I’m a little bit scared this week. A little bit apprehensive about the selections in front of me.
<p>You need to understand that I have worked with a system of bet selection that has made me profit for the last 3 years and would have made profit almost every year going back ten seasons (there was one losing season but it was a small loss). The system and I do not always agree and there are times where I thoroughly disagree. But, the system has been proven to make more money than I do when I try to use my “knowledge”and overrule its selection.</p><p>But, as you’ll see, this week is tough.</p><p>My first bet is on the Friday night game between Dijon and Marseille. Dijon and I have a bit of a love-hate relationship, they win when I go against them and lose when I back them. Marseille are a bit of a basket case of a club and I reckon I’ve lost as much as I’ve won with them. Of course, my system has picked out a Marseille away win and this is a feasible bet. Marseille are the better side and the odds of 2.05 with Pinnacle do hold a smidgeon of value. That doesn’t make it an easy decision to back this choice, but I will.</p><p>If there is one side that has cost me more money this season than Monaco, I’d be surprised (there isn’t, I checked). They have been picked out on a regular basis by my system and yes, each bet has had value but only one or two have actually won and justified my faith in the system. This weekend they’re up against a Montpellier side that is doing pretty well and once again my system has gone for a Monaco win. It could be worse I suppose, Monaco are playing away from home, kind of a necessity right now considering their home form, and the return of Leonardo Jardim is threatening to see some optimism break out. Monaco do have good players as well so once again you can look at this one and justify a bet at the odds of 3.16 that Pinnacle are offering. But still…</p><p>My final bet of the weekend is another that makes me wonder. Toulouse are playing against Reims this week and looking at the size and finances available to the 2 clubs, you would expect Toulouse to be doing better in the league. Reims are higher. You may expect Toulouse to be in better form, they aren’t. They do at leats score more goals than Reims but only by 2 over the course of the season so far. Toulouse have also shipped quite a few goals this season, 33 in comparison to Reim’s 21.</p><p>But guess what? My system has gone for a Toulouse home win.</p><p>Ok, backing a side that’s playing at home with odds of 2.7 (BetVictor) can work out very nicely. Reims are also not as good on the road as they are at home so there is a slight ray of sunshine there.</p><p>There are no easy bets this week but each has value and betting isn’t always going to be easy. Sometimes you have to back that unpopular side that isn’t on a good run, simply because the numbers say that’s the sensible bet. It’s not easy and you won’t always win but this is the path that leads to profit 12 years out of 13.</p><p> </p><h2>My Bets</h2><p><strong><em><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/football/fr/ligue-1/dijon-fco-vs-olympique-marseille-3554546/?mtid=1">Marseille to win away at Dijon</a> – 2.05 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18">Bet365</a>.</em></strong></p><p><strong><em><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/football/fr/ligue-1/montpellier-hsc-vs-as-monaco-3554548/?mtid=1">Monaco to win away against Montpellier</a> – 3.16 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356">Paddy Power</a></em></strong></p><p><strong><em><a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/football/fr/ligue-1/toulouse-fc-vs-stade-reims-3554554/?mtid=1">Toulouse to win at home v Reims</a> – 2.7 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829">Coral</a></em></strong></p>