UFC Fight Night: 165 | Squared Up: Edgar vs Chan Sung Jung Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Thursday, December 19, 2019 5:14 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 19, 2019 5:14 PM UTC

Find out the best tips for this Saturday's UFC Fight Night 165 main event between Edgar and Chang Sung Jung.
<p>Fresh off the sickest pay per view of the 2019 fight year, there is still one more UFC event to cap the year off that many people have forgotten about. The event is incredibly early Saturday morning for fight fans in the states, but the hardcore fans will be ready like they are every week as the UFC invades South Korea for UFC Fight Night: 165. The main event will take place under the lights of the Sajik Arena when Frankie Edgar squares up against ‘The Korean Zombie’ Chan Sung Jung.</p><p>The UFC rankings have changed since they made the poster for the event. Frankie Edgar has moved up a spot after this past weekend. He is now the #4 ranked featherweight fighter in the world. This is an important fight for both fighters. Edgar is an aging legend that if he ever plans on fighting for a championship again before he retires, he can not afford to lose this fight. On</p><p>the other side of the cage stands The Korean Zombie. A fighter in his prime that has moved consistently up the rankings the last few years. He fought and lost to Jose Aldo for the featherweight championship in 2013. 6 years ago when he was to young to realize the moment. Will another title opportunity end differently? The path to find that out starts Saturday with Frankie Edgar. ALRIGHT… LET’S DO THE DAMN THING!</p><p> </p><div><h2 style="text-align:center">FRANKIE EDGAR (23-7-1) VS CHAN SUNG JUNG (15-5)</h2><p> </p><h2>Frankie Edgar</h2><div><p>Frankie ‘The Answer’ Edgar holds a special place in my heart. He grew up in Toms River, New Jersey about an hour away from where I live. He is a hero in our state. He grew up as a phenomenal high school wrestler that qualified for multiple national tournaments. He continued his wrestling career in college before pursuing a career in mixed martial arts.</p><p>He amassed a 5-0 record before getting the opportunity of a lifetime at UFC: 67. That night he won a unanimous decision against Tyson Griffin. He would go on to win his next two fights in the UFC at event 73 and 78, but it would be his fourth fight in the UFC that started his massive rise in popularity. At UFC Fight Night 13 Edgar would fight Gray Maynard for the first of three times. The trilogy would catapult Edgar into the hearts and minds of the MMA community. He would go 1-1-1 against Maynard in those three fights. With a decade of hard work under</p><p>Edgar’s belt, he was finally given the opportunity to fight for the UFC lightweight championship against BJ Penn at UFC 112. He won the belt that night and again the first fight in another epic trilogy where he would beat Penn all three times cementing his legacy in the sport. He walks into the cage Saturday night as the #4 ranked featherweight in the world. This is a road game for Frankie. He will walk into hostile territory to take on a monster this weekend. Although he fought Holloway and lost in a championship fight recently at UFC: 240, Holloway is no longer the champion. Theoretically a win against Zombie may mean another title opportunity around the corner. Can Frankie build on the amazing legacy he already has, or will this be the beginning of the end for ‘The Answer’? Below is a look at Frankie Edgar, by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://ufc-video.s3.amazonaws.com/image/UFN_Atlantic_City/111GettyImages-949805418.jpg" style="width:650px;height:365px" /></p><h2>Stats:</h2><p><strong>Method of Victory:</strong></p><ul> <li>7 wins by TKO</li> <li>12 wins by Decision</li> <li>4 wins by Submission</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Significant Strikes (per/min):</strong></p><ul> <li>3.59 Landed</li> <li>2.39 Absorbed</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Takedowns:</strong></p><ul> <li>31.92% Accuracy</li> <li>65.63% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Pros</h2><ul> <li>Wrestling (Frankie’s wrestling is legendary for the 145/155 divisions. He was the benchmark for the double leg and high crotch takedowns, and absolutely absurd top control for his size. He is getting up in age, especially for an MMA fighter, but strength is one of the last things to go.)</li> <li>Striking Accuracy (He was never known for the heaviest hands in the division but his accuracy in the pocket is fantastic. Technically his boxing is pretty flawless)</li> <li>Fight IQ (We are talking about a guy that made his UFC debut in 2007. Yea, let that sink in for a minute, I’ll wait…..)</li> <li>Stamina (The kid is a robot. 30 professional MMA fights and I have never seen him gas out. That’s through multiple 5 round main event and championship fights and 2 grueling trilogies.)</li></ul><div> </div><h2><strong>Cons</strong></h2><div><ul> <li>Chin (It pains me to say this, but it needs be said. For 12 years Frankie Edgar had a mythical chin. It would not crack, it was made of iron. After 11 years in the Octagon it changed in one night. That almost 39 year old chin that had been through so many wars, finally cracked in his fight against Brian Ortega. Historically, that is a VERY BAD SIGN. When it finally happens, it means it WILL happen again at some point.)</li> <li>Size (A younger Frankie Edgar was so proficient in what he practiced, and because of this he overcame the size differential in almost every fight in his career. Here is the problem… Now he is two years shy of 40 and Saturday night he steps into the cage with an animal. He is smaller, his striking is not as powerful, and he is not as quick as his opponent. Saturday night is a tough ask for Edgar, if he wins… he earned it.)