UFC Fight Night 157 Shenzhen Accumulator Betting Predictions & Tips: ‘The Punching Parlay’ S3E04

DaveBets

Friday, August 30, 2019 10:19 AM UTC

Friday, Aug. 30, 2019 10:19 AM UTC

The UFC packs it’s baggage this weekend and heads out to Shenzhen, China for UFC Fight Night 157. Fancy a ‘Punching Parlay’?

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>UFC Lightweight Bout<br />Damir Ismagulov vs Thiago Moises </strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>UFC Fight Night 157 takes place on Saturday 31<sup>st</sup> August live from the Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre.</strong></p><div><p><strong><u>Damir Ismagulov</u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>28<br /><strong>Record: </strong>18-2-0<br /><strong>Height: </strong>5ft 10”<br /><strong>Reach: </strong>74”<br /><strong>Current Streak: </strong>13 wins<br /><strong>Gym: </strong>Tiger Muay Thai<br /><strong>Notable Gym Members: </strong>Valentina Shevchenko, Petr Yan &amp; Mairbek Taisumov<br /><br /><strong><u>Significant Strikes</u> <u>Grappling</u><br />Landed Per Min: </strong>3.27<strong> Takedown Average: </strong>2.50<br /><strong>Accuracy: </strong>47%<strong> Takedown Accuracy: </strong>45%<br /><strong>Defence: </strong>69%<strong> Takedown Defended: </strong>0</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Good start for Ismagulov&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCAdelaide?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCAdelaide&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/IrESVIIQt5\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/IrESVIIQt5&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— UFC_Asia (@UFC_Asia) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/UFC_Asia/status/1069022586921570306?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;December 2, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>The calm and collected Kazakhstani ‘Damir Ismagulov’ will step into a UFC octogen for the third time this weekend when he faces Thiago Moises.</p><p>Damir will be looking for his third back to back win for the UFC and his ninth consecutive victory overall. The Russian grind is real and Damir is the blanket style fighter I don’t mind laying my money on. With some effortless striking at distance and near-perfect counter punches, Damir is the point fighter who rarely brings out the nerves in me when his fights are heading to the judge’s scorecards.</p><p>Naturally, Damir has excellent takedown defence which he’ll need to utilize if Moises doesn’t fancy himself in a striking battle. Let’s be honest, the majority of Russian natives have a toolbox of grappling skills in their back pocket. I believe Damir will not be searching for any grappling exchanges himself other than maybe some clinch work and control against the cage. In my opinion, taking this fight to the mat would be a bad game plan for Damir.</p><p><strong><u>Thiago Moises</u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>24<br /><strong>Record: </strong>12-3-0<br /><strong>Height: </strong>5ft 9”<br /><strong>Reach: </strong>70”<br /><strong>Current Streak: </strong>1 win<br /><strong>Gym: </strong>American Top Team<br /><strong>Notable Gym Members:</strong> Amanda Nunes, Dustin Poirier &amp; Colby Covington</p><p><strong><u>Significant Strikes</u> <u>Grappling</u><br />Landed Per Min: </strong>3.20<strong> Takedown Average: </strong>1.75<br /><strong>Accuracy: </strong>53%<strong> Takedown Accuracy: </strong>50%<br /><strong>Defence: </strong>53%<strong> Takedown Defended: </strong>57%</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Thiago Moises went for a Hail Marry HH attempt after being down big in R4 vs Robert Watley but it wasn't to be - LFA 17 (2017) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCDenver?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCDenver&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/SYYxrIzhp2\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/SYYxrIzhp2&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— LORD HONKY HUMUNGUS (@Mr_Honky) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Mr_Honky/status/1059602554248585217?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;November 6, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>Thiago Moises is no slouch and has impressed me in his UFC outings to date. Since his TKO win on ‘Dana Whites Contender Series’ he has gone 1-1 in the UFC, dominating his opponent Kurt Holobaugh in his previous fight by unanimous decision. The takedowns came so easy for Moises he almost looked like a wrestling-based fighter.</p><p>Proficient in Brazilian Ju-Jitsu, I can’t help but think Moises will want to take this one down to the ground. Especially if he finds himself in deep water on the feet. That said, I don’t think Moises will have the same success in takedowns as he had previously.</p><p><strong><u>At the end of the day </u></strong></p><p>I wouldn’t expect fireworks from this matchup, Damir will not rush into a brawl nor will he engage in reckless exchanges early on. I see a relaxed point fight for Ismagulov after Moises fails in taking Damir to the ground. A unanimous decision in favour of Damir Ismagulov is how I see this fight playing out.</p><p>Both men have gone to the scorecards in all their UFC bouts, Ismagulov is on a 13-fight win streak and Moises has never been finished inside the distance. So, Damir Ismagulov will be the first leg of this weeks ‘Punching Parlay’.