Aston Villa Could Derail Cardiff’s Promotion Bid

Gabe Morency

Tuesday, April 10, 2018 7:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 10, 2018 7:55 PM UTC

Promotion to the Premiership is worth more than £170 million and a few clubs are fighting tooth and nail to reach the Promised Land. Wolves invested heavily in the summer and they are all but.
<p>Promotion to the Premiership is worth more than £170 million, and a few clubs are fighting tooth and nail to reach the Promised Land. Wolves invested heavily in the summer, and they are all but certain to go up as they enjoy a huge lead at the top of the table. But second-placed Cardiff look to be in real danger of blowing their promotion bid after taking just one point from their last two games. Their lead over in-form Fulham has now been cut to just two points and they could relinquish it on Tuesday.</p><p>Neil Warnock’s men must travel to Birmingham to face Aston Villa and defeat could see Fulham leapfrog them. The top two teams are promoted automatically and the next four have to endure the lottery of the playoffs, whereby only one makes it up to the top flight. Fulham are in tremendous form – they have won their last three games in a row and taken 16 points from a possible 18 in recent weeks – and they really should beat Reading on Tuesday. Fulham and under 3.5 goals looks a really interesting bet as all of the Cottagers last five wins have seen under 3.5 goals.</p><p>Cardiff remain in the driving seat, as they have a game in hand on Fulham, but they need to return to winning ways quickly. They had secured eight straight victories before slumping to a 1-1 draw against Warnock’s old team, Sheff Utd, on April 2.</p><p>They then hosted Wolves in a massive six-pointer and ended up losing 1-0 thanks to a second-half strike from Ruben Neves. Wolves enjoyed 62% of the possession in that game and they were good value for their win. It has left them nine points clear of Cardiff and 11 ahead of Fulham, so they are virtually certain to be playing Premiership football next season.</p><p>Cardiff have six games left to play, whereas Fulham have just five, so they should still be able to earn promotion. They are 4/11 with William Hill and Sky Bet, and Fulham are 8/13 with Betway. That covers you for them either finishing second or winning the playoffs. But Aston Villa could well crash the party. They were pre-season favourites to be promoted after signing former England captain John Terry, and they are currently fourth. They trail Cardiff by seven points and have played an extra game, so their chances of finishing in the top two are slim. But the Villans will surely fight for every point, and they will be a huge threat to Cardiff on Tuesday.</p><p>The game is being shown live on Sky Sports, and Aston Villa should rise to the occasion. They hosted Wolves in the live game a couple of weeks ago and thrashed the league leaders 4-1, so they clearly have a ferociously talented side. Their form has been patchy of late, but they have the league’s third-best home record, with 12 wins from 20 games. Meanwhile, Cardiff are not great on the road, having only won nine of 19 away games, so it will be a stern test Tuesday night. The defeat against Wolves will have dented their confidence, and they are in danger of choking at the worst possible time.</p><p>Most of the betting action is going on an Aston Villa win and you can get a tempting 13/10 with William Hill on that. Both teams to score also looks interesting at 10/11 with Ladbrokes and Coral and 19/20 with 10Bet and Bet Stars. If Cardiff lose again, it will put the wind in Fulham’s sails, and they look a great bet to be promoted at 8/13. They have hit form at the perfect time, and even if they fail to earn automatic promotion they will be the clear favourites to win the playoffs.</p>
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