Euro Cup 2016 Odds: Germany vs Italy Betting

Gabe Morency

Friday, July 1, 2016 9:35 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 1, 2016 9:35 PM UTC

[embed]https://youtu.be/lm_rrjWlOkQ[/embed] Italy may have come into this competition branded as “the worst Italian side in 50 years” (not my judgement) but through simple defensive organization and a bucket load of grit they’ve got themselves into the.
<p>[embed]https://youtu.be/lm_rrjWlOkQ[/embed]</p><p>Italy may have come into this competition branded as “the worst Italian side in 50 years” (not my judgement) but through simple defensive organization and a bucket load of grit they’ve got themselves into the Euro 2016 quarter final stages and now face a match against the World Champions Germany.</p><p>These two sides are no stranger to each other, they’ve met fairly regularly since their first encounter back in 1923 (a 3-1 win for the Italians) despite their being a 52 year gap when Germany was split into two.</p><p>In fact these two met back in March when Germany ran out 4-1 winners with Kroos, Götze, Hector and Özil getting on the scoresheet that day (Özil even scored a penalty which proves to us he can do it). The last time these two met in competition was back in 2012 at the European Championship being held by both Poland and the Ukraine. Italy won 2-1 that day and they will be hoping their edge in competitive matches stays true in this game.</p><p>It will be tough though. Germany are just starting to go through the gears in this competition and just as we saw in Brazil, it’s not how you start a competition that counts, it’s how you end it. Joachim Löw (Mr Scratch &amp; Sniff) has taken Germany through the group stages without conceding a goal and seeing his side put 6 past the opposition. It was only in the last game against Slovakia that Germany started to look threatening, Northern Ireland had held them to just a single goal, Poland had kept them out completely and the 2-0 win against Ukraine seemed a bit labored at times.</p><p>Italy on the other hand started with an impressive win against Belgium, followed that up with a regulation victory over Sweden. The loss against Ireland was unexpected but an impressive win against Spain put any doubts to bed over this sides ability to progress in the competition.</p><p>So, with these two giants of the international game coming face to face yet again, what can we expect?</p><p>Well, Germany are yet to concede a goal and Italy have been getting plaudits for their defensive strength so it would be wise to assume this could be a low scoring game. Of course things are never that simple, if they were the bookies would have long since gone bust and we’d all be rolling in money.</p><p>The bookies reduce their risk by giving very low odds on any outcome that has a high likelihood of happening. For example the average odds on under 2.5 goals is around 1.46 right now and even the most optimistic punter would say that holds very little value.</p><p>Check out the match odds market though, before the tournament you would have jumped all over 2.3 at <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4829&amp;book=William Hill" target="_blank">William Hill</a> for a Germany win and the 3.8 at the same bookie for an Italian win is also very reasonable. If you don’t think this game will end in a draw then there is value on both sides of the draw. If you were thinking this could lead to some value in the Double Chance market then think again, 1 / 2 is available with <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4824&amp;book=Ladbrokes" target="_blank">Ladbrokes</a> at 1.4 and those are currently the best odds most people will be able to get their hands on. You’re better off taking the 2 individual bets in reality, if Italy win that could pay off nicely.</p><p>With two sides with such good defensive records then I’m surprised to see <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4835&amp;book=Betvictor" target="_blank">BetVictor</a> offering 1.62 for Both Team To Score (No). The odds aren’t brilliant but I would argue there is some value there for anyone expecting a tight game.</p><p>This could be an absorbing match with two sides using very different tactics, It may not be goal heavy but it should be good viewing regardless.</p>
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