UFC on ESPN 6 | Squared Up: Weidman vs Reyes Predictions & Analysis

Jason Paglia

Wednesday, October 16, 2019 11:21 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2019 11:21 AM UTC

Find the best bets for this Friday's fight between Weidman and Reyes
<p>The Ultimate Fighting Championship heads back to Boston, Massachusetts for UFC on ESPN 6. It all goes down Friday night under the lights of the TD Garden Arena. The main event is sure to be a banger. For the First time in his UFC career, Chris Weidman steps up to the light heavyweight ranks to take on the #4 light heavyweight fighter in the world, Dominick Reyes. The fight card as a whole should be an entertaining, but the main event is sure to bring the fireworks for a night cap. We have hit 3 of the last 4 Squared Up selections, so let’s make it 4 for 5 shall we? Enough talk…. Let’s get after it!</p><p> </p><div><h2 style="text-align:center">Chris Weidman (14-4) vs Dominick Reyes (11-0)</h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>UFC on ESPN 6 at Boston, Massachusetts</strong></p><h2><br /><strong>Chris Weidman</strong></h2><p>Born in Long Island, New York, Chris Weidman grew up as a standout high school wrestler. In high school he would become a New York state high school wrestling champion. Even though he excelled at a young age he would still have to prove himself in junior college before having the opportunity to transfer to a D1 university. He would earn All-American wrestling honors twice at Nassau Community College before finally gaining the attention of Hofstra University. It would be more of the same for Chris Weidman once he reached Division 1A. At Hofstra he would become a two time Division All-American, but in the end he fell short of his ultimate goal, placing 3rd at the NCAA Tournament his senior year.</p><p>While at Hofstra he began training in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu at Matt &amp; Nick Serra’s academy. Shortly after he was introduced to Ray Longo and began training full-time to become a MMA fighter. In 2009 he made his professional debut on the regional scene and by 2011 he had been signed to the biggest MMA promotion in the world. He made his UFC debut against Alessio Sakara at UFC Live where he won via unanimous decision. With a 5-0 record in the UFC he was given the opportunity at immortality. At UFC 162, He faced a legend. Anderson Silva had defended his title what seemed like 100 consecutive times coming into the fight. Chris Weidman shocked the world that night and beat the unbeatable fighter to by TKO to win the UFC middleweight championship. Unfortunate for Weidman he has suffered multiple losses since then and his career is basically on life support now. He is in desperate need of win against Dominick Reyes and steps into this fight Friday night as the #8 ranked middleweight fighter in the world.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://i2-prod.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article3827835.ece/ALTERNATES/s615/Chris-Weidman-vs-Lyoto-Machida.jpg" style="width:615px;height:409px" /></p><h2>Stats</h2><p><strong>Method of Victory</strong></p><ul> <li>6 wins by TKO</li> <li>4 wins by Decision</li> <li>4 wins by Submission</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes (per/min)</strong></p><ul> <li>3.15 Landed</li> <li>3.23 Absorbed</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Takedowns</strong></p><ul> <li>52.11% Accuracy</li> <li>73.33% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Pros:</strong></p><ul> <li>Wrestling (He is one of the greatest wrestlers in the history of the UFC middleweight division, full stop.)</li> <li>Striking (Trainer Ray Longo has brought Weidman’s striking game a really long way since his start in Ring of Honor. He doesn’t have the fastest hands or anything for that matter, but he dos have knockout power in his gloves and is an above average striker on the whole.)</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Cons:</strong></p><ul> <li>Damage (Even though Weidman has had a lot of time off, he has taken a ton of damage over the years and he is shop warn. He is not as fast as he once was, and he tires more easily.)</li> <li>Chin (Chris Weidman’s chin is beyond gone. It is borderline sad at this point. His chin retired 3 years ago but the rest of his body hasn’t caught up yet.)