Formula1 Brazil: Round 19 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Wednesday, November 13, 2019 4:47 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2019 4:47 PM UTC

With the season edging ever closer time is running out for drivers to secure their overall standings in the championship.
<div><h2>Formula1 Brazilian GP</h2><p><strong>Sunday, November 17th at Autodrom José Carlos Pace / Interlagos</strong></p><p>It didn’t go to plan for us last time out in America, after we threw most of our eggs in the Sebastian Vettel basket. He had a bad day at the office, firstly getting into a small collision at the start of the race, but ultimately his suspension failed (which could have been down to the collision) and he retired from the race on lap seven. Valtteri Bottas went on to win the race (he was 9/1 prequalifying, into 3/1 after qualifying) and claimed his 4th win of the season, and his first since the 4th race in Azerbaijan. Lewis Hamilton officially won the championship after finishing in 2nd place.</p><p>The battle for 3rd is still well and truly still on, even though Charles Leclerc has a 14-point lead over Max Verstappen in 4th. Leclerc must take a 10-place grid penalty this weekend for a new engine to be fitted in his Ferrari. Vettel is some way behind now with a deficit of 19 points to 3rd place after a retirement in the last race, but if he can manage a win this Sunday and Leclerc fails to score any more than 6 points, we will be in for a very interesting season finale in Abu Dhabi.</p><p>There is also much smaller battles going on in the championship. Alex Albon is in prime position to finish in 6th in the championship but Carlos Sainz and Pierre Gasly are right behind him. Both by less than 9 points. The final spot up for grabs that has some competition is 9th place. Currently Daniel Riccardo holds that position on 46 points but Sergio Perez and Lando Norris are less than 5 points adrift.</p><p><a href=";a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3"><img alt src="" style="width:100%;height:12px" /></a></p><h2>Key Stats &amp; Facts</h2><ul> <li>Interlagos is anti-clockwise, this makes it harder on the drivers as they are more used to driving clockwise. Only four tracks on the calendar this year are not clockwise.</li> <li>After wrapping up the title, Hamilton is now a six-time F1 champion and that is his 3rd title in a row.</li> <li>We have had five different race winners now since the 2017 season, before that most seasons there was only three or four winners all season long. Two races remain can we hit 6 different winners. I couldn’t find the last time this happened in F1, so it must have been a long time ago.</li> <li>There has been on average 2.3 DNFs in the previous five races of the Brazilian GP.</li> <li>Interlagos has traditionally been one of the last races each season on the F1 Calendar.</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Betting Odds</h2><ul> <li>Lewis Hamilton 7/4</li> <li>Max Verstappen 7/2</li> <li>Valtteri Bottas 9/2</li> <li>Sebastian Vettel 11/2</li> <li>Charles Leclerc 14/1 (Due to grid penalty)</li> <li>Alex Albon 100/1</li> <li>Rest of Field 1000/1+</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Verdict</h2><p>I must admit I am loving the price on Vettel to win this Sunday at 11/2, but I am also very weary of betting Vettel after recent Ferrari performances. Ferrari are due a good race, and with only two races left this season they need to strike sooner or later. In Vettel’s previous five races he has either finished in the top 2 or retired from the race. He also has the most wins of any driver on the current grid at Interlagos with a total of 2 victories. 11/2 each way for Vettel on Sunday is substantial value.</p><p>I have been always one for cheeky bets throughout this F1 season and some have worked out and others have not, I will jump right back in with another cheeky bet this weekend. Leclerc not to be classified at 6/1. My reasoning behind this bet is the fact that he has that 10-place grid penalty, the best he can hope for is to qualify in 10th, but its most likely he might be between 11th and 14th. He could very easily get caught up in in some collisions on the opening lap whilst down that low on the grid. Should he survive the opening lap madness he then has to navigate through the field. Vettel’s car has had some mechanical issues lately and Leclerc seems to have got away with it up until now, maybe this weekend in a hilly, possibly wet Interlagos it could be Leclerc’s turn for some bad luck.</p><p>Verstappen’s Red Bull should go smoothly around this track, he should have won the race last year only for a collision with Estaban Ocon. I would like to be on Verstappen on Sunday but not at the current low odds that he is priced at, 7/2. My advice here is to wait until qualifying is over to possibly try get him at a higher price (5/1 at least) or an in-play bet if he drifts out to 5/1 or better. I do see some small value on betting his teammate Albon to finish on the podium at 8/1, or you could bet him at 100/1 each way.</p><p> </p><h2>Recommended Bets</h2><ul> <li>Sebastian Vettel 7.50 (11/2) with <a href=";a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Unibet Today!">Unitbet</a> 1 unit e/w</li> <li>Alex Albon top 3 finish 9.00 (8/1) with <a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Betfair</a> 0.5 unit</li> <li>Max Verstappen each way at 5/1 or better <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a> 1 unit</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Recommended Fun Bets for Interest</h2><ul> <li>Charles Leclerc to be classified NO 7.00 (6/1) with <a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">William Hill</a> 1 unit</li> <li>Between 16-17 race finishers 3.25 (9/4) with <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a> 1 unit</li></ul></div>
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