Expert Betting Guide For Dota2 ESL One Katowice

Adam Boothe

Friday, February 8, 2019 9:22 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 8, 2019 9:22 PM UTC

Katowice is having a busy month throughout February! It is home to not only the next CSGO Major, but also a 300k Dota2 tournament and a 400k Starcraft2 tournament all over the course of 3 weeks. This article will preview the group stage and outrights of the Dota competition. 

<p>Katowice is having a busy month throughout February! It is home to not only the next CSGO Major (<a href="https://www.oddsmarket.com/tips/more-sports/how-to-bet-the-iem-katowice-qualifiers/89389/">preview here</a>), but also a 300k Dota2 tournament and a 400k Starcraft2 tournament all over the course of 3 weeks.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;iframe src=\"https://clips.twitch.tv/embed?clip=FragileFineMinkSuperVinlin\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" height=\"378\" width=\"620\"&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;"}[/]</p><h2> </h2><h2>The Format</h2><p>The group stage will be a relatively standard best-of-two round-robin between two groups of six. The top two teams in each group will move to the upper-bracket of the playoffs, teams 3 &amp; 4 will qualify for the lower-bracket, and teams 5 &amp; 6 are eliminated. As there are no DPC points (awarded to qualify for TI) on the line at this tournament many of the top organisations will not be attending. Tournaments such as this can be refreshing as we can see some other talent that will likely be competing for a TI spot from now until July.</p><p> </p><h2>The Favourite</h2><p>If you have even loosely followed the DPC since the last TI you'll know that one team in attendance stands apart here in Katowice, Team Secret. In the 2018/19 season they have already won ESL Hamburg, placed second at the Kuala Lumpur Major, and just two weeks ago won the Chongqing Major. This recent victory was not just a win, it was domination. They outdrafted and executed on quality teams and made Virtus Pro looked second rate in the grandfinal. One thing we talk a lot about in esports is motivation. As there are is no measurable physical fatigue in gaming the mental component is that much more important. A player or teams' focus and effort in preparation before and during a tournament comes into play heavily where a discrepancy exists in comparison with other teams. Secret has the talent, chemistry and current understanding of the meta to coast through this tournament without dropping many maps. However, as a colleague pointed out, after their victory in China the price on them to win Katowice dropped significantly; down to a 1.5-1.66 range. At this point there is no value on them. My advice would be to wait for them to drop a map, or fall into the lower bracket (it's possible) and then hit them to win the series or tournament.</p><p> </p><h2>The Contenders</h2><p>Two organisations have recently shown some promise to compete with the big dogs; Fnatic, from the South-east Asia region, and NiP, an international roster led by TI5 winner PPD.</p><p>Fnatic has been a team hovering just outside the top five for quite some time. They don't lack for talent, but always seem to go missing against teams equal to, or slightly better, than them. Fnatic have been consistently the best team from South-east Asia and have numerous top 6-8 finishes the past two years. This is the perfect type of tournament for them to win.</p><p>NiP has two players from last years Optic roster, PPD and 33. PPD is a captain capable of making the most of what he has; be that players, time, or meta. TI7 he was an analyst on the desk, but TI8? Captain of a top 8 team at the biggest tournament in the game. Optic formed in December, qualified for 8 LAN's and finished top 8 at all of them. What's more remarkable is that they may have had an even better year had they not faced the most dominant team in the first half of 2018, Virtus Pro. The Russians defeated his roster 4 times deep into the playoffs including one grandfinal. Last week NiP beat Secret 2-1, albeit in the group stage of a qualifer.</p><p>These are the two teams that I have evaluated to handle the rest of the competition fairly well while also holding a shot to take a map or two off of Team Secret. And if one of them happens to do so before the finals then we could see them faceoff in the final.</p><p> </p><h2>Outrights</h2><p>To Reach Final</p><p>-Fnatic @ 4.0 [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18">Bet365</a>]</p><p>-Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 7.0 [<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18">Bet365</a>]</p><p> </p><h2>Other Teams</h2><p>The three orgs that I also think could do some damage if they play like they're capable are; OG (EU), Gambit (CIS), Mineski (SEA), and Forward (NA). I watched these four compete in the recent Dreamleague Qualifiers and all showed promise. With only one team truly in a different echelon of form, this tournament is wide open for a second finalist.</p><p>Katowice is still one week away and, as of now, no match markets have been posted. However once they are I will tweet out the group stage wagers I'll be on [@lockeqwerty]. Feel free to hit me with some questions or comments regarding who you've got your eye on!</p>
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