FA Cup Betting: United and Saints for Upsets

Gabe Morency

Thursday, April 19, 2018 7:50 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 19, 2018 7:50 PM UTC

Following a four-game winning streak Tottenham Hotspur were a fancy to beat Manchester City last week and inflict another loss on the best team in Britain. But they were overwhelmed by City who were crowned.
<p>Following a four-game winning streak, Tottenham Hotspur were a fancy to beat Manchester City last week and inflict another loss on the best team in Britain. But they were overwhelmed by City, who were crowned champions days later when cross-town rivals United were beaten by West Bromwich Albion.</p><p>Since then Spurs were also held by Brighton in another listless performance. So it is a puzzle as to what to make of their credentials against Manchester United in the FA Cup semi-final on Saturday.</p><p>We are wary of them, to be sure. That’s because we have developed a theory that Tottenham are a media team. What does this term mean? Well, it basically translates as that the newspapers, magazines, television and radio have a propensity to gush about how good they are. When the reality is that they are a bit overrated. The bias comes from the fact that Spurs have plenty of England players, and that is something which always means the media are prone to hyping up.</p><p>United provide a good example of how favoured Spurs are. Jose Mourinho’s team are six points better off in the Premier League. And both made the last-16 of the Champions League. Yet United are routinely pilloried and Spurs pedestalled.</p><p>Mourinho may prove to be even more unpopular after this contest. The neutrals will be hoping for a goal-fest but we can’t see it. Most analysts agree that Mourinho will look to squeeze the life out of Tottenham and rarely venture forward.</p><p>So our first wager will be under at -120 with Ladbrokes. We also think United are value at +138 with Bet365 that they will qualify for the final. Remember, folks this one could go into extra time and penalties. The layers may well have over-egged the importance of this being a "home" game for Spurs. Yes, it’s at Wembley but they won’t be backed by a home crowd. It’s 50-50.</p><p>In the other semi-final, Chelsea take on Southampton. And we’re going to have a gamble on the Saints who will relish a free hit against a Chelsea team who have consistently disappointed. We can get +350 (William Hill) that they qualify.</p><p>The Saints have not had an upturn in fortunes under Mark Hughes and could well be destined for the drop. But that helps them here. They can relax and play a free-flowing style. The pressure is on Chelsea.</p>
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