UFC Fight Night 156 Squared Up: Carmouche vs Shevchenko

Jason Paglia

Tuesday, August 6, 2019 8:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 6, 2019 8:20 PM UTC

The main event for UFC Uruguay features a women’s flyweight championship fight, when UFC veteran Liz Carmouche squares off against champion Valentina Shevchenko. It’s one of two fights on the card that are actually worth watching Saturday, but fear not fight fans because UFC 241 and the best fight card of 2019 is only a week away.

<p>Welp… It has been a frustrating two weeks for the ‘Squared Up’ series. We have nailed the winner in all 4 fights the last two weeks, but the fighters have not won the way we needed them too. It’s time to get back to our winning ways as the UFC travels to the Antel Arena in Uruguay for UFC Fight Night 156.</p><div><h2 style="text-align:center">LIZ CARMOUCHE (13-6) vs VALENTINA SHEVCHENKO (17-3)</h2><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://10thplanetsandiego.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/15/2019/01/Liz-Carmouche.jpg" style="width:600px;height:399px" /></p><p><strong>Liz Carmouche:</strong></p><p>UFC veteran Liz Carmouche was a very late bloomer in the world of MMA. She didn’t start training to become a professional MMA fighter until 2008 after she had spent five years in the Marine Corps. Finally, in August of 2010, she made her professional MMA debut for Strikeforce, a national promotion. She started 6-0 for the promotion and in 2012 signed a two-fight deal with Invicta FC, an all-women MMA promotion. At Invicta FC 1 &amp; 2 she went on to beat both Ashleigh Curry and Kaitlin Young by submission. In 2013 Liz Carmouche would make history fighting in the UFC’s 1st ever women’s MMA fight against Ronda Rousey at UFC: 157. All in all, Liz Carmouche has amassed a 5-4 record in the UFC and will step into the cage this Saturday night as the #3 ranked women’s flyweight contender in the world. Can she stop the bullet that is Valentina Shevchenko?</p><p><strong><u>― STATS ―</u></strong></p><p>•<strong>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes </strong>(per/min)<strong> •Takedowns </strong></p><p>▪6 wins by TKO ▪ 3.09 Landed ▪ 55.00% Accuracy</p><p>▪5 wins by Decision ▪ 2.63 Absorbed ▪ 67.86% Defended</p><p>▪2 wins by Submission</p><h2>― PROS ―</h2><p>• <strong>Physicality</strong> (Although Liz Carmouche only stands 5 feet 5 inches tall, she is VERY strong for the flyweight division. She uses that strength in the form of clinch takedowns and pinning her opponents against the cage to win the leverage battle.)</p><p>• <strong>Wrestling</strong> (Her wrestling game is legit. She has great top control when she gets her opponents to the ground and, uses that position to ground and pound or chaining submission attempts.)</p><p>• <strong>Power Striking</strong> (Carmouche has always been powerful in her career but over the last few years she has worked on her accuracy which now makes her power striking dangerous for opponents.)</p><h2>― CONS ―</h2><p>• <strong>Low Volume</strong> (She falls into lulls when standing. She often fights at her opponent’s pace. If her opponents striking volume is low, her striking volume will follow suit.)</p><p>• <strong>Game Planning</strong> (She often looks like she is walking into the cage and winging it. She reacts in real time to her opponent’s offense, but it looks like she doesn’t stay within a game plan that was formed prefight.)</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://usatmmajunkie.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/valentina-shevchenko-ufc-fight-night-125.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1" style="width:600px;height:360px" /></h2><div><h2> </h2><p><strong>Valentina Shevchenko:</strong></p><p>There is so much to say about Valentina Shevchenko and I don’t even know where to begin. Let’s start here, she is the class of the flyweight division and it isn’t even close. We are talking about a woman who beat Joanna Jedrzejczyk three times in kickboxing and MMA. Valentina Shevchenko is a striking machine. She is 56-2 in K-1 / Muay Thai lifetime. She began her MMA career in 2003 where she would go up the ranks of the regional scene. In 2014 Legacy FC would sign her. She fought one time for the promotion, beating Jan Finney by unanimous decision. In 2015 she had finally made it to the biggest MMA promotion in the world. She was a last minute replacement for Germaine de Randamie at UFC on FOX 17 where she went on to beat Sarah Kaufman by split decision. All in all she has fought 7 times in the UFC and the only female MMA fighter thus far to beat her is the greatest female MMA fighter of all-time. Amanda Nunes bested Shevchenko twice, and she comes into her title defense opportunity Saturday night against Liz Carmouche with a 6-2 record in the UFC. Below is Valentina Shevchenko by the numbers.