UFC: 244 | Squared Up: Masvidal vs Diaz Fight Analysis & Predictions

Jason Paglia

Wednesday, October 30, 2019 12:41 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2019 12:41 PM UTC

The Ultimate Fighting Championship comes to my neck of the woods this weekend for UFC: 244. It all goes down Saturday under the lights of the world’s most famous arena, Madison Square Garden in New York, New York. This fight card is absolutely epic. The UFC has truly given us a gem this weekend, and they managed to pull it off without a single title fight.

<div><p>The main event features a pair of top 10 welterweights that are two of the most popular MMA fighters in the world today. It’s going to bring the house down when Nate Diaz squares up against Jorge Masvidal to figure out once and for all, who the ‘Baddest Mother F***** on the Planet’ is. This fight is anticipated as any fight we have seen this calendar year. This one is going to be joy to breakdown, so let’s do what we do fellas, and break this fight down to a fine powder.</p><p style="text-align:center"> </p><h2 style="text-align:center">JORGE MASVIDAL (34-13) VS NATE DIAZ (20-11)</h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/nate-diaz-vs-jorge-masvidal-3921854/?mtid=126" target="_blank" title="Fighting Odds"><strong>Saturday 2<sup>nd</sup>, Nov 2019</strong></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5db9a69a88baba42b793edb3/original-jorge-masvidal" style="width:90%" /></p><h2>Jorge Masvidal</h2><p>Jorge Masvidal grew up on the streets of Miami, Florida. His father wasn’t around for much of his childhood, He was arrested for manslaughter and drug trafficking and is currently serving a jail sentence. His mother raised him but couldn’t control him. Masividal was abrasive and competitive from a young age. He wrestled at St. Brendan High School for a short while but eventually was kicked off the team because he was unable to maintain the grades required to stay on the team.</p><p>He began training in MMA after high school. Soon after he started fighting in the streets of Miami. He saw the success that Miami hardcore legend Kimbo Slice had and thought he would be able to do the same. He fought one of Kimbo Slice’s proteges and knocked him out. It was then that he began fighting professionally. He started fighting on the regional scene for multiple organizations. He did this from 2003 to 2009. Finally he signed with a new promotion at the time called Bellator MMA. They would grow into the only competition that the UFC has in the United States, but at the time it was their first event and Masvidal was on the card. He was with Bellator for 3 fights in total. He won 2 out of 3 fights for them and again he moved on to varios promotions. With a record of 20-6 Masvidal signed with the 2nd biggest promotion in the states at the time, Strikeforce MMA. He signed a 4 fight deal with them, and finally after a decade on the regional scene, and a professional record of 23-7, he was signed by the biggest MMA promotion in the world. In his first UFC fight at a UFC on Fox event, Masvidal beat Tim Means via unanimous decision. Since entering the UFC, Masvidal has an 11-6 record. He has been on fire recently, winning 5 of his last 7 fights. His total pro record is 34-13 and he currently sits as the #3 welterweight contender in the world. He is literally 1 or 2 wins away from a welterweight title shot. Can he win this fight against Diaz and get one step closer to the ultimate prize? Below is a look at Jorge Masvidal, by the numbers.</p><p> </p><p><u><strong>― STATS ―</strong></u></p><div><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5db9a93a88baba42b793edb6/original-jorge-masvidal-stats" style="width:100%" /></div><div> </div><p><br /><u><strong>― PROS ―</strong></u></p><p>• <strong>Striking</strong> (Jorge Masvidal is truly on of the great pure strikers in the game today. Excellent accuracy, phenomenal combinations and counter striking game. Not blow your mind power, but more than enough to starch anyone should he hit the button. He hits the button A LOT.)</p><p>• <strong>Range / Movement</strong> (Most gifted strikers have excecllent motion and range in the cage. They go hand in hand. His footwork is part of the reason why he is so gifted as a striker. His motion is fluid, he uses range very well. He is capable of darting in for offense and out before he takes to much damage.)</p><p>• <strong>Creativity</strong> (Look no further than his last fight. The reason why he has the fastest knockout in UFC history is because of his preparation and creativity.)</p><p>• <strong>Chin</strong> (Masvidal’s chin has held up really well through his career. 47 professional fights and he has been knocked out once. It has looked really good through the years, and it has continued through his most recent successful run.)</p><p> </p><p><u><strong>― CONS ―</strong></u></p><p>• <strong>Ground Game</strong> (When you are talking about fighters on this level, there aren’t many flaws. That being said, if there was a weakness, I suppose it would be his grappling/submission game. The people he rolls with in training swear that he is aces on the ground, but he only has 2 submission victories in 47 fights. He would much rather prefer to stand and bang if it was up to him. That is exactly what he will look to do this Saturday.)