</li></ul><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=160&amp;a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://imstore.bet365affiliates.com/AffiliateCreativeBanners/Sports/General/Bet%20Builder/en-GB/UK/STD/728x90_2.jpeg" style="width:100%;height:12px" /></a></p><h2>Dominick Reyes</h2><p>Dominick Reyes grew up in Hesperia, California. He grew up playing multiple sports. He wrestled in high school and played football. With dreams of making the NFL, he went to Stony Brook University to play football but fell short after not being drafted.</p><p>After his football dreams evaporated, we moved back to California and started training full-time at his brothers mixed martial arts gym. His brother and fellow trainers saw unlimited potential in Reyes and urged him to become a professional MMA fighter. With a professional record of 6-0 and a knockout victory that went viral on the internet, the UFC signed Reyes to a contract. He made his UFC debut at UFC Fight Night 112 against Joachim Christensen where he won the performance of the night bonus after winning via knockout in the opening minute of the fight. Since then, Reyes has amassed a 5-0 record in the UFC and steps into the cage Friday night as the #4 ranked light heavyweight fighter in the world.</p><p style="text-align:center"><img alt src="https://usatmmajunkie.files.wordpress.com/2019/03/dominick-reyes-volkan-oezdemir-ufc-london-7.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1" style="width:650px;height:390px" /></p><h2><strong>Stats</strong></h2><p><strong>Method of Victory</strong></p><ul> <li>6 wins by TKO</li> <li>3 wins by Decision</li> <li>2 win by Submission</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes (per/min)</strong></p><ul> <li>5.05 Landed</li> <li>2.27 Absorbed</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Takedowns</strong></p><ul> <li>16.67% Accuracy</li> <li>85.71% Defended</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Pros:</strong></p><ul> <li>Striking (Dominick Reyes is a very solid striker, both at range and in the pocket. His combinations are strong and his leg kicks are both powerful and has a fast enough muscle twitch reaction to catch opponents off guard.)</li> <li>Power (Dominick Reyes has shown himself to have substantial knockout power for the division. More than half of his victories have come by way of knockout and he will be a serious threat to grab another knockout win come Friday.)</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong>Cons:</strong></p><ul> <li>Cardio (I have never seen him fully gas out in the cage but he has looked more tired than I would have thought he would be, especially when you consider he was winning the fights. It could become a potential issue down the line. I need to see more from him to really know where his gas tank levels at.)</li> <li>The Unknown (Dominick Reyes may be a special talent. The problem is, he may not be a special talent. There are so many unknowns when we are talking about a fighter that has had 11 professional fights. That is not a big enough sample size to really have an idea of how this kid stacks up against the cream of the division. Again, here we have a situation where he is fighting someone that is not even close to the cream of the division. What will we learn from this fight? Probably not much…)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>The Verdict</h2><ul> <li>So, who wins this fight? Well, I am not betting on a fighter. I am fading a body part. Dominick Reyes may be a special talent. He also may not be that kind of talent. All we know is he has fought 11 times, and is already the #4 ranked light heavyweight in the world. What do I like from this kid the most? His hands. He is a very solid striker. He is accurate and he has a ton of power.</li> <li>Enter Chris Weidman’s CHIN. Chris Weidman might have the most fadeable body part in all of mixed martial arts. That chin has been cracked 4 times in the last 5 fights. That is REALLY</li> <li>REALLY BAD. He almost certainly has early onset CTE by now. Anyone that is willing to back Chris Weidman right now, does not understand the dynamics of combat sports. Could he get lucky and catch Reyes? Sure he could, it’s a fight. Are you willing to put your money on the line that he taps the button before Dominick Reyes does? Good Luck with that. Who knocked out Weidman? Luke Rockhold, Yoel Romero, Gegard Mousasi, Jacare Souza and on Friday night… Dominick Reyes.</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Best UFC Pick: Dominick Reyes to win at 4/7 (1.58) – <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a></strong></p></div>
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