Market Watch - Champions League Predictions And Value Futures Bets

Gabe Morency

Wednesday, September 7, 2016 6:08 AM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 7, 2016 6:08 AM UTC

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/embed/SjAjOrxSjLQ[/embed] After a few shocks on the qualifiers we’re finally through to the Champions League proper and this first round of group matches has thrown up some juicy ties. Admittedly there aren’t many matches with a whole.
<p>[embed]https://www.youtube.com/embed/SjAjOrxSjLQ[/embed]</p><p>After a few <a href="http://oddsmarket.com/best-value-bets-across-wc-qualifers/">shocks on the qualifiers</a>, we’re finally through to the Champions League proper and this first round of group matches has thrown up some juicy ties.</p><p>Admittedly there aren’t many matches with a whole lot of value in them but games like Barcelona v Celtic, PSG v Arsenal, Juventus v Sevilla and Real Madrid against Sporting are just the kind of matches that TV company execs would wish for to get this competition started.</p><p>Unfortunately only one of those matches has made it onto my list of value bets but any of the above matches would be well worth watching.</p><p>I’ve managed to pick out 3 matches for closer inspection this week.  Juventus v Sevilla nearly made it four but I’m not going to push my luck.</p><p>The first game I’m looking at is the Paris Saint-Germain game against Arsenal on the 13<sup>th</sup> September.  Admittedly there is still a bit of time before this one kicks off and the odds could move either way in the next 2 weeks but right now I would say that there is a nice value bet in the Both Teams to Score market.</p><p>Both of these sides are best when playing on the front foot and they have often had to deal with domestic rivals sitting back and keeping the game tight.  In an open match we could see a classic with goals being scored by both sides.  Unai Emery had some memorable matches with Sevilla in the Europa League last season and if he takes the same kind of attacking approach into this game then it should be a cracker.  Arsene Wenger is also a progressive coach that likes his teams to play with pace and an attacking intent.</p><p>At 1.8 with Bet365 I think there is enough value in going for BTTS Yes right now.  If that were to dip below 1.7 then I’d have to have a rethink.</p><p>The second match I’m looking at is the considerably less glamorous tie between Basel and Ludogorets.   This is a good match for betting as it’s not one of the high profile ties that will be occupying much of the market.  With some reasonable (but not outstanding) odds available for a Basel win, I can see a fair few tipsters taking an interest in this one.</p><p>Swiss Super League leaders Basel have a good record against Ludogorets in this competition.  They’ve met 4 times in the past and come out on top on 3 of those occasions.  They’re in good form as well having played 6 games in their domestic league and racking up 6 wins.</p><p>Ludogorets have played 4 times in the Bulgarian Championship and only won twice, losing one and drawing the other.  Perhaps this slow start can be attributed to their early participation in the Champions League but now they’re in the group stages they may turn their attention back to the bread and butter of the league.</p><p>At <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4810&amp;book=Bet365">1.67 with Bet365</a> for a Basel win the odds aren’t high but I think the betting will push this market further down as we get close to this match.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see it settle at around 1.55 and that’s probably where it should be.</p><p>The last game I’ve been examining is the Tottenham v Monaco game on Wednesday night.  This match was played out last season in the Europa League and Tottenham came through 4-1 winners on that occasion.  Spurs may have slightly less depth to their squad now but the overall quality is increased with the addition on Victor Wanyama and Vincent Janssen.  A little bit of personal bias may be at play here but I do think Tottenham are strong enough to win this match against a Monaco side that has spent money improving its defence over the summer.</p><p>Again, the odds of 1.67 (Bet365) for a home win aren’t going to blow your socks off but there is some value there.  Enough to make this a worthwhile bet and round off my betting in this set of fixtures.</p>
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