CSGO Berlin Major Legends Stage Preview and Top Betting Tips

Adam Boothe

Tuesday, September 3, 2019 2:14 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 3, 2019 2:14 PM UTC

And then there were eight – who will lift the Berlin trophy this weekend?

<div><h2><b>Introduction:</b></h2><p>The quarter-final matches will be firing off on Thursday and Friday, with two taking place on each day. There are sure some much anticipated showdowns. The one everyone is taking about is the ESL Pro League Season 9 quarter-finals rematch featuring the past year's two best teams – Astralis v Team Liquid. I'll be breaking that one down and some others!</p><h2><u>Renegades v Ence</u></h2><p>As CSGO community meme icon, Don Haci, tweeted last week; '<i>Starting to think ENCE is just trolling about kicking AleksiB so every team underestimates them and thinks they're having issues when they've been doing killer demo viewing and practicing all this time smh...' </i>That basically sums up what happened in the group stage. Instead of taking my own advice and buying into this Finnish squad at very delicious low prices, I invested in MIBR with coach Zews. The tale of Legends stage was that one went 3-0, while the other, basically, went 0-3...only taking down the lowliest of Ninja in Pyjama performances that we've maybe ever seen at a Major they actually qualified for. The Ence fan in me was very happy to see them come ready to go, the sports bettor in me has been less pleasantly surprised. Unfortunately, we have now missed the opportunity to get in on Ence at undervalued pricing, they come into this match with Renegades about as steep as we have ever seen in this head-to-head.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;iframe width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https://www.youtube.com/embed/SH48dCtBFUg\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;"}[/]</p><p>Before we begin a discussion on this match you might want to take a peek at the way the bracket has been broken down. The top-half is SO much easier to clear than the lower half which features Liquid, Astralis, NRG, and Natus Vincere. Obviously all six of the top six teams in the world are into the playoffs so neither side is 'easy' but, looking at the outright odds it is pretty clear which side the books think will be more straightforward progress for Ence and Vitality. This Ence v Renegades rivalry was an interesting one at the Katowice Major, with Renegades taking all three maps against the Finns. Since then however RNG really dropped off, in part due to some visa issues breaking up their practice and tournament schedule. Last month we saw them pretty easily dismantled by Ence at IEM Chicago. Looking over their numbers from that tournament and the major we find some stark differences:</p><p>-round win % = 38, now 51<br />-round win % t-side = 31, now 44<br />-5v4 win % = 61%, now 75%<br />-flash assists = 0.19, now 0.27</p><p>These are all key statistics to show improved teamplay and structure even under increased pressure and competitive level. However, the number for Renegades has ballooned to reflect what occured in Chicago once more here. This is one way we can assess value. Ence may have not become 'worse', but they are priced as though they have been better in relation to Renegades. This gives me a straightforward play on Renegades. In terms of map pool, Renegades putting in work on Vertigo gives me a bit of piece of mind, however a Nuke or perhaps Dust2 pick from Ence would be a strong advantage the Finns direction. So, while I will be taking Renegades here, an over 2.5 maps could also be a valuable play!</p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&amp;a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2>Bet:</h2><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Renegades (+1.5) @ 1.81 [Pinnacle]</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Renegades (ml) @ 3.75 [Bet365]</strong></em></a></p><p><strong>Some of the wagers I am on for the quarter-finals:</strong></p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Astralis (ml) @ 2.10 [Unibet]</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Astralis/Liquid (o26.5) @ 1.90 [Pinnacle] -all three maps</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-NRG (ml) @ 1.79 [Pinnacle] 1.5u</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Avangar (+1.5) @ 1.98 [Pinnacle]</strong></em></a></p><p><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds"><em><strong>-Avangar (ml) @ 4.0 [Bet365]</strong></em></a></p><p>As always can't expand too much on the reasoning behind the whole card but contact me on Twitter if you would like to explore these more [@lockeqwerty]!</p></div>
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