Manchester City vs. Chelsea EUFA Champions League Final Top Picks

OM Staff

Wednesday, May 26, 2021 2:15 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 26, 2021 2:15 PM UTC

The 66th Champions League final is almost upon us as who English clubs clash in what should be a tense and very tactical match. Can Chelsea win this as underdogs or will Pep and co (pun) be third time lucky against Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea.
<div><h2 style="text-align:center">Manchester City vs. Chelsea</h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Saturday, May 29th, 2021 – 8PM GMT at Estádio do Dragão</strong></p><p><strong>Preview</strong></p><p>As to not ruffle any feathers before we begin, yes, we know the Champions League was only “born” in 1992, but it's essentially the same tournament as the prior competition (the European Cup) just rebranded. The game was changed from Istanbul to the Estadio Do Dragão in Portugal, there was a proposal to hose it in the UK but that fell through.</p><p>In the competition's 65 year history theirs been 22 different Champions, Chelsea can boast they are amongst those 22 teams, whilst Man City will be looking to make it 23 different winners. Chelsea are looking to become the 13th different double champions. Man City can equal another Champions League record if they win on Saturday by becoming only the second team in the tournament's history to win all 12 matches, last done by Real Madrid on 2000/2001.</p><p>Both teams recent form has dipped slightly but we would imagine that’s mainly down to the fact they both didn’t really have anything to play for as Man City were crowned Premier League Champions a few weeks ago and Chelsea did have the small matter of finish 4th on their agenda, but they didn’t turn up for many of those games, most likely with one eye on the final. Since Thomas Tuchel has taken charge of Chelsea mid-season, they have completely transformed into a defensive juggernaut and have also beaten Man City twice in two games played this season since Tuchel's arrival.</p><p>Chelsea’s last two Champions League finals seen both their games go to Penalties, in 2008 against Man Utd and in 2012 against Bayern Munich. Chelsea will certainly hope this doesn’t go to penalties again as their overall record in EUFA competitions in penalty shootouts is, won 2 lost 4. Man City’s sample size isn’t as strong, but they have won their 2 penalty kicks.</p><p>Chelsea have managed to stop any team this season in the competition scoring over 1.5 goals, and Man City have kept the same record as no team has scored more than once on them either, this is starting to look like a 0-0 final score, which can be bet at 8.50 with Unibet. The under 1.5 goals is also coming in at 3.0 with Bet365. The two games this season in which Chelsea won resulted in a 1-0 and 2-1 victory for the Blues, and although a win is a win, the winning goal wasn’t scored until the 93rd minute, maybe a lapse in concentration from City with nothing to play for? well, they certainly would be lapsing in concentration on Saturday in arguably many of these players' biggest game in their careers.</p><p>Top Betting Picks</p><p>We have created a bet combo with Bet365 to come up with odds of 2.70, we absolutely love this pick for the final. Look to take under 12.5 corners, under 3.5 goals and over 2.5 cards. Man City games rarely see a ton of corners because they hold the ball a lot and don’t like crossing from deep either, which is what we would call an anti-corner style of play. The previous 5 head to heads between these teams seen, 8,9,8,12 and 10 corners. Not a single one of Man City’s previous 10 games has seen over 12.5 corners, although 5 of them did end on exactly 12 corners. It's currently 10.0 for exactly 12 corners to be awarded in this match, it’s a bit of a silly bet but at those odds might be worth it for some fun.</p><p>Under 3.5 goals is a no-brainer here, both these teams are very solid defensively and given the fact it’s a final, it's going to be a very cagey affair, at least for the first 60 minutes one would suspect. We like the halftime draw here at odds of 2.05 with Paddy Power. Only one of Chelsea previous 10 games has seen over 3.5 goals and although 3 of City’s previous 10 seen over 3.5, they haven’t been playing “seriously” for all those games that went over the 3.5 mark as they had the league wrapped up and had one eye on the final.</p><p>Finally, the over 2.5 cards mark shouldn’t be hard to get as it is a final after all and players will be putting their body on the line. Our referee is none other than Spaniard, A. Lahoz. Mr. Lahoz has awarded an average of 5 cards per game in this seasons Champions League and 13 of his 14 games as referee in 2021 has seen over 2.5 cards awarded.</p><p><strong>Champions league tip:</strong> <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Under 12.5 Corners + Under 3.5 Goals + Over 2.5 Cards at 2.70 with Bet365</a></p><p><strong>Champions league tip:</strong> <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Half Time Draw at 2.05 with Paddy Power</a></p></div>
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