UFC Fight Night 160 | Squared Up: Cannonier vs Hermansson Fight Analysis & Predictions

Jason Paglia

Wednesday, September 25, 2019 7:38 AM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 25, 2019 7:38 AM UTC

Last weekend we were robbed of a great main event due to an accidental eye poke, let's hope that we see this fight through to completion

<p>The Ultimate Fighting Championship continues its international tour and heads to the Royal Arena in Copenhagen, Denmark for UFC Fight Night: 160. I’ve come to the realization that having a UFC event every weekend equals subpar fight cards more often than not. This weekend is no exception. The event as a whole might not be the greatest, but the main event however, is very different. Two top 10 middleweights clash under the lights when Jared Cannonier squares up against Jack Hermansson in a fight that is sure to please. Last weekend we were robbed of a great main event due to an accidental eye poke, lets hope that we see this fight through to completion. Alright then…. Let’s get it.</p><div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>JARED CANNONIER (12-4) vs JACK HERMANSSON (20-4)</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://usatmmajunkie.files.wordpress.com/2016/12/jared-cannonier-tuf-24-finale-ceremonial.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1" style="width:700px;height:420px" /><br /><b>Jared Cannonier</b></p><p>Jared Cannonier has dropped two weight classes since entering the UFC. He started at heavyweight then dropped to light heavyweight and it appears now that he’s found a home at 185 lbs. He currently sits ranked in the top ten. Does he deserve to be ranked that high? Probably not but the fact remains that he is. If you count his time on the TUF, he sits at 4-4 in his eight fights in the UFC which isn’t great but three of those losses came from above average competition. His losses against Texeira, Blachowicz and Reyes are not bad losses. In his last fight he looked very impressive in his win over David Branch. He was able to drop him and once he smelled blood in the water, he was able to finish him with GnP. In Cannonier’s last fight he beat a legend in Anderson Silva, but now he faces a different challenge entirely, an ascending fighter. Saturday, he walks to the cage as the #9 ranked middleweight fighter in the world. Below is a look at Jared Cannonier, by the numbers.</p><h2><strong><u>― STATS ―</u></strong></h2><p>•<strong>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes </strong>(per/min)<strong> •Takedowns </strong></p><p>▪8 wins by TKO ▪ 3.62 Landed ▪ 33.33% Accuracy</p><p>▪2 wins by Decision ▪2.76 Absorbed ▪ 44.83% Defended</p><p>▪2 wins by Submission</p><h2><strong><u>― PROS ―</u></strong></h2><p>• <strong>Boxing </strong>(While Cannonier lacks technicality more often than not, his boxing in the pocket is strong and that should suit him well.)</p><p>• <strong>Athleticism </strong>(Everything that we have seen from Cannonier’s MMA career so far tells us he has cardio for days. He will need it because the Joker has shown the exact same level of cardio.)</p><p>• <strong>Chin </strong>(With the exception of the Dominick Reyes fight, Jared Cannonier has shown a granite chin. That should come in handy Saturday considering that Hermnsson has knockout power in his hands.)</p><h2><strong><u>― CONS ―</u></strong></h2><p>•<strong>Technique </strong>(While Cannonier’s boxing is a strength in the pocket [inside the range of fighters], his striking at range leaves a lot to be desired. He doesn’t cut angles very well and his counterstriking game suffers from distance because of it.)</p><p>• <strong>Takedown Defense</strong> (For a top ten middleweight, his takedown defense is nothing short of abysmal. Jack Hermansson will test that terrible takedown defense on Saturday night.)</p><p>•<strong>Ground Game </strong>(While Cannonier does have three submissions in his MMA career, none of his wins or losses have come by way of submission in the UFC. Of his 4 wins in the UFC all have come by either TKO or decision. He hasn’t been rolling (BJJ) or wrestling threat in the UFC, unless it is traditional ground and pound.)</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://www2-cdn.sherdog.com/_images/pictures/20181213101405_hermanssongetty.JPG" style="width:700px;height:467px" /><br /><b>Jack Hermansson</b></p><p>Jack ‘The Joker’ Hermansson started wrestling at the age of 9 years old. In 2008 he transitioned to MMA and in 2010 became a professional mixed martial artist. He started on the regional scene early in his career and began his MMA career with 5-0 record, all by way of early stoppage.</p><p>With an impressive start to his career, Hermansson was signed by the American MMA promotion Bellator MMA in 2012. The stint with Bellator did not go as planned for Hermansson. He lost back to back fights for the promotion and was dropped before he ever got started. Not knowing where to turn next, he fought in various promotions such as Cage Warriors and Venator FC. While at the promotions he padded his record winning 8 straight fights, and it was then after 4 years into his MMA career that he got the call from the big show. Since joining the UFC, Hermansson has won 7 of 9 fights in the UFC and walks into Saturday’s fight as the #5 ranked middleweight fighter in the world. Below is a look at the Joker, by the numbers.</p><h2><strong><u>― STATS ―</u></strong></h2><p>•<strong>Method of Victory •Significant Strikes </strong>(per/min)<strong> •Takedowns </strong></p><p>▪11 wins by TKO ▪ 5.24 Landed ▪ 40.74% Accuracy</p><p>▪4 wins by Decision ▪2.37 Absorbed ▪ 77.78% Defended</p><p>▪5 wins by Submission</p><h2><strong><u>― PROS ―</u></strong></h2><p><strong>• Jab</strong> (Jack Hermansson might fight better behind his jab then any fighter at 185 lbs. unless he is fighting a souh paw. Luckily for Joker Jack, Saturday he is not.)</p><p><strong>• Wrestling</strong><strong> </strong>(A wrestler from the age of 9, Hermansson’s wrestling base is really strong and even more so, a devastating top control game.)</p><p><strong>• Use of Range</strong><strong> </strong>(The Joker’s movement inside the cage is on point. He avoids damage the best he can jumping in and out of range, it’s only when he is in the pocket and sits down on his punches that his striking defense is lacking.)</p><h2><strong><u>― CONS ―</u></strong></h2><p><strong>•Ground Defense </strong>(He has an incredible offensive ground game, but when he is on his back, he has major issues defensively.)</p><p><strong>•</strong><strong style="font-size:15px"><strong>Takedowns</strong> </strong>(40% is the division average I guess, but I don’t know…. Missing 6 out of 10 takedowns attempted isn’t great.)</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&amp;a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2><strong>THE VERDICT</strong></h2><p><strong>So, who wins this fight? Welp…It’s a tough call. Cannonier has looked really good since he has come down in weight, BUT if you asked me right now if I thought he could beat Jacare? No, I don’t think he could, and Hermansson did. I am not a big fan of MMA math because styles make fights, but Hermansson’s win over Jacare was really impressive. I had Souza in that fight, and I was wrong. I didn’t think Hermansson could beat the elite at 185 lbs, and that’s been… well… disproven.</strong></p><p><strong>I don’t think Jared Cannonier is elite in any division. The problem is they are really making you pay for Joker Jack if you want to bet him. (1.45) Just isn’t realistic for the risk. I do think Jack wins though, because he has a much easier time fighting behind that excellent jab when he is not fighting a south paw. The fact that Cannonier is orthodox sealed the deal for my opinion in this fight, but not at these odds. The props aren’t out yet, I will take a look at them when they drop later in the week and see if I can find a way for us to get on this fight. Check the Odds Market and The Sports Keg twitter accounts for updates on whether or not there is a way on this fight. </strong></p><h2><strong>THE LEAN</strong></h2><p><strong><em>Jack Hermansson (but I am off him this price.)</em></strong></p></div>
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