</p><p align="center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><strong>Punching Parlay 1<sup>st</sup> Leg: Damir Ismagulov [1.53] [8/15] @ Bet365</strong></a></p><h2 align="center"><strong>UFC Light Heavyweight Bout</strong></h2><h2 align="center"><strong>Khadis Ibragimov vs Da Un Jung</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>UFC Fight Night 157 takes place on Saturday 31<sup>st</sup> August live from the Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre</strong></p><p><strong><u>Da Un Jung </u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>25<br /><strong>Record: </strong>11-2-0<br /><strong>Height: </strong>6ft 4”<br /><strong>Reach: </strong>Unknown<br /><strong>Current Streak: </strong>10 wins<br /><strong>Gym: </strong>Korea Top Team<br /><strong>Notable Gym Members:</strong> Jun Yong Park</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Da Un Jung mounted then finished Sasa Milinkovic w/ Elbows R3 in his last fight at Heat 44 (2019) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCChina?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCChina&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCShenzhen?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCShenzhen&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/SOVzYu5nlq\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/SOVzYu5nlq&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— LORD HONKY HUMUNGUS (@Mr_Honky) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Mr_Honky/status/1163644069047750656?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;August 20, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>Da Un Jung makes his UFC debut against another debuting fighter in Khadis Ibragimov. The South Korean native will be headhunting for his 11<sup>th</sup> straight victory but the competition inside a UFC octogen is no comparison to the Korean regional scene.</p><p>Jung has some great cardio for a Light Heavyweight and possesses some fluent technical striking but other than a 1-2 combo and some decent slicing hooks I just don’t see what else Jung will bring to the table. Jung has found success in defending takedowns and winning grappling exchanges but that will come to an end on Saturday.</p><p><strong><u>Khadis Ibragimov </u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>24<br /><strong>Record: </strong>8-0-0<br /><strong>Height: </strong>6ft 2”<br /><strong>Reach: </strong>Unknown<br /><strong>Current Streak: </strong>10 wins<br /><strong>Gym: </strong>Sambo-Piter<br /><strong>Notable Gym Members:</strong> N/A</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Khadis Ibragimov w/ a big TD in R1 vs Dmitriy Shumilov at Friendship of Peoples Grand Prix 2017 &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCChina?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCChina&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCShenzhen?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#UFCShenzhen&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/GzOT4GhdPZ\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/GzOT4GhdPZ&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— LORD HONKY HUMUNGUS (@Mr_Honky) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Mr_Honky/status/1164003405662003200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;August 21, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>European Sambo champion and former M1 Light Heavyweight Champion ‘Khadis Ibragimov’ has been sitting on the sidelines waiting for his opportunity to take a short-notice fight and make his UFC debut. Finally, he is gifted with a matchup in China becoming available.</p><p>Khadis is the type of fighter with huge potential to stick around in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. At just age 24 he is already a world champion across multiple forms of combat, a debut victory for him will be a huge confidence boost and should secure his position on the roster. Exciting inside the octogen, I’m confident that Khadis can provide UFC fans with some high-level grappling and a lengthy highlight reel to top it off.</p><p><strong><u>At the end of the day </u></strong></p><p>Entering as the far more superior grappler in this bout. Khadis will no doubt be searching for his excuse to level change and shoot in on Jung as soon as he can. Khadis, in theory, should be competent in taking this fight wherever he pleases and the Judo Black-Belt/Sambo Champion doesn’t have to tell us where he is best pleased in a fight. Khadis with his heavy top pressure and mauling style should ware down Jung’s durable gas tank considerably at 205lbs. I expect a clear unanimous decision or even a potential TKO or submission in favour of Khadis.</p><p align="center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><strong>Punching Parlay 2<sup>nd</sup> Leg: Khadis Ibragimov [1.36] [4/11] @ Bet365</strong></a></p><p><strong><u>Punching Parlay Wrap Up</u></strong></p><ul> <li> <p><em>Damir Ismagulov to win <strong>[1.53] [8/15] </strong></em></p> </li> <li> <p><em>Khadis Ibragimov to win <strong>[1.36] [4/11] </strong></em></p> </li></ul><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><strong>Parlay/Accumulator Odds: [2.08] [11/10] with Bet365</strong></a></p><p><strong>Stake: £100 (1u)</strong></p><p><strong>Returns: £208</strong></p><p><strong>Profit: £108 (1.08u)</strong></p><p><strong>Current Bankroll: £310.00 (3.10u)</strong></p><p><strong>The Weekly Punching Parlay Season 3 Record: 2-1</strong></p><p><strong><u>Season One Record: 10-0</u></strong></p><p><strong>End of Season 1 Profit: (+10.1 Units of Profit)</strong></p><p><strong><u>Season Two Record: 3-7</u></strong></p><p><strong>End of Season 1 Profit: (-4.95 Units of Profit)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><b><u>DaveBets Full Betting Card </u></b></p><p style="text-align:center"><b><u><img alt src="https://i.imgur.com/XW5azp6.png" style="width:700px;height:257px" /></u></b></p><div align="center" style="margin-left:.25in">The Weekly Punching Parlay is documented and trackable through our fighting section on the <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/fighting">Odds Market</a> website.</div><div align="center" style="margin-left:.25in">DaveBets on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/DaveBets_">HERE</a></div></div></div>
comment here