Australian PGA Championship: Betting Predictions and Tips

Craig Edwards

Tuesday, December 17, 2019 1:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2019 1:50 PM UTC

Craig Edwards @EdwardsTips_ previews the Australian Masters for
<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Australian PGA Championship</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>December 19-22</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Royal Pines Resort Championship Course - Queensland, Australia</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Par 72, 7378 yards</strong></p><p>This established tournament on the Australian PGA tour since 1905 has been co-sanctioned with the European Tour for the previous four seasons. The Royal Pines Championship Course has been the host for the last six renewals.</p><p>The course was re-designed by Graham Marsh several years ago to host the Australian PGA Championship having opened on the Queensland Gold Coast in 1980. The re-design has brought tighter fairways and smaller greens with many holes encompassing water hazards.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Betting Predictions and Tips</strong></h2><p>There is only one place to start when analysing this week's tournament and that is the champion from the previous two years and local resident Cameron Smith. Smith was born and raised in the home state of Queensland and in the previous five seasons Smith has never been outside the top 15 illustrating his liking and affinity with Royal Pines. Despite becoming well established on the PGA Tour Smith is still waiting for his first singles tournament victory outside of this week's PGA Championship. 2019 has been a below average season for Smith when you consider he has a 5th place at the Masters and a 4th place at the US Open on his CV with a third place finish a few weeks ago at the CJ Cup @Nine Bridges his best performance. Still only twenty-six years old he will have maximum motivation this week with the chance to complete a hat-trick of titles in succession of this great championship in his home state.</p><p>An interesting bet this week is Matt Jager to be the first-round leader for the second season in succession. An underrated member of the Australian PGA Tour and habitual fast starter he landed first place last year with a round of 66 and I noticed he started well at the Australian Open. With the rust off his game now he should be sharp enough to go close again at a big price. After the scintillating opening round last year, he went on to bag a top 20 finish and he represents a solid bet in that market again this year.</p><p>Another interesting bet and form-line is Englishman, Marcus Armitage who won his place back on the European Tour after making it through the Qualifying School approximately a month ago. His first start was the Alfred Dunhill Championship where he went into the final round in contention only to fall away with a disappointing round 4 of 83. On first inspection that looks disappointing but Leopard Creek Country Club set a tough test with the eventual winner Pablo Larrazabal shooting a final round of 75. Armitage played at the Royal Pines a couple of years ago, managing an impressive 15th place finish despite a poor opening round of 74. Those ingredients make Armitage a value bet in top 20 market this week.</p><p>There are several high-profile Australian professionals who add this to their schedule every season and Adam Scott the 2014 champion is one. Two other top 3 finishes in the past five seasons amplify the liking this high-class operator has for Royal Pines. He is overdue a win for his consistency at the highest level because amazingly his last tournament victory was in the March of 2016. After last week's Presidents Cup, he will be sharp for a tilt at his second Australian PGA Championship and highly motivated to win his first tournament in nearly four years.</p><p>A couple of European Tour regulars with plenty of form at Royal Pines to consider are firstly the Australian, Jason Srivener who will be looking forward to returning home for the festive season having finished the European Tour season in style with a 10th at the DP World Tour Championship on the back of a 3rd place in the Nedbank Golf Challenge. His only tournament win of his career was the 2017 New South Wales Open but with four top 20 finishes at Royal Pines in previous years we can expect a strong showing this week. The other is Jake McLeod who caught my eye with an impressive top ten at the Portugal Masters just over a month ago however he has not kicked on since but has good form at Royal Pines and often finds his best form back on his home tour.</p><p>Experienced players are worth respecting this week, two of which, played well a couple of weeks ago at the Emirates Australian Open are Greg Chalmers (5th) and Brett Rumford (33rd). Chalmers in particular has a great affinity with the Australian PGA Championship and is twice a winner, the last time here at Royal Pines in 2014. Rumford has multiple top 20 finishes in the tournament and both players are still in their early forties and have plenty to offer on their home tour still. Another veteran of the Australian PGA Tour who missed the Australian Open but has impressive credentials at Royal Pines with two top 6 finishes in the last four seasons is Matthew Millar who funnily enough is also in his early forties. He arrives in Queensland in good form with back to back top 15 finishes at the Gippsland Super Six and New South Wales Open.</p><p> </p><p><strong>Recommended Bets:</strong></p><p>Matt Jager – each way – first round leader @ 176.00 (175/1) <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a></p><p>Matt Jager – Top 20 @ 11.00 (10/1) <a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Unibet</a></p><p>Marcus Armitage – Top 20 @ 8.00 (7/1) <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bet365</a></p><p>Greg Chalmers - each way @ 101.00 (100/1) <a href=";a=acd6b93a-905e-45af-90ef-7eb1df661829&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Coral</a></p></div>
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