Formula 1 Bahrain: Lewis Hamilton to Seek Revenge Out In the Desert

Eric Kelly

Wednesday, March 27, 2019 10:34 AM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 27, 2019 10:34 AM UTC

After winning the first race, Valtteri Bottas odds to win the championship outright were slashed from 25/1 into 4/1. Former champion Lewis Hamilton will be seeking to even things up with his teammate whilst trying to keep the Red Bulls and Ferraris at arm’s length.

<h2>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;iframe width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https://www.youtube.com/embed/OO6Y-VdiLHA\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;"}[/]</h2><h2><br /><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>What an incredible opening race to the Formula1 campaign, one of the most exciting opening races for a long time and to top it off we finished up the week +31.5 units. We tipped Bottas to win at 14/1 (15.00) and Bottas fastest lap at 10/1 (11.00). Also a cheeky bet on Romain Grosjean not to finish was also a winner at 9/4 (3.25).</p><p>Australia really was a treat for us F1 fans, Bottas got off to an amazing start and lead the race from the first corner and came home in first place twenty seconds ahead of his teammate Hamilton. Not many people gave him a chance this year. It seems things have changed as his price was slashed in the outright market. Elsewhere in the race, Max Verstappen was a little unlucky not to pass Hamilton as it seemed he had the pace and Hamilton was struggling for grip. Charles Leclerc proved he can keep up the peace with the big boys, although he finished behind his teammate Sebastian Vettel, he was definitely faster and it seems team orders came into play. He could have passed Vettel if he wanted to.</p><p>Things didn’t go to well for Ozzie Daniel Ricciardo and his new team Renault. He retired from the race on the 28<sup>th</sup> lap due to the damage he suffered earlier in the race. Robert Kubica first race back didn’t go as planned either as he came into the pits on the first lap due to wing damage.</p><p>We head out to the deserts of Bahrain for round two of the F1 championship. Last year Vettel beat Bottas by less than one second. Both Red Bulls failed to finish this race last year through mechanical failures. The track is one of the safest on the F1 calendar with big wide run off areas and the overall technicality of the track is pretty easy compared with most tracks.</p><p>As many F1 fans will know, this season there is a new rule. There will be 1 extra point awarded to the driver with the fastest lap but they must finish within the top 10 for this to qualify. This gives some of the guys an incentive to go put on a fresh set of tyres near the end of a race and try setting a fast lap for a bonus point if they don’t feel in any danger of being overtaken.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; facts</strong></h2><p>Vettel has the most wins on this track out of all the current racers on the grid (4) while Hamilton is in second with 2. Ferrari has the most constructor wins coming in with 6 since the track was added to the F1 calendar in 2004. The last 6 years has gone like this (Vettel, Vettel, Hamilton, Hamilton, Rosberg, Vettel, Vettel). No racer has ever won in Bahrain three years in a row. On top of that, everybody thought Ferrari were the quickest heading into the first race and it appears now that maybe they’re not.</p><p>Although we have an average of 3 racers failing to finish the race in Bahrain, 2 out of every 3 are due to a mechanical failure rather than a crash or collision. This could be down to new season mechanical technicalities or, as some have suggested, the desert sand getting into the vital parts of the cars.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;When you've got through Monday 👊&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;And you remember next weekend is a race weekend 🙌&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/F1?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#F1&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/BahrainGP?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#BahrainGP&lt;/a&gt; 🇧🇭 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/nrfUccvA69\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/nrfUccvA69&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Formula 1 (@F1) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/F1/status/1110272390637015040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;March 25, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p> </p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Lewis Hamilton - 13/8</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Valtteri Bottas – 3/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Sebastian Vettel - 11/4</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Max Verstappen - 8/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Charles Leclerc - 10/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Pierre Gasly - 33/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Rest of Drivers - 100/1+</strong></em></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>Let’s start off with who has a chance of winning the 2<sup>nd</sup> race of the Formula 1 season. The obvious one for most people is the world champion Hamilton, he is the favourite with all the bookies, being priced at 13/8 (William Hill). That could all change after qualifying. I don’t disagree with the books plus he will be out for some revenge on Bottas and wanting to show he is still the number 1 driver within the team. In terms of betting on Hamilton, I for one wouldn’t like to take him at current odds. Maybe if he has a below par qualifying session, we might be able to snatch him up at higher odds, (5/2) is what I would be looking at. So, the verdict is he could win but I personally want a better price than what he is currently being offered, but feel free to take him at 13/8 if it works for you. Vettel and Ferrari still have some work to do as they were way off the pace in Australia.</p><p>Australian GP winner Bottas will surely play his chance in Bahrain. He finished second here last year and he will want to keep up the momentum to become Mercedes number 1 and world champion. Unfortunately, the amazing price we got him in the 1<sup>st</sup> race of the season smashed to pieces this time around, as he is priced at 3/1 at best with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Paddy Power</a>.</p><p>The racers who might not have a chance of winning the race will try to earn points by setting the fastest lap, so I’m going for an outsider to set the fastest lap. It is a bit of a gamble, but this fastest lap market is a lot more open than the winners’ one. Charles Leclerc is priced at 10/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">William Hill</a> and my other selection is Vettel at 10/3 also with William Hill. It’s a tough race this time around and not many prices have value, so it’s best to play it safe with our units this week.</p><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas 3/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Paddy Power</a> 1pt win</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Kevin Magnussen 750/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Ladbrokes</a> 0.5pt each way</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Max Verstappen not to be classified 7/2 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betfair</a> 1pt</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Kimi Raikkonen not to be classified 9/4 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betfair</a> 0.5pt</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Charles Leclerc to set the fastest lap 10/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">William Hill </a>0.5pt</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>Sebastian Vettel to set the fastest lap 10/3 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">William Hill</a> 1pt</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>McLaren first car to retire 13/2 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betfair</a> 0.5pt</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center;"><em><strong>*Lewis Hamilton if he drifts out to 5/2 or more 1.5pt win</strong></em></p>
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