UFC Fight Night 165: Betting Tips & Predictions ‘The Dogs and Their Odds'


Tuesday, December 17, 2019 3:51 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2019 3:51 PM UTC

The final UFC card of the year is upon us, one last set of predictions and analysis for 2019 with Fight Night 165 in Busan this weekend.
<div><h2 align="center"><strong><em>The Dogs Odds</em></strong></h2><p align="center"><strong>UFC Fight Night 165 takes place on Saturday, 21<sup>st</sup> December live from The Sajik Arena in Busan, South Korea </strong></p><p align="center"> </p><h2 align="center"><strong>Heili Alateng vs Ryan Benoit </strong></h2><p align="center"><strong>Bantamweight Bout </strong></p><p align="center"><strong>UFC Busan Prediction: <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/ryan-benoit-vs-heili-alateng-4008863/">Heili Alateng to win @ 2.00 [+100] </a>with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a></strong></p><p align="center"> </p><p><strong><u>Heili Alateng </u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>28</p><p><strong>Nationality: </strong>China</p><p><strong>Record: </strong>13-7-1</p><p><strong>Height: </strong>5ft 6”</p><p><strong>Reach: </strong>66.5”</p><p><strong>Current Streak: </strong>3 wins</p><p><strong>Gym: </strong>Team Alateng</p><p><strong>Notable Gym Members: </strong>N/A</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Significant Strikes</u> (UFC) </strong></p><p><strong>Landed Per Min: </strong>2.40</p><p><strong>Accuracy: </strong>40%<strong> </strong></p><p><strong>Defence: </strong>63%<strong> </strong></p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Grappling (UFC)</u></strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Average: </strong>3.00</p><p><strong>Takedown Accuracy: </strong>42%</p><p><strong>Takedown Defended: </strong>100%</p><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/5Ml8BmPIZ1c" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>The final fight event of the UFC calendar year is days away and what a 12 months it’s been for the underdogs. Countless successful dogs have cashed here at odds market so let’s try and grab a few more before Christmas.</p><p>The first fight of the night took my interest when I saw the returning Ryan Benoit step up against Chinese fighter Heili Alateng. Similar in style to Benoit, Alateng is a short but stocky Bantamweight and will welcome Benoit to the weight division for the first time. Alateng has a strong wrestling base fighting out of his own gym in China.</p><p>With plenty of power behind his punch, Alateng has also proven himself on the feet. Whilst fighting on the Chinese regionals he amassed 4 wins by knockout/TKO.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Ryan Benoit</u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>27</p><p><strong>Nationality: </strong>American</p><p><strong>Record: </strong>10-5-0</p><p><strong>Height: </strong>5ft 5”</p><p><strong>Reach: </strong>68.5”</p><p><strong>Current Streak: </strong>1 win</p><p><strong>Gym: </strong>Combat Corner</p><p><strong>Notable Gym Members:</strong> Mark De La Rosa</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Significant Strikes (UFC)</u> </strong></p><p><strong>Landed Per Min: </strong>2.38</p><p><strong>Accuracy: </strong>36%</p><p><strong>Defence: </strong>59%</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Grappling (UFC)</u></strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Average: </strong>0.24</p><p><strong>Takedown Accuracy: </strong>20%</p><p><strong>Takedown Defended: </strong>62%</p><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/INH2aI99w-8" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>In his last outing, Benoit came off with an impressive third-round knockout over Ashkan Mookhtarian and then dropped out for two years. His absence could be a positive or a negative but even prior to his departure; octagon activity wasn’t high. Since 2013 Benoit had only taken 6 fights, alternating between wins and losses he never managed to get in a groove.</p><p>With the two-year layoff meaning nothing until we actually witness Benoit in action, he certainly holds a significant experience advantage over Alateng. Can Benoit return to action more impressive than ever? Or does the hostile territory and long lay-off affect Benoit’s plan of attack?</p><p> </p><h2><strong>At the end of the day </strong></h2><p>I think both fighters have huge flaws in their striking defence but watching Alateng’s past performances shows durability to withstand the early punishment that Benoit might bring. Alateng has some solid offensive striking, he does leave himself open on times; then again, so does his opponent.</p><p>A lot of unknowns from the Benoit camp, after failing to make weight when we last some him he’ll now make his debut in the Bantamweight division. Will the extra weight affect his cardio? How active has Benoit been the 2-year break? The unknowns are a huge risk.</p><p>For the first fight of the night, I have to side with the dog. Maybe, Benoit will look great at Bantamweight and make a good run but, maybe isn’t good enough. With no activity inside the octagon for two years, Benoit needs to prove himself all over again. So, Alateng doesn’t have as much UFC experience as Benoit but his activity has been non-stop. If unsuccessful when striking with Benoit then Alateng has a real strong wrestling offence he can fall-back on.</p><p>I don’t expect this fight to be a pretty one; a tough fought decision victory is how I envision Alateng taking this bout. Grab the dog at even money whilst you can, the line has been moving already.