</p><p> </p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5db9a74288baba42b793edb4/original-nate-diaz" style="width:90%" /></p><h2>Nate Diaz</h2><p>Born and raised in Stockton, California, Nate Diaz began training in various practices of mixed martial arts from the age of 11. Much like his older brother Nick, his passion was Brazilian jiu-jitsu. By the time he was 19 years old he decided to become a pro MMA fighter and signed a deal with World Extreme Cage fighting. He won his first fight at WEC 12 when he submitted Alejandro Garcia via submission. After winning 5 of his first 7 fights WEC was absorbed by then parent company to UFC, Zuffa Inc. Diaz finally caught a big break when the UFC reality show ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ called him to be one of the fighters on Season 5. He would take full advantage of the show winning every fight, including the finals and being named The Ultimate Fighter. He started his UFC career winning 5 straight fights and not suffering his first loss until he fought Clay Guida at UFC: 94. Diaz was a mid level guy for most of his UFC career winning 13 of his first 21 fights, and then it happened.</p><p>At UFC: 196, on two weeks notice, he fought the most popular fighter on the roster in Conor McGregor. McGregor had pretty much run through everyone he fought at the time, and was a huge favorite to beat Diaz that night, but he didn’t. Nate Diaz shocked the world and instantly became a Rockstar. Five months later, McGregor would avenge his loss to Diaz at UFC: 202. Up until his last fight against Anthony Pettis at UFC: 241, Diaz had not fought in 3 years. I was concerned about the layoff and bet against Nate, even though I am a huge fan. He proved me wrong and destroyed Anthony Pettis. Now with a fight under his belt, Diaz will look to continue the momentum against a game opponent in Jorge Masvidal. Can he get the job done this Saturday? Below is a look at Nate Diaz, by the numbers.</p><p> </p><p><u><strong>― STATS ―</strong></u></p><div><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5db9a98288baba42b793edb7/original-nate-diaz-stats" style="width:100%" /></div><p> </p><p><u><strong>― PROS ―</strong></u></p><p>• <strong>Brazilian Jiu Jitsu</strong> (Nate Diaz is truly world class. He grew up in a Gracie Academy until his brother started his own BJJ Academy. He now teaches classes there and has 13 submission victories in his pro MMA career.)</p><p>• <strong>Striking</strong> (While Nate Diaz hasn’t been the best striker in any division he has competed in, he is an above average striker who doesn’t have crazy power but is very accurate.)</p><p>• <strong>Stamina</strong> (I know that Nate has insane cardio, but I was worried about his cardio in his last fight. He was fighting a solid fighter in Anthony Pettis, and he was coming off a 3 year layoff. His cardio was magnificent off the layoff and there is no reason to believe that it will be any different on Saturday.)</p><p> </p><p><u><strong>― CONS ―</strong></u></p><p>• <strong>Footwork</strong> (I don’t know what it is about the Diaz brothers, but I hate the footwork they show me in the cage. It’s weird, slow and not very good at all.)</p><p>• <strong>Power</strong> (Nate’s power has never been good, and I don’t expect much to change in the co-main event on Saturday night.)</p><p> </p><h2><strong>THE VERDICT</strong></h2><p>So, who wins this fight? Picking a winner in this fight is like picking one of my kids in a fight against another one. I love both these guys a lot. I love everything they stand for, both of these men is what makes the UFC so enjoyable. THIS FIGHT IS RAZOR THIN. Both fighters are great boxers. If I had to give one of them the edge it would be Masvidal slightly, because he has a clear cut power advantage over Nate. In terms of accuracy and volume they are about equal. Masvidal has a substantial edge in movement. His footwork is MUCH better than Nate. They both have solid chins, but Nate has proven his chin to be as close to unbreakable as possible. Finally, Nate Diaz has a monumental edge on the ground in terms of BJJ. He is a true black belt, his submission game is truly flawless.</p><p>I just can’t avoid the price here. If we are talking about two fighters, that I believe to be about equal, even though they have their own advantages over each other, the only look can be the plus money. Might I regret it if Masvidal touches Nate up for 5 rounds? YES, but at (2.48) I have to take the plus money here with Nate based on how close I think this fight will be. Either way, I CAN’T WAIT FOR THIS ONE. Give me Diaz here, Book It!</p><p><strong>THE PICK:</strong> Nate Diaz to win at 37/25 (2.48) with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Bookmaker">Pinnacle</a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=162&amp;a=ec641d03-1e6d-4096-9f5f-d2a6939022d0&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0005/1349915/Biggest-Ever-Bet-Boost-1280x480-English-UK.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a></p></div>
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