UFC Fight Night: 163 | Squared Up: Zabit vs Kattar Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Thursday, November 7, 2019 12:56 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 7, 2019 12:56 PM UTC

UFC Fight Night 163 features two top 15 featherweights when Zabit Magomedsharipov squares up against Calvin Kattar in the main event of the evening
<p>Coming off an incredible PPV for UFC: 244, the Ultimate Fighting Championship leaves the USA this week and heads back over sea. Next stop, Russia. It’s happening this weekend, Saturday afternoon under the lights of the CSKA Arena in Moscow, Russia. Last weekend despite a killer event, the main event was called early by a terrible decision that a UFC doctor made. All we could do is hope it doesn’t happen two weeks in a row. Ok my friends, lets get it!</p><p> </p><div><h2 style="text-align:center">Zabit Magomedsharipov (17-1) vs Calvin Katter (20-3)</h2><div><h2><br /><strong>Zabit Magomedsharipov</strong></h2><p>Zabit Magomedsharipov was born in the Soviet Union in 1991. From the age of 10 he began training in wrestling and later Sanda. By the time 2012 came along he was ready to become a professional mixed martial artist and began fighting for numerous regional promotions.</p><p>After 5 years of fighting on the regional scene, Magomedsharipov amassed a 12-1 record. It was at that point that he signed a UFC contract and he has been with the promotion ever since. He is currently ranked the #5 featherweight in the world. He is one or two wins away from a legitimate shot at Max Holloway and the featherweight strap. Can he take the next step up the mountain Saturday against Kattar? Below is a look at Magomedsharipov, by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/VHTGyPcGgwsWAT4EcLClMTtG4ak=/0x0:4270x2846/1200x800/filters:focal(1948x275:2630x957)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/64927229/1133327752.jpg.0.jpg" style="width:700px;height:467px" /></p><h2>Stats</h2><p><strong>Method of Victory</strong></p><ul> <li>6 wins by TKO</li> <li>4 wins by Decision</li> <li>7 wins by Submission</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strike (per/min)</strong></p><ul> <li>4.53 Landed</li> <li>2.44 Absorbed</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Takedowns</strong></p><ul> <li>59.09% Accuracy</li> <li>77.78% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Pros</h2><ul> <li>Grappler (A truly special wrestler and submission artist in the 145 lbs. division.</li> <li>Striking (So much of the focus is on Magomedsharipov’s grappling game which is incredible, but he has a very underrated striking game. His hand speed is not great, but his combinations are strong and his counter striking game is really underrated.)</li> <li>Pace/Stamina (Zabit sets a ridiculous pace. A pace that even most 145er’s can’t keep up with. It’s like running a sprint for 15 minutes when everyone else is trying to run a marathon.)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Cons</h2><ul> <li>Pressure (Not many people have got to Zabit, but for the ones that did it was consistent pressure in his face that made the difference. If you are tough enough to stand inside the box with him and consistently move forward in his face, you start to see the cracks in what seems like an impenetrable armor.)</li> <li>The Unknown (Zabit Magomedsharipov has only had 5 fights against world class competition. There is still a ton of situations we have yet to see him in, we have no idea how he will react if he is truly tested. No idea if that chin can take real damage yet. He has been straight clean in the UFC which is a testament to how good he is. Nonetheless, we need to see more before we know for sure that the man matches the hype.</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Calvin Kattar</h2><p>We don’t really know a lot about Calvin Kattar if I’m being honest. I can’t find a lot of information about Kattar before his time in the UFC. So here is what we do know. Born in Massachusetts, Kattar was a standout wrestler at Methuen High School. Somewhere after College he turned his focus to MMA. He began training fulltime, and in 2007 he made his pro debut on the regional scene. For the next decade he fought for various promotions including Combat Zone, Elite XC, Xtreme Championship and CES.</p><p>In 2017 Kattar signed with the UFC. At UFC: 214 Kattar made his debut against veteran Andre Fili. Kattar would go onto win in impressive fashion via unanimous decision. Since joining the UFC, Kattar has won 4 of his first 5 fights. He is currently the #11 ranked featherweight fighter in the world and has a phenomenal opportunity to skyrocket up the rankings with a win against Zabit Magomedsharipov. Below is a look at Calvin Kattar, by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://www.bostonherald.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/0808-NWS-BHR-L-UFCkattar.jpg?w=620" style="width:620px;height:349px" /></p><h2>Stats</h2><p><strong>Method of Victory</strong></p><ul> <li>9 wins by TKO</li> <li>8 wins by Decision</li> <li>3 wins by Submission</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strike (per/min)</strong></p><ul> <li>5.06 Landed</li> <li>6.35 Absorbed</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Takedowns</strong></p><ul> <li>33.33% Accuracy</li> <li>80.00% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Pros</h2><ul> <li>Kick Boxing (Calvin Kattar’s biggest Strength is his range kick boxing game. Does not go into the phone booth all that often. He would much rather stay on the outside at range and methodically breakdown his opponents from distance. Death by a thousand cuts.)</li> <li>Consistency (Kattar has serious power for the division. Can tur the lights off on anyone in the division.)</li> <li>Consistency (Calvin Kattar is crazy consistent. You know exactly what you are going to get from him in every fight. A technical, fundamentally sound range striking game behind solid footwork.)</li> <li>Takedown Defense (Cattar has really solid takedown defense. In fairness it hasn’t been Zabit Magomedsharipov trying to take you down, but you can all defend takedowns from the people in the cage. Everyone that has tried to take him down in the Octagon thus far has been the minor leagues. On Saturday he hits the major league.)</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Cons</strong></p><ul> <li>Striking Defense (Calvin Kattar absorbs 6.35 significant strikes per MINUTE. That is way too many against someone that as talented as Zabit. If Kattar has any chance on Saturday, he needs to be well under his average to win the fight.)</li> <li>Absorbing Leg Kicks (We have seen multiple fighters give Kattar problems behind an effective leg kick. He doesn’t check them enough and once he does he becomes much easier to takedown.)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>The Verdict</h2><p>So, who wins the fight? This one seems easy to me. I’m not going to try an reinvent the wheel here. Everything we have seen from the two of these guys in the Octagon thus far tells me that Zabit Magomedsharipov is two levels above Calvin Kattar.</p><p>Kattar has never fought someone that is this big a takedown threat when you consider how good Zabit is on his feet. That is what sets up his incredible takedown and grappling game.</p><p>Fighters are so worried about his takedowns that it opens up his striking game and vice versa. You may look at these odds and say there is no value in taking Zabit in this fight, but I disagree. He is currently (1.33) which is not bad when you consider he should be in the (1.20) range. I don’t normally lay a price like this in these articles but I am doing it here. Zabit will fight for the featherweight strap soon, and eventually you won’t be able to get him at (1.33). I am going to take advantage of it while I can.</p><p><strong>Best Pick: Zabit Magomedsharipov to win at 1/3 (1.33) <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a></strong></p></div></div>
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