Formula 1 French GP Racing Tips: Vettel Seeks Revenge After Last Week’s Injustice

Eric Kelly

Thursday, June 20, 2019 6:36 AM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 20, 2019 6:36 AM UTC

We are only 1/3 way through the season and its looking more likely now than ever that Lewis Hamilton will be crowned world champion for the sixth time, and third time in a row.

<div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>Although Mercedes are running away with 1<sup>st</sup> and 2<sup>nd</sup> in the championship, it hasn’t been all plane sailing. There has been a lot of drama so far this season and Mercedes can credit at least two of their victories with some very good luck. The first was when Charles Leclerc clearly had the Bahrain GP won until his turbo failed with about 10 laps to go. The second was last weekend in Canada when Sebastian Vettel won the race but was penalized with a 5 second penalty, in which he came off the track and back onto it in an “Unsafe” manner; the stewards claimed he blocked Hamilton off, which I disagree with because at the end of the day it’s a race and if Hamilton really wanted to capitalize he should have went on Vettel's outside line and he would have overtaken him, instead he choose the inside line which Vettel was trying to defend and he did successfully. I thought we were racing after all? The penalty allowed Hamilton to win yet another race. His fifth win from a possible seven this season. Current Top 5 in the overall standings for 2019</p><ol> <li> <p><strong>Lewis Hamilton (162 points)</strong></p> </li> <li> <p><strong>Valtteri Bottas (133 points)</strong></p> </li> <li> <p><strong>Sebastian Vettel (100 points)</strong></p> </li> <li> <p><strong>Max Verstappen (88 points)</strong></p> </li> <li> <p><strong>Charles Leclerc (72 points)</strong></p> </li></ol><p>As we can see the domination from Mercedes is just out of this world, it’s impossible to see any other manufacturer win the championship at this stage, and the championship odds reflect this as the best price driver outside of Mercedes is Sebastian Vettel at 25/1, which isn’t a bad price but his realistic chances of coming out on top with 14 races left is more like 50/1 in my opinion. I must admit I do like Valtteri Bottas odds at 6/1 with William Hill to win the championship. They are offering 1/3 of your overall winnings if he finishes second, which looks very likely. There are better prices available with other bookmakers like 13/2 and even 15/2 but these bookies are not offering each way terms.</p><p>The French GP last season was a bit of an exciting race, especially on the opening lap when there were a lot of collisions. Vettel caused a Collison with Bottas and received a 5 second penalty; ruining both drivers chances as both had to head into the pits for repairs. The race saw a lot of overtakes which was good for the sport and Hamilton was eventual winner, starting on pole and leading every lap.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>From 2009 to 2017 there was no French GP on the Fourmula1 calendar</p> </li> <li> <p>Prior to the race last year at the Paul Richard circuit the F1 cars didn’t race on this track since 1990, instead settling for the circuit Magny-Cours from 1991-2008</p> </li> <li> <p>Last year’s race saw a total of 3 DNFs</p> </li></ul><h2><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p><strong>*Lewis Hamilton – Evens</strong></p><p><strong>*Valtteri Bottas - 11/4</strong></p><p><strong>*Sebastian Vettel 9/2</strong></p><p><strong>*Charles Leclerc 7/1</strong></p><p><strong>*Max Verstappen 22/1</strong></p><p><strong>*Pierre Gasly 350/1</strong></p><p><strong>*Rest of Field – 100/1+</strong></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>This is a MUST win race for Bottas, if Hamilton wins this race his chances of turning it around to claim the championship looks very slim, and in saying that I don’t have the confidence in him to win the race and I don’t like his price of 11/4. The one race we did cash in on him winning we got him at around 12/1. He should be around 7/1 at least given Hamilton’s dominance this year and the fact that Ferrari should have two wins. Bookies won’t be caught twice and this is why we get a below par price on Bottas these days. One thing he has proved is his ability to setting fast laps, which we know are extra important this season as they are worth one extra point. He set the fastest lap so far twice this season and also in the French GP last year. If he does not win I really fancy him to set the fastest lap again this time. We can find the best price for this on Betfair at 4/1.</p><p>Young Dutch racer Max Verstappen has been nice and consistent this year. He has finished inside the top 4 six times from a possible 7 and in the top 3 twice. Not bad for a car that’s supposed to be the 5<sup>th</sup> fastest on the grid. He was also runner up here last season and although that was more than likely down to a bit of luck due to the Vettel, Bottas crash. We can’t take that podium away from him or the stats. I would not be surprised to see him on the podium again this Sunday. His best odds for a top 3 finish are available with William Hill at 5/2.</p><p>After last week’s injustice I believe Vettel will want to win badly this Sunday in France. It’s going to be such a hard race to win and I believe he can get the victory but I also believe he might try too hard and maybe end up not even finishing the race. Which is why I have gone for him to win but also as a fun bet for him not to finish just in case my hunch is correct, and also both him winning and not finishing the race are very good prices.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas fastest lap 4/1 Betfair 0.5units</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Max Verstappen top 3 finish 5/2 William Hill 1.5units</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Sebastian Vettel race winner 5/1 Ladbrokes 0.5units each way</strong></em></a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Fun Bets</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Sebastian Vettel not to be classified 13/2 Bet365 0.5units</strong></em></a></p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Both cars to be classified Alfa Romero NO 5/2 Bet365 1unit</strong></em></a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Future Outright Bet</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas outright winner 6/1 William Hill 2U each way</strong></em></a></p></div>
comment here