UFC, she put that to bed with the quickness….twice.)</p><p>• Movement/Range (In my eyes Rose has the best movement, and best use of range then any female fighter on the roster. She is the female version of TJ Dillishaw. Because of this she fights taller and longer then she actually is and in this fight, it presents a real problem for her opponent.)</p><p>• Ground Game (What gets lost in Namajunas’ excellent striking is how good she is on the ground. She is BJJ black belt, has very underrated wrestling and top control and is excellent in scrambles.)</p><p> </p><h2>― CONS ―</h2><p>•Strength (We base these PROS and CONS on a fighter’s opponent, her lack of strength compared to Andrade presents her biggest hurtle in retaining her belt Saturday night.)</p><p>• Home Cooking (You hope things like this don’t matter. You hope that every fighter that steps into the Octagon gets a fair shake but, unfortunately it doesn’t always work out that way. Judges can suck everywhere. God knows, especially in the last 12 months, that the USA has had their share of awful decision’s but Brazil is notorious for giving the edge in a close fight to their native fighter. This could be a problem for Namajunas if the fight is close and it goes the full five rounds. Ordinarily you have to take the belt from the champ but Saturday night the possibility exists that Rose will have to take her belt back from Andrade.)</p><p> </p><h2>THE VERDICT</h2><p>So who wins this fight? That is the reason everyone is still reading this article right? Welp, as always I have watched every professional fight that both these fighters have fought. My conclusion is this, Jessica Andrade presents the biggest challenge that Rose Namajunas has ever faced professionally. Despite how small she is, she’s the strongest fighter that Rose has fought by a country mile. We haven’t seen Andrade go five rounds yet, but she has gone three rounds multiple times without a problem, so one must assume that she has the cardio to go the championship rounds if need be. What surprised me the most when watching Andrade was how many significant strikes she lands per minute. 6.5 strikes per minute is very impressive. I was also surprised how often Andrade took Jedrzejczyk down in their fight at UFC: 211.</p><p>The problem is, Jedrzejczyk had no problem getting up. If she can get back up, Namajunas won’t have a problem getting up. Andrade lost that fight to Joanna even though she was able to get her down multiple times. Why did she win that fight? Because Joanna pieced her up like a 12 piece from KFC for five rounds. Jessica Andrade was at a huge disadvantage in the striking department against Joanna and she will be at a even bigger disadvantage against Rose, the person that destroyed Joanna’s striking TWICE. Do you think it’s a coincidence that Andrade has won 6 of her last 7 fights and the only fighter she got destroyed by was Joanna Jedrzejczyk?? That fight is the closest simulation we can possibly have for what should happen on Saturday night.</p><p>Joanna had a significant edge on Andrade in striking, movement, range and quickness and it showed. Namajunas does everything I just wrote better the Joanna Jedrzejczyk. That presents a major problem for Jessica Andrade. Could Andrade get Rose to the ground if she gets a hold of her? Probably, yea…. But she has to catch her first. Namajunas is like a ball in a pinball machine when she is in the Octagon. She will sit behind that jab all fight and dance around with beautiful flowing movement while she bounces in and out of the pocket with combinations. That is how she wins this fight. In the event that Andrade can get Rose to the ground, Rose is a BJJ black belt and has a very underrated wrestling and scrambling game.</p><p>If Joanna was able to get up every time, and still win every round then Namajunas can do the same. Two weeks in a row we are taking the dog in the main event. Give me a thug name Rose.</p><h2>THE PICK</h2><p><strong><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/rose-namajunas-vs-jessica-andrade-3759028/?mtid=126" target="_blank">Rose Namajunas to win at 1/1</a> (2.00 at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" target="_blank">William Hill</a>)</strong></p></div>
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