Serie A Week 5 Best Value Tips And Predictions

Gabe Morency

Thursday, September 29, 2016 7:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 29, 2016 7:40 PM UTC

[embed][/embed] Normal order was restored in Serie A last weekend as Juventus returned to winning ways at Palermo and Massimiliano Allegri’s side should follow that up with another straightforward win over Udinese this time out. Juventus.
<p>[embed][/embed]</p><p>Normal order was restored in Serie A last weekend as Juventus returned to winning ways at Palermo, and Massimiliano Allegri’s side should follow that up with another straightforward win over Udinese this time out. Juventus are expected to win the league with ease again this season and are just 6/17 to do so (Bwin). But a few teams below them are in splendid form and may run them pretty close.</p><p>So far Napoli have looked the closest contenders. They finished second last season and led for most of it, but were eventually reeled in by Juventus. Napoli were then weakened in the summer when Juventus, whose transfer coffers were bursting thanks to the world record sale of Paul Pogba to Man Utd, came calling and snapped up last season’s record setting goal scorer Gonzalo Higuain for a whopping £76 million. But they invested wisely, bringing in Arkadiusz Milik and Dries Mertens, and continued the good form. Milik has scored as many goals as Higuain so far, and Napoli have racked up 14 points from six games, leaving them just one behind first placed Juventus. They face an easy away trip to struggling Atalanta, who are second from bottom after losing four of their five games so far this season. Napoli look to be an essential selection for any accumulator betting this weekend. The odds are really rather good for a <a href=";book=William Hill">Napoli win, 13/20 with William Hill</a>, which is a great price when you consider Napoli finished 11 places and 37 points above Atalanta last season, are 17 places above them this season and beat Atalanta home and away last season.</p><p>Juventus can also bulk out an accumulator <a href=";book=Paddypower">at 4/11 with Paddy Power</a>, but that is not such an attractive price, so you might need to give them a handicap. That is risky, however, as they only beat Palermo 1-0 last time out and they are not a particularly high scoring side, building title wins instead on a solid defence. Choosing the number of goals is also risky: in four of Juventus’ games so far there have been over 2.5 goals, and in the other three there have been under 2.5 goals. Half-time/full time on Juventus is a good price (evens with Paddy Power and <a href=";book=Coral">Coral</a>) but that is another risk. Juventus took until 49 minutes to score against Palermo and they do often leave it late. That might convince you to stick to an outright win for Juventus, but if you want more value the half-time/full-time option looks the best. They have won their last four games against Empoli in comfortable fashion.</p><p>The most interesting game of the weekend has to be Roma v Inter. Roma came into the season on a high, having finished the previous campaign in exceptional form, and they kept it up with an opening day 4-0 thrashing of Udinese. But they lost heavily to Porto in a Champions League qualifier and their confidence was knocked, and since then their form has been patchy. Last time out they lost 3-1 at Torino, a game they were expected to win, and they sit in fourth, five points behind Juventus. They face a very tough game at home to Inter, who are on a roll. Inter started the season dreadfully, but now have momentum. A three game winning streak – including a 2-1 victory over Juventus, the first time Allegri’s side had lost in many months – was brought to an end with a 1-1 draw against Bologna, but they still have the wind in their sails and are third, a point ahead of Roma. It should be a tight game and Inter have been a bogey team for Roma, taking seven points from them in their last three games. If they play as well as they did against Juventus, Inter can win this won. The 23/13 on Inter draw no bet looks a good bet, particularly as Roma will be low on confidence. Alternatively, check out Mauro Icardi to score at any time. The Argentine is the league’s top scorer so far this season, with six goals in six, and is in red-hot form.</p><p>Torino will be boosted by that win over Roma and can carry the form into their home game against Fiorentina, who drew with AC Milan last time out. Last season Torino beat Fiorentina at home, and Fiorentina won the reverse. There is little between these two sides and the previous four games ended in draws. A draw looks the likely outcome here (32/13 with Marathon Bet).</p><p> </p>
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