Dota2 Dreamleague Playoffs Preview and Betting Tips

Adam Boothe

Thursday, March 21, 2019 7:53 AM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 21, 2019 7:53 AM UTC

We have reached the final four days of the Dreamleague Major in Stockholm, only six teams are left and probably not everybody you expected!

<p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Here's a 2 minute clip of amazing dota 2 for you. What is happening?! &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/virtuspro?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@virtuspro&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/EvilGeniuses?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@evilgeniuses&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;📺 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/dxnTnInCS7\"&gt;https://t.co/dxnTnInCS7&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/DreamLeagueMajor?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#DreamLeagueMajor&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/nFjJxExhB0\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/nFjJxExhB0&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— DreamHack Dota (@DreamHackDota) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/DreamHackDota/status/1108422786945417216?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;March 20, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>The books had two clear favorites and two other quality teams ahead of the field coming into this tournament; Secret, Liquid, Virtus Pro, and Evil Geniuses. And not a single one made it to round two of the upperbracket, with two having already been eliminated. The final 8 matches will take place Friday through until Sunday!</p><h2>China Number One</h2><p>Where has THIS version of the powerhouse Chinese teams been! LGD, Vici and Keen have entered this tournament with new found levels that we haven't seen since The International. LGD, who have held the top spot within the region for some time, have dropped just one map thus far on the back of some phenomenal play from their carry, Ame. They have also been quite versatile with the supports of Disruptor and Tiny. The one asterisk here is we haven't seen them against a truly top tier opponent thus far.</p><p>I was unfortunately on the wrong side of two Vici Gaming matches this week; EG and Secret. The best series I've seen them play on the DPC this season was that 2-1 over the world number one team. Vici haven't dropped a map with Dy's Disruptor confirming that multiple teams have found it powerful in the current meta.</p><p>Last, but certainly in this case not least, is Keen Gaming. While they were not on my radar as a contender whatsoever they've changed my perception of them considerably taking down both Liquid and Evil Geniuses in best-of-three series. The reason they did not have my interest until now was they had not accomplished much before a second-place finish against a week field at WESG two weeks ago. However, they're certainly here now, either due to team chemistry or the right heros being strong in the meta.</p><h2>Matchups</h2><p>As you would expect from domestic rivals, these two have traded matches constantly over the past few years. My system projection favors Vici slightly as does the eye-test. That said, I mostly like them here due to their price. The biggest question is can they replicate their teamplay as they did against Secret. Even in the map they lost they impressed. Although I expect it to go three maps against LGD, historically it has not. Another thing of note, Vici has been much more versatile with their draft picking 30 different heroes to LGD's 22. This is always an advantage provided you can execute your strategy.</p><h2><strong>Pick: </strong></h2><p><em><strong>Vici Gaming (ml) @ 2.1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds">Bet365</a></strong></em></p><p>Unsurprisingly, after Keen's big upsets of both Liquid and Evil Geniuses they've been priced at nearly a pick'em against Fnatic. However maybe a little too low? Hard to say. Fnatic had a big victory of their own; finally (and I mean FINALLY) upstaging the CIS powerhouse, Virtus Pro. Until that point, I had been thoroughly unimpressed with their teamplay this tournament; some very scrappy games against Nip and Infamous. I wrote in previous articles how Fnatic continuously get around top six-eight, but never further because they cannot beat the world-class rosters. Well, now that they've got the Russian bear off their back maybe this is their chance to get the monkey too.</p><h2><strong>Pick: </strong></h2><p><em><strong>Fnatic (ml) @ 1.89 with <a href="http://affiliate.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=155&amp;a=6a145d2b-505f-491b-a70e-2f5f31742828" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds">Pinnacle</a></strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Fnatic/Keen (over 2.5 maps) @ 2.05 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18" target="_blank" title="Esports Betting Odds">Bet365</a></strong></em></p><p>One thing to note, all remaining matches will be played on the big stage. This is where the real og's (excuse the pun) turn up. Interestingly Bet365 currently have Virtus Pro at the biggest price to win the tournament (11.00). It's true, they would have to win one more match than anyone from the upper-bracket. However, their biggest test in my opinion will be against Secret who are also in the lower-bracket. I would still favor a seemingly vulnerable Virtus Pro over all of the upper-bracket teams (for the right price of course). Today we saw the best version of themselves in what is always a grudge match with Arteezy's team. However, if it is the start of things to come, they better not be underpriced!</p>
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