UFC Washington: Betting Picks & Predictions ‘The Dogs and Their Odds’


Wednesday, December 4, 2019 10:16 AM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 4, 2019 10:16 AM UTC

The UFC drought has come to an end, the wait is over. Are you ready for some UFC on ESPN+7 predictions?
<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Ricky Simon vs Rob Font</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/ricky-simon-vs-rob-font-3991423/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Bantamweight Bout</strong></a></p><p>UFC on ESPN+7 takes place on Saturday, 7th December live from The Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.</p><p><strong>UFC Washington Prediction:</strong> Ricky Simon to win @ 2.23 [+123] with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">William Hill</a></p><h2>Ricky Simon</h2><ul> <li>Age: 27</li> <li>Record: 15-2-0</li> <li>Height: 5ft 6”</li> <li>Reach: 69”</li> <li>Current Streak: 1 loss</li> <li>Gym: ATT Portland</li> <li>Notable Gym Members: ED Herman</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Landed Per Min: 2.72</li> <li>Accuracy: 41%</li> <li>Defence: 68%</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Grappling (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Takedown Average: 6.66</li> <li>Takedown Accuracy: 52%</li> <li>Takedown Defended: 72%</li></ul><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/BvOxcmOUNJA" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>What an absolute shocker of a result we were presented with in Ricky Simon’s previous UFC bout. Ageing veteran Uriah Faber countered the up and coming prospect with a beautiful right hand that sent Simon plummeting to the canvas. Faber pounced on him and finished the fight by TKO. Prior to the commotion, Simon was finding success everywhere. Sticking to his usual tactics, he was aggressively pressuring Faber whilst landing a mixture of strikes. Unfortunately, his eagerness cost him which I’m sure will be a well-learnt lesson.</p><p>This weekend Simon will face a striker that will be sure to give him more problems in the striking department that Faber could (obviously, not including the lucky TKO). Rob Font comes across as the more technically profound striker than Simon, whilst Simon has a more barbaric style of striking offence. In the clinch and when he’s offensively wrestling, Simon should have the advantage in every area. I do think it’ll be a close fight, but Ricky excels as the better-rounded fighter.</p><p> </p><h2>Rob Font</h2><ul> <li>Age: 32</li> <li>Record: 16-4-0</li> <li>Height: 5ft 8”</li> <li>Reach: 71.5”</li> <li>Current Streak: 1 win</li> <li>Gym: Hard Knocks Boston</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Landed Per Min: 4.94</li> <li>Accuracy: 40%</li> <li>Defence: 63%</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Grappling (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Takedown Average: 1.29</li> <li>Takedown Accuracy: 33%</li> <li>Takedown Defended: 30%</li></ul><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/i2R47-82Fi0" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>Rob Font has been in competition against some of the UFC’s finest for nearly six years now and has found great success when fighting other strikers. An almost perfect jab combined with great footwork shows on Font’s record; other than top 15 fighters, Font has sailed through his opponents by out striking them to a decision or knocking them out.</p><p>So, it’s been nearly a year to the day since we’ve last saw Font, I’m not sure why but his activity in 2019 has been non-existent. A promising prospect with some excellent takedown offence could cause problems for Font and if he doesn’t manage to get Simon finished within 15 minutes, he’ll be facing a home town boy and the judges making those decisions sat behind 1000’s of Simon fans.</p><p> </p><h2>At the end of the day</h2><p>I have no doubt in my mind that Rob Font has the striking advantage. I’m not so sure I can vouch for his power but, technically speaking Font should outclass Simon if the fight remains standing for fifteen minutes. On the other hand, I have no doubt in my mind that Simon can land takedowns between the striking exchanges.</p><p>Not to discredit Simon’s striking offence because the prospect has power and some lethal knee strikes. I just don’t think his game plan will be to strike with the longer, higher-level striker.</p><p>This fight has been tipped as one of the toughest fights to predict on the card, which from a betting perspective is perfect when the book maker’s odds aren’t correlating with the coin toss. I love Simon’s chances to win a decision here through his powerful double leg takedowns and some heavy ground and pound. If this fight is as close as we predict, the home town boy may just get the judges advantage too.</p><p>Some statistics below you may find interesting</p><ul> <li>Font has been finished just once in 20 fights</li> <li>Simon was on 8 fight win streak prior to the Faber TKO</li> <li>Font is 15-1 in his last 16 fights in the USA</li></ul><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center">Alistair Overeem vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik</h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/int/ultimate-fighting-championship/jairzinho-rozenstruik-vs-alistair-overeem-3991417/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds"><strong>Heavyweight Bout</strong></a></p><p>UFC on ESPN+7 takes place on Saturday, 7th December live from The Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.