</p><p> </p><p align="center"><strong><u>Some statistics below you may find interesting</u></strong></p><p style="text-align:center">Alateng is 9-1-1 in his previous 11 fights</p><p style="text-align:center">Benoit has been side-lined for 2-years</p><p style="text-align:center">Benoit is moving up from Flyweight (125lbs) to Bantamweight</p><p> </p><h2 align="center"><strong>Da Un Jung vs Mike Rodriguez </strong></h2><p align="center"><strong>Light Heavyweight Bout </strong></p><p align="center"><strong>UFC Busan Prediction: <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/mike-rodriguez-vs-da-un-jung-4008854/" target="_blank">Da Un Jung to win @ 2.13 [+113]</a> with <a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Pinnacle</a></strong></p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Da Un Jung</u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>25</p><p><strong>Nationality: </strong>S Korea</p><p><strong>Record: </strong>12-2-0</p><p><strong>Height: </strong>6ft 4”</p><p><strong>Reach: </strong>78.5”</p><p><strong>Current Streak: </strong>11 wins</p><p><strong>Gym: </strong>Korea Top Team</p><p><strong>Notable Gym Members: </strong>Jun Yong Park</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Significant Strikes (UFC)</u> </strong></p><p><strong>Landed Per Min: </strong>6.76</p><p><strong>Accuracy: </strong>42%</p><p><strong>Defence: </strong>47%</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Grappling (UFC)</u></strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Average: </strong>0</p><p><strong>Takedown Accuracy: </strong>0</p><p><strong>Takedown Defended: </strong>83%</p><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/CKxeVZlo1nY" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>Back in August, we witnessed Jung make his UFC debut against dangerous Russian striker Khadis Ibragimov. After defying the odds and surviving a barrage of strikes from Ibra, Jung sank in a guillotine choke-hold towards the end of the third round and cashed as one of the biggest underdogs on the night.</p><p>Jung has minimal UFC experience but through studying his fight tape outside of the UFC, I’ve noticed one common trait, his cardio and ability to push the pace. Much like his 3<sup>rd</sup> round win against Ibragimov, Jung has prevailed towards the latter of his fights on numerous occasions and hasn’t been stopped in his previous eleven fights.</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Mike Rodriguez</u></strong></p><p><strong>Age: </strong>31</p><p><strong>Record: </strong>10-4-0</p><p><strong>Height: </strong>6ft 3”</p><p><strong>Reach: </strong>82.5”</p><p><strong>Current Streak: </strong>1 loss</p><p><strong>Gym: </strong>Lauzon MMA</p><p><strong>Notable Gym Members:</strong> Joe Lauzon, Calvin Kattar &amp; Rob Font</p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Significant Strikes</u> </strong></p><p><strong>Landed Per Min: </strong>4.31<strong> </strong></p><p><strong>Accuracy: </strong>52%<strong> </strong></p><p><strong>Defence: </strong>45%<strong> </strong></p><p> </p><p><strong><u>Grappling</u></strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Average: </strong>0<strong> </strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Accuracy: </strong>0<strong> </strong></p><p><strong>Takedown Defended: </strong>38%<strong> </strong></p><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/A5Do0fYxTSI" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>Since being picked up from DWCS (Dana Whites Contender Series) Mike hasn’t found his stride in the Light Heavyweight division. A long rangy Muay Thai based fighter in Mike just hasn’t been able to pick up much success in a division of sharks.</p><p>In his previous bout against John Allan, Mike’s grappling weaknesses were exposed in a striker versus grappler matchup. Now we’ll see Mike take on another grappler in Jung which might not far too well for him.</p><h2><strong>At the end of the day </strong></h2><p>Although Jung hold’s countless TKO victories on his record, his path to victory against Mike will be a grappling exchange. Jung was able to weather the storm that Ibragimov put him under which gives me confidence he can accomplish the same outcome against Mike.</p><p>I’ve noticed the lack of cardio Mike Rodriguez has fought in later rounds up against the pace Jung puts on throughout the entirety of his contests. I should point out that Mike has never won a fight by decision, which also points towards his lack of cardio.</p><p>With all said and done the final underdog of the year will Da Un Jung. The 11 fight win streak isn’t pure luck and although Jung has found himself in danger and exposed certain flaws in his game, he always manages to pull himself out. I respect his fight intelligence and think he can out-smart Mike Rodriguez with the support of the home crowd.</p><p> </p><p align="center"><strong><u>Some statistics below you may find interesting</u></strong></p><p style="text-align:center">Jung is undefeated at Light Heavyweight</p><p style="text-align:center">Jung is on an 11 fight winning streak</p><p style="text-align:center">Rodriguez has never fought outside the USA</p><p> </p><p align="center"><em>UFC Busan takes place on Saturday 21<sup>st</sup> of December live from the Sajik Arena in Busan, South Korea </em></p><p align="center"><em>If you would like to check up on any underdogs or odds not mentioned in this article then click <a href="http://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting">HERE</a>.</em></p><p align="center"><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=162&amp;a=ec641d03-1e6d-4096-9f5f-d2a6939022d0&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://cmscdn.staticcache.org/assets/image/0005/1349915/Biggest-Ever-Bet-Boost-1280x480-English-UK.jpg" style="width:100%" /></a></p></div>
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