</p></div><p><strong><u>― STATS ―</u></strong></p><p>•<strong>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes </strong>(per/min)<strong> •Takedowns </strong></p><p>▪5 wins by TKO ▪ 3.28 Landed ▪ 50.00% Accuracy</p><p>▪5 wins by Decision ▪2.44 Absorbed ▪ 73.91% Defended</p><p>▪7 wins by Submission</p><h2>― PROS ―</h2><p>• <strong>Kick Boxing</strong> (She is literally one of the best female kick boxers of all-time, the end, full stop.)</p><p>•<strong> Stamina</strong> (Three of the eight fights that Bullet has fought in the UFC have gone through the championship rounds and to the distance. In all three fights her gas tank was ridiculous. She has stamina for days.)</p><p>• <strong>Fight IQ</strong> (Bullet Shevchenko has seen everything she is ever going to see in a fight. 58 KICK BOXING MATCHES / 20 MMA FIGHTS. There is nothing that will surprise her, and there is nothing she hasn’t already seen. She is in full control of every situation when she steps into the Octagon.)</p><p>• <strong>Strength</strong> (She has power behind her punches, but the strength I am talking about is how she throws her opponents into the clinch and against the cage,)</p><p>•<strong>Technique</strong> (For 16 years she has done nothing but perfect the art of striking, the technique is the truth.)</p><h2>― CONS ―</h2><p>•<strong>Inactivity</strong> (As good of a striker as she is, there are multiple examples of her taking a minute or two off in any given round. It is not because she is tired, it is just weird bouts of low volume strikes.)</p><p>•<strong>Ground Game</strong> (There are no weaknesses in Shevchenko’s standup, offensively and defensively she is as close to automatic as it gets for a female fighter. We are left with the rest, and that’s the ground game. She is an average wrestler at best. Her top control game is ok due to how strong she is but, when her back is on the mat she has looked very inferior at times. She does have a decent amount of submissions but if I am being honest, I was never really impressed with her BJJ. As far as her takedowns go, her takedown defense is very solid. She stuffs 3 out of 4 takedowns attempted but her offensive takedown accuracy hovers around 50% fight to fight which isn’t great. Overall, her ground game is the weakest link in the sequence.)</p><h2>THE VERDICT</h2><p><strong>This is going to be a quick and painless verdict. THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING THAT LIZ CARMOUCHE CAN DO TO BEAT BULLET SHEVCHENKO. She will not take her to the ground, isn’t a better striker, isn’t stronger, doesn’t have better footwork, doesn’t have better stamina, doesn’t have better takedown defense, and is not a better submission artist.</strong></p><p><strong>Now that we know that the question is, how do we get on Shevchenko. I don’t believe that Liz Carmouche has what it takes to go five rounds with Valentina Shevchenko. Forget winning the fight, I’m talking about surviving. Has anyone watched Carmouche the last two years and feel comfortable that she isn’t going to get kicked in the head and dropped like Jesse Eye did, or an overhand counter she didn’t see? Exactly…. Is she good enough not to get caught in a triangle, arm bar, guillotine, or have her back taken for a RNC? I just don’t see it. </strong></p><p><strong>Bullet has been on a different level from all these women the last two years. If you are not named Amanda, I don’t think you last five rounds anymore, and at (1.68) it seems like a more than fair line to back Shevchenko inside the distance. Book it!</strong></p><p><strong>THE PICK </strong></p><p><em><strong>Valentina Shevchenko Inside the Distance at 20/29 (1.68)</strong></em></p></div>
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