Australia vs Pakistan Second Test Betting Preview

Gabe Morency

Monday, December 19, 2016 11:12 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 19, 2016 11:12 PM UTC

Australia v Pakistan Second Test Betting Preview Australia escaped with a 39-run victory over Pakistan in the day-night Test at the Gabba where the tourists delivered the hosts serious scare. Pakistan were given no hope of.
<p><strong>Australia v Pakistan Second Test Betting Preview</strong></p><p>Australia escaped with a 39-run victory over Pakistan in the day-night Test at the Gabba, where the tourists delivered the hosts serious scare. Pakistan were given no hope of achieving a world record run-chase when Smith Australia at dinner on day three, setting them a target of 490.</p><p>One bookmaker had the visitors listed at 600-1 at one point during the pink-ball contest in Brisbane, where Australia haven’t lost a Test since 1988. A run-out ended Pakistan’s second innings at 450 and Australia won by 39 runs.</p><p>Pakistan fell at the final hurdle but claimed a moral victory on several fronts ahead of Tests in Melbourne and Sydney, having been outplayed in the early part of the match. They produced the nation’s highest fourth-innings Test total and also posted the highest fourth-innings total in a Gabba Test. “Everyone believes now, everyone showed character, “Pakistan captain Misbah-ul-Haq said.</p><p>Melbourne hosts the traditional Boxing Day test starting on Monday. The over-riding question is whether the moral victory from Brisbane turns into something more concrete for the second test given the stark highs and lows Pakistan showed in the first match, bowled out for 142 then scoring 450 in the second innings</p><p>Australia should certainly be favourites in Melbourne, but had some rub of the green in Brisbane, winning the toss and, in a day-night test, the Pakistan top order had to face Starc, Hazlewood, and co under lights which were a tough ask and a challenge they couldn’t meet. Melbourne is a day only game, where there shouldn’t be such variance in conditions.</p><p>Outright prices for the Melbourne Test are Australia 4/9, Pakistan 5/1 and the Draw 6/1. I the expected absence of any bad weather a draw is unlikely. Pakistan at 5/1 is mildly tempting but the fragility of the top order batting remains a major concern. In Brisbane, no batsman in the top 5 for Pakistan scored more than 76 runs across the two innings (the bulk of the runs scored by numbers 6 and 7 in the second innings) and this was a major difference between the sides.</p><p><strong>In Submarkets:</strong></p><p><strong>Top Australian Batsman</strong></p><p>Steve Smith’s first innings hundred put Australia in a winning position, backed up by Peter Handscomb. Unsurprisingly Smith is favourite again at Melbourne: Smith 13/5 Warner 11/4 Khawaja 4/1, Renshaw 5/1, Handscomb 7/1. With the openers having to negotiate Mohammed Amir with the new ball, the middle order is likely to provide the winner once again, and Smith at 13/5 with <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4810&amp;book=Bet365">Bet365</a> is a reasonable bet.</p><p><strong>Top Australia Bowler</strong></p><p>Within the four-man bowling line up likely for Melbourne, Starc at 7/4 leads Hazlewood 9/4, Bird 4/1 and Lyon 5/1 in the betting. Starc looked threatening in the first test, taking seven wickets and is a good favourite again here, 7/4 with Bet365</p><p><strong>Top Pakistan Batsman</strong></p><p>A difficult market this with the top order underperforming in Brisbane (facing Starc and Hazlewood with the new ball is by far the toughest proposition represented by the Australian attack) and runs coming deep down the order. In a market with a 4/1 favourite, no bet</p><p><strong>Top Pakistan Bowler</strong></p><p>Betting here has Amir 5/2 Wahab and Yasir 11/4 and the fourth seamers (the selection here is an uncertainty, Rahat only having taken 2 wickets in Brisbane) at up to 9/2. Amir and Wahab both took 5 wickets in the first test, and conditions are not too helpful for the wrist spinner in the first innings’ on Australian pitches. Marginal preference here for Wahab at the prices 11/4 with Bet365</p>
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