</p><p><strong>UFC Washington Prediction:</strong> Rozenstruik Inside the Distance @ 2.30 [+130] with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Sportsbook!">Bet365</a></p><p> </p><h2>Alistair Overeem</h2><ul> <li>Age: 39</li> <li>Record: 12-2-0</li> <li>Height: 6ft 4”</li> <li>Reach: 80”</li> <li>Current Streak: 2 wins</li> <li>Gym: Elevation Fight Team</li> <li>Notable Gym Members: Justin Gaethje, Dominick Reyes, Cory Sandhagen</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Landed Per Min: 3.59</li> <li>Accuracy: 61%</li> <li>Defence: 60%</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Grappling (UFC)</strong></p><ul> <li>Takedown Average: 1.40</li> <li>Takedown Accuracy: 60%</li> <li>Takedown Defended: 73%</li></ul><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/9WlgMa2F5-I" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>The Heavyweight main event is of epic proportions; two heavy-hitters from separate generations of the fight game will go head to head. New-comer Jairzinho Rozenstruik will be hunting for his fourth KO/TKO finish in the UFC when he steps up against UFC Heavyweight legend, Alistair Overeem.</p><p>Overeem has been a true MMA staple name in the UFC for eight years and has fought the who’s who in the division. Lethal clinch work, striking, size and power provides Overeem with the attributes of success in the Heavyweight division and a late resurgence in the veteran’s career places him against the new-blood of in the HW rankings.</p><p>Although critics believe Overeem will turn this fight into a grappling match, he’s not the type of fighter who will spam the takedown or chain wrestle his way through a round or two, it’s not going to happen. Rozenstruik may be susceptible to a takedown but, can ‘The Reem’ keep the fight there or finish him? Other than a handful of opponents, Overeem has barely attempted any offensive wrestling in his entire career, unless he finds it early with success, I’m doubtful we’ll see any grappling what so ever.</p><p> </p><h2>Jairzinho Rozenstruik</h2><ul> <li>Age: 31</li> <li>Record: 9-0-0</li> <li>Height: 6ft 4”</li> <li>Reach: 72”</li> <li>Current Streak: 9 wins</li> <li>Gym: Hard Knocks 365</li> <li>Notable Gym Members: Kamaru Usman, Robbie Lawler, Luke Rockhold</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Significant Strikes</strong></p><ul> <li>Landed Per Min: 4.29</li> <li>Accuracy: 70%</li> <li>Defence: 40%</li></ul><p><br /><strong>Grappling</strong></p><ul> <li>Takedown Average: 0</li> <li>Takedown Accuracy: 0%</li> <li>Takedown Defended: 66%</li></ul><p style="text-align:center">&lt;iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/IpitphDIT0Q" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;</p><p>Jairzinho Rozenstruik could well take himself into the top 5 of the UFC Heavyweight division and right into title talks within 5 fights, remarkable! ‘Bigi-Boy’ has flat-lined 8 out of 9 fighters who dared step into the octagon with him. The power he generates from effortless striking is scary, we haven’t seen a fighter hit this hard since the Francis Ngannou era.</p><p>The former kickboxing champion has plenty of combat experience under his record and due to last-minute replacement needed, now steps up to the plate against 6th ranked Alistair Overeem. 30 days’ notice is more than enough for Rozenstruik to lace up the gloves for the fourth time this year! and one thing is for sure, it’s doubtful this fight will reach the judge's scorecard.</p><p> </p><h2>At the end of the day</h2><p>I’m not following any hype train; I have been researching and supporting Jairzinho Rozenstruik since his debut in the organisation. I have the utmost respect for Overeem and the skill level he possesses, but, we can’t ignore his durability. I have to side with the younger KO artist who’ll have 25 minutes to find Overeem’s chin, just one-time!</p><p>I do think Overeem will test Rozenstruik in the clinch but he should be aware that Rozenstruik is more than familiar in the clinch himself, if Overeem shoots for the takedown early I think Rozenstruik can defend successfully and who knows, maybe Kamaru Usman has been giving Rozenstruik all the wrestling defence advice he needs.</p><p>I don’t see this fight surviving the test of time therefore taking either fighter straight up doesn’t make much sense. Give me an inside the distance wager on the “hype-train” thanks.</p><p>Some statistics below you may find interesting</p><ul> <li>8 of Overeem’s previous 9 fights have ended by KO</li> <li>Rozenstruik is undefeated in 9 fights with 8 KO’s</li> <li>Overeem has been knocked out 71% of the time in his UFC losses</li> <li>Rozenstruik has an 89% KO rate</li> <li>Rozenstruik fought 35 days ago</li></ul><p> </p><p>UFC on ESPN+7 takes place on Saturday 7th of November live from the Capital One Arena in Washington, DC If you would like to check up on any underdogs or odds not mentioned in this article then <a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/fighting/" target="_blank" title="More Fighting Odds and Picks">click HERE</a>.</p><p>Disclaimer: Wagers subject to change on my final betting card/record</p></div>
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