Formula 1 Germany 2019: Round 11 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Tuesday, July 23, 2019 8:19 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 23, 2019 8:19 PM UTC

Lewis Hamilton seeks hat trick of wins in German GP
<div><h2>Formula 1 Germany GP</h2><p><strong>Sunday, July 27, Track: Hockenheimring</strong></p><p>Last time out in the British GP we finished up on a total of +5.50 units. This was mainly thanks to team Haas being the first car to retire which came in for us at odds of 6.50 (11/2), but we also had the race winner, Lewis Hamilton. We got lucky as it didn’t look like he was going to snatch a victory on the day until he disobeyed team orders and stayed out without coming into the pits, then a safety car was ordered out which gave Hamilton the lead then. Formula1 fans will be excited from the previous two races as they were exciting and enjoyable to watch. Unlike the previous few races beforehand which were very boring and many people were calling the sport dead.</p><p>Last season’s race in the German GP was one of the more exciting races of the season, as we seen a total of six lead changes (this is a lot for Formula 1, usually most races have between one and three lead changes). Sebastian Vettel eventually lost control of his car in light rain and Hamilton went on to take the win. However is wasn’t without its controversy as Hamilton was seen to abort a pit stop late in the race, were he cut across the field to re-join the track which is against FIA rules. In the end he was allowed to keep his race victory. This was the turning point of the season as Hamilton went into 1st place overall and overtook Vettel.</p><p>It’s looking more and more likely that Vettel will leave Ferrari or as some rumours have suggested even retire from Formula1. He hasn’t been on form at all this year, looking out of sorts and all over the place. He finished up in 16th overall position in the previous GP thanks to a minor incident. Although he is beating his young prodigy in the overall standings it’s only by three points. We expect much better from Vettel, considering his experience and knowledge of the Ferrari car. Can he pick his form up towards the back end of the season?</p><p> </p><h2>Key Stats &amp; Facts</h2><ul> <li>The German GP was held in Hockenheimring from 1977 to 2006 with the one exception of 1985.</li> <li>From 2008 to 2014 they changed venues yearly between the Nurburgring and Hockenheimring. It’s now solely held in Hockenheimring.</li> <li>Lewis Hamilton is aiming for his third win in a row at the Hockenheimring</li> <li>There has been on average 3.1 DNFs from the previous three German GPs</li></ul><div> </div><h2>Betting Odds</h2><ul> <li>Lewis Hamilton 4/6</li> <li>Valtteri Bottas 10/3</li> <li>Charles Leclerc 10/1</li> <li>Max Verstappen 10/1</li> <li>Sebastian Vettel 11/1</li> <li>Pierre Gasly 150/1</li> <li>Rest of Field 100/1+</li></ul><p> </p><h2>Verdict</h2><p>As usual its looking very hard to look beyond anybody other than Mercedes this coming Sunday in Germany, the Hockenheimring track should suit their car better than most and their not showing any signs of slowing down or stopping. I see the value this weekend in Valtteri Bottas. He hasn’t won in six races whilst his teammate has won five of them six. This track should suit him but more so it’s about time he snatched a victory seeing as he has the best car on the grid. Bottas still has a chance to win the championship, although he will need a few wins and to hope Hamilton does not score many points or none at all would be even better. We can get Bottas at 7/2 for a win this weekend with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Betfair</a> best priced. I would advise taking these odds now as he has the most pole positions so far this season. His price will drop if he takes pole position. If you think he might take pole position and win the race you can get 4/1 odds at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker!">Bet365</a>.</p><p>We have to ride the form of Max Verstappen again this weekend, strike while the iron is hot. He currently sits 3rd in the overall championship. Although he has only made the podium three times from a potential ten (one of them being a win), he has finished in 4th on five occasion. I think this track might suit the Red Bull car as it’s a kind of similar style to Austria where they were victorious. My bet for Verstappen is to finish on the podium at 10/11 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">William Hill</a>. If you would like to take a chance on him winning, he is available at Bet365 at best priced 10/1. This for me isn’t a high enough risk to reward. I would be looking at 20/1 at the very least to even consider backing Verstappen considering how strong the Mercedes are.</p><p> </p><h2>Recommended Bets</h2><ul> <li><strong>Valtteri Bottas race winner 4.50 (7/2) at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Paddy Power Today!">Paddy Power</a> 0.5units each way</strong></li> <li><strong>Max Verstