Serie A - Best Value Picks For Weekend Action

Gabe Morency

Tuesday, September 26, 2017 8:03 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 26, 2017 8:03 PM UTC

Juventus’ domination has sucked much of the excitement out of Serie A in recent years but we could have an interesting title race on our hands this season. Juve are still favourites to make it.
<p>Juventus’ domination has sucked much of the excitement out of Serie A in recent years but we could have an interesting title race on our hands this season. Juve are still favourites to make it seven in a row, but the outstanding form of Napoli has made things interesting once more. Meanwhile, nouveau riche AC Milan and Inter have started pretty well and Lazio and Roma are looking good. The league is having a bit of a revival and that will continue this coming weekend. Here we analyze the key games:</p><p></p><p><strong>Benevento v Inter </strong>You get some really poor teams in Serie A each season. Last time out it was Pescara and Palermo, and it paid to oppose both throughout the season. This year it appears to be Benevento. The newly-promoted team have lost all six of their games so far, scoring just once and conceding 16 times. They face an Inter side that has won five and drawn one of its six games and is riding high in third place. This should prove a total mismatch and as such Inter are just 1.33 with Stan James to win it. That looks a decent addition to an accumulator, but for more value Inter -1.25 Asian handicap looks good at 1.65 with 188Bet.</p><p><strong>Napoli v Cagliari</strong> Napoli sits top of the table, having banged in 22 goals in six games. They have taken maximum points so far, as have Juventus, but Napoli’s superior goal difference leaves them top of the pile. Their games have seen an average of 4.5 goals this season, making them one of the most exciting teams in Europe to watch. Cagliari are a relatively poor side and come into the game on the back of consecutive defeats against Sassuolo and Chievo. Napoli will have to recover from midweek Champions League exploits and will be devastated by injury to Arkadiusz Milik, but they should have more than enough quality to beat Cagliari. Napoli to win and over 3.5 goals looks good at odds of 1.83 with Betfred, Paddy Power, and Boyle Sports.</p><p><strong>Lazio v Sassuolo</strong> Lazio have won four of six so far this season and the star man has been Ciro Immobile, who has bagged eight goals – one every 68 minutes. He is 1.57 to score against a Sassuolo side that has conceded nine goals this season and that looks a great bet. Lazio are 1.44 to win this one and that could make a treble with Inter and Napoli.</p><p><strong>AC Milan v Roma</strong> This is by far the biggest game of the weekend. Roma finished second last season but will have to massively kick on to finish in the top two again this time around as the overall quality has greatly increased. AC Milan are now bankrolled by wealthy Chinese investors and spent a whopping £182 million on virtually an entirely new first team this summer. Roma also spent £92 million on 12 new players after losing Mo Salah and Antonio Rudiger to the Premiership, so both teams are still finding their feet. They have each taken 12 points so far this season, although Roma have a game in hand. They will be disappointed to lose 3-1 at home to Inter, but they have won all their other four matches and put in a strong Champions League performance against Atletico Madrid. A draw looks a likely result here and that is 3.50 with Ladbrokes, Betway, and Sportingbet. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals also looks good at 1.91 with Coral and Sky Bet.</p><p><strong>Atalanta v Juventus</strong> Atalanta are unbeaten in their last four games, which saw them face middling opposition, and that has catapulted them into the top half of the table. However, they started the campaign with back-to-back defeats against Roma and Napoli and that suggests they struggle against the top sides. Juve have six wins from six and will not take kindly to Napoli topping the table. Expect them to continue to pile pressure on their rivals with three points here, and the odds are great: 1.75 with William Hill, Bet Victor, and various others.</p>
comment here