UFC 239 Squared Up | Nunes vs de Randamie: Women's Bantamweight Championship Analysis & Predictions

Jason Paglia

Friday, December 13, 2019 7:43 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 13, 2019 7:43 PM UTC

It’s not often in life that you get to witness greatness. Fortunately for us, we have a chance this Saturday. Every December the Ultimate Fighting Championship puts together the best fight card of the season.

<p>Ordinarily, it’s around New Year's Eve, but this year Christmas is coming early. UFC: 245 will be the sporting event of the weekend and it all goes down under the lights of the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday night.</p><p>The greatness I was referring to is the UFC bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes. She is the best in the world at what she does. The greatest female mixed martial artist of all time. The fight card is so stacked that this championship fight is in the middle of the main fight card. Whichever time slot the fight is in, we’re sure to have fireworks when Germaine de Randamie squares up against UFC bantamweight champion Amanda Nunes. There’s only one thing left to do... Let’s get after it!</p><p> </p><div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>GERMAINE DE RANDAMIE (9-3) vs AMANDA NUNES (18-4)</strong></h2><p> </p><h2>Germaine de Randamie:</h2><p>Dutch combat fighter Germaine de Randamie did not start her career in mixed martial arts. Initially, she burst onto the scene as a Dutch kickboxer. She won her first kickboxing title in 2000 at the age of 16. She would go on to win multiple championships through multiple weight classes and ended her kickboxing career with a perfect 37-0 record. de Randamie transitioned to mixed martial arts in 2008 where she signed a three fight contract with Strikeforce MMA. It was after she won 2 of 3 fights for Strikeforce that the UFC offered her a contract. In 2013 she made her UFC debut against Julie Kedzie where she won by a split decision victory. Later that year she took a big step up in class against now bantamweight champion AND Saturday’s opponent Amanda Nunes. That didn’t exactly work out for her. She lost that fight against Nunes in 2013 and has not lost since. It is worth noting that she has only fought five times since they’re first fight but, nonetheless, she goes into this weekend’s fight with Amanda Nunes on a five fight win streak. Below is a look at Germaine de Randamie, by the numbers.</p><h2>― STATS ―</h2><ul> <li>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes (per/min) •Takedowns</li> <li>4 wins by TKO ▪ 3.20 Landed ▪ 0% Accuracy</li> <li>5 wins by Decision ▪ 2.84 Absorbed ▪ 80.36 % Defended</li> <li>0 wins by Submission</li></ul><p><span style="color:inherit;font-family:inherit;font-size:1.2em;font-weight:700">― PROS ―</span></p><ul> <li>Power (de Randamie packs a solid punch for a bantamweight fighter. At the very least you must respect it.)</li> <li>Kickboxing (She was 37-0 as a professional kickboxer and won multiple championships through multiple weight classes. My guess is her kickboxing and striking as a whole is very good, what do you think?)</li> <li>Takedown Defense (GdR is god awful on the mat. She doesn’t take anyone down. Her takedown accuracy is 0%, however she has excellent takedown defense. I was surprised to see her defend takedowns at an 89% clip.)</li> <li>Fight IQ (GdR has fought 48 times in her combat sports career. She has seen and done everything, and because of this she has a higher fight IQ than the average bantamweight.)</li></ul><h2>― CONS ―</h2><ul> <li>Ground Game (It doesn’t exist….. like at all.)</li> <li>Inactivity (GdR has basically fought once per year for the last four years. That is a big deal for fighters. de Randamie is old by female MMA standards, and a fighter’s skills start to deteriorate substantially after 36. A fighter needs to be in the octagon often, it keeps them sharp. )</li> <li>Pace (de Randamie has an issue with letting her opponents control the pace of her fights and how they progress. This makes it easier for fighters to pickoff rounds if they have an adequate striking game.)</li></ul><h2> </h2><h2>Amanda Nunes:</h2><p>Amanda Nunes comes into Saturday the current UFC champion in both the Bantamweight and Featherweight divisions. Her last fight, against a fighter that was widely recognized as the best female MMA fighter of all time, Chris Cyborg, took all of 51 seconds for Nunes to shock the world. It didn’t start this way for Amanda Nunes, she fought for low level promotions early on and amassed a 5-1 record. It was then that Strikeforce MMA took notice and in January 2011 she made her debut against Julia Budd, where she won by knockout. After Strikeforce, she had a quick stop at Invicta FC and finally after years of hard work she got the call up to the big show. She debuted for the promotion at UFC: 163 versus Sheila Gaff where again she would win by TKO. (Do you see a pattern forming yet?)</p><p>In her 12 fights in the UFC, she is 11-1, her only loss coming by TKO to Cat Zingano at UFC: 178. She won the Bantamweight Championship from Miesha Tate at UFC: 200, and the Featherweight championship from Cris Cyborg at UFC: 232. In her last fight she ran through Holly Holm at UFC: 239, so it begs the question…. Is there anyone that can beat her in this division? Can she defend her championship for the 5th consecutive time this Saturday at UFC: 245? Below is a look at Amanda Nunes, by the numbers.</p><h2>― STATS ―</h2><ul> <li>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes (per/min) •Takedowns</li> <li>13 wins by TKO ▪ 4.65 Landed ▪ 40% Accuracy</li> <li>2 wins by Decision ▪2.88 Absorbed ▪ 80% Defended</li> <li>3 wins by Submission</li></ul><p> </p><h2>― PROS ―</h2><ul> <li>Power (It is absolutely devastating power for a female fighter. She can probably knock out half the male roster. It is a beautiful storm of violence.)</li> <li>Striking Accuracy (Her accuracy is incredible. She is a sniper and it bares out in the numbers. Almost 5 significant strikes landed per minute is phenomenal, and her strikes land with the utmost consequence.)</li> <li>Strength ( She is HUGE for the division. With power, comes strength.)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>― CONS ―</h2><ul> <li>Ummmmmm….. (What CON can you really say about a fighter that has won 11 of 12 fights in the UFC, destroyed Ronda Rousey, has defended the belt 4 times already, is a 2 division champion and knocked out the most feared women’s MMA fighter of the last decade in 51 seconds????? When you figure that out, you let me know.)</li></ul><h2> </h2><h2><strong>THE VERDICT</strong></h2><p>I always start the verdict with: So who wins this fight? There is no need for that because I know who wins this fight. The greatest female mixed martial artist of all time. I laid the -275 money line on Amanda Nunes earlier in the week but I am not going to tell anyone to lay that number, so I will give you the other two wagers I made around her. As far as the handicap, she beat her 6 years ago when she was as green as can be and de Randamie was 40-0 as a kickboxer at that point. If de Randamie couldn’t hang with her then, there is no way she beats this polished MMA machine that she is now. If she had a really strong ground game, and decided not to strike and took her down to the ground, maybe she would have a chance.</p><p>Unfortunately for de Randamie, her ground game doesn’t exist. AMANDA NUNES BIG !!!! Good Luck.</p><h2>PREDICTION</h2><p><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/germaine-de-randamie-vs-amanda-nunes-3991432/?mtid=126" target="_blank">Amanda Nunes Inside the Distance at 25/37 (1.68)</a> with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a></p><p>Two Fighter Parlay – Petr Yan / Amanda Nunes 25/42 (1.59) with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a></p></div>
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