</li></ul><h2><br /><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=160&amp;a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://imstore.bet365affiliates.com/AffiliateCreativeBanners/Sports/General/Bet%20Builder/en-GB/UK/STD/728x90_2.jpeg" style="width:100%;height:12px" /></a></h2><h2><br />Chan Sung Jung (The Korean Zombie)</h2><p>On Saturday, Chan Sung Jung will be fighting with a giant homefield advantage. A native to South Korea, Chan Sung Jung was born in Pohang in 1987. While in high school Jung began to be bullied badly. So much in fact, that his family enrolled him in a local Hapkido gym. At the age of 14 he began training in kickboxing through high school. After graduating he began to practice in other mixed martial arts. It was at that point that he began training in the arts of Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and Judo.</p><p>By the time Chan Sung Jung turned 18 years old he had joined the South Korean Army. At that point he began training in yet another art, Taekwondo. In 2007, Chan Sung Jung began to enter mixed martial arts tournaments. In his first Pancrase tournament that Jung entered, he ran the table to win the lightweight division. In May of 2008 he made his professional MMA debut for a regional promotion where he won KOREA-FC’s 8 man tournament in the 65kg division.</p><p>After fighting on the regional scene, the biggest mixed martial arts promotion in the world finally called him, and Jung signed a multi-fight contract. He made his UFC debut in 2011 against Leonard Garcia at a UFC Fight Night where he won via submission. Since Chan Sung Jung joined the UFC, he has amassed a 5-2 record. One of those losses were for a UFC championship against Jose Aldo. A that point in time Aldo was the best mixed martial artist in the world. Jung was young and probably bit off more than he can chew. A win on Saturday would go a long way to getting ‘The Korean Zombie’ another title opportunity. Will the moment be too big for an older Chan Sung Jung? Below is a look at The Korean Zombie, by the numbers.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_fill,w_688,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/shape/cover/sport/UFC-Fight-Night-The-Korean-Zombie-v-Rodriguez-fd3503d6c5f44e23d0e1c9ecb76e041c.jpg" style="width:650px;height:366px" /></p><h2>Stats</h2><p><strong>Method of Victory:</strong></p><ul> <li>5 wins by TKO</li> <li>2 wins by Decision</li> <li>8 wins by Submission</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Significant Strikes (per/min):</strong></p><ul> <li>4.25 Landed</li> <li>3.77 Absorbed</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Takedowns:</strong></p><ul> <li>41.67% Accuracy</li> <li>75.00% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Pros</h2><ul> <li>Zombie (They named this man THE KOREAN ZOMBIE because he can take an incredible amount of damage and he just keeps walking forward. Does Frankie Edgar have the ability to level the amount of damage that it will take for Chan Sung Jung to stop walking forward?)</li> <li>Submissions/Ground Game (When you think of TKZ you think kickboxing first, but he has a very underrated submission game. He might be one of 3 or 4 people that have submitted someone with a twister in the UFC. If he gets your back, he is deadly. Overall, you have to be worried about the skills that TKZ has on the ground)</li> <li>Striking (A the end of the day what the Zombie does best is punch people in the face. He is good at it.</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Cons</h2><ul> <li>Striking Defense (Although he has improved tremendously, there is a reason why they call him TKZ. The good news is he holds up well most of the time. The bad news is sometimes he doesn’t, and that is because his striking defense as bad as it was might be average now. He has a real problem taking his head off the center line while he is throwing hands and while he is absorbing hands. He doesn’t check leg kicks, he just walks through them like a machine. Well unfortunately, machines break sometimes.)</li> <li>Stamina (His stamina is average, and if he wasn’t fighting someone with and endless gas tank it would not be an issue, but to be fair Frankie Edgar can go 10 rounds Saturday. TKZ is going to have to monitor his output in order for him to sustain offense for 5 rounds.)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>The Verdict</h2><p>This is a tough call for me. I love Frankie Edgar. I almost never pick against him, because he almost never lets me down. Let’s start with the fact that if this fight is even remotely close and Edgar does not finish Chan Sung Jung, there is a BIG chance they score in favor of Jung. Judges are fickle, especially in other parts of the world. They almost ALWAYS take the hometown boy in a close fight.</p><p>Edgar has only ever lost to the very elite in a UFC division. He almost never takes a bad loss. He beats the best of the rest often. The question is what is Chan Sung Jung? Is he one of the best of the rest, or is he part of the elite? People forget that Jung is only 32 years old. It seems like he has been around the UFC forever. He has, but he has only fought 7 times in the UFC.</p><p>I think if this fight was 5 years ago, Frankie wins this fight. Age gets everyone, and at almost 39 years old and for someone that has been in so many wars, Frankie has had something taken off his fastball. I think that smallest edge lost is the reason that TKZ wins this fight.</p><p>As much as I have loved Edgar’s boxing game through the years, it has not looked the same recently. I think I now have to give the edge in striking to Chan Sung Jung. Edgar’s chin has finally cracked, we saw that in the Ortega fight. It would not shock me to see Jung put Edgar down.</p><p>Edgar has a great wrestling game, but I don’t think he can take down Jung at will, because he is an underrated grappler in his own right. If Frankie can’t get him down, I think he loses. This one hurts, but give me The Korean Zombie.</p><p><strong>Best Tip: Chan Sung Jung to win at 4/7 (1.57) at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a></strong></p></div></div></div>
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