Can England take advantage of Ben Stokes heroics?
<div><h2>England vs Australia</h2><p><strong>12 September 2019 at The Oval</strong></p><p>The Ashes have been retained by Australia after the comprehensive victory over England in Manchester. The finale, then, is all about how much they want to win the series</p><p>The Ashes have been retained by Australia after the comprehensive victory over England in Manchester. The finale, then, is all about how much they want to win the series.</p><div><p>It’s a conundrum for gamblers because Australia have past form for not quite managing the same intensity with the urn safely pouched, although you do need a long memory for the recall. Before the Ashes became a hot heat in the 2005 edition, the contest was consistently a walkover for the Aussies. They were barely competitive with England in the doldrums and Australia managing to field two of the greatest bowlers ever in the same team at the same time.</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></p><p>It meant that Australia won the series in double-quick time, often leaving dead rubbers in a five-match series. It was a boost for correct score punters, though, because Australia were guaranteed to win and then pretty reliable to take their foot off their gas at the denouement, providing England with a consolation win.</p><p>Aussie captain Tim Paine said he and his players would be celebrating hard after Old Trafford. The effects of the booze on athletes is well known and with intensity sure to drop, we are nervous about recommending an away win at no better than 2.05 (21/20) with Bet365. England are 2.5 (6/4) across the board.</p><p>There is an added problem with the Australia price. There is not clear water between the two teams in terms of ability and we have consistently said that the toss is the decisive factor. Only a freakish innings by Ben Stokes in Leeds had denied Australia another bat-first-win-the-game trend. England are value if the flip goes their way with 300 a competitive score on the Kennington wicket. Tired techniques and temperaments on a wearing pitch will make all the difference.</p><p>Our final wagering advice is to bet Pat Cummins for top Australia bowler at 3.0 (2/1) with Ladbrokes and Coral. On our two-year data we have Cummins as a 2.8 chance so there’s a clear edge. The impact of Josh Hazlewood has ensured Cummins’ price has not disappeared and we expect the top wicket-taker in the series to cop. He is overdue.</p><h2>Best Bet</h2><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829&f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Cricket Betting Odds"><em><strong>Back Pat Cummins top Australia first-innings wicket-taker 3.0 Coral</strong></em></a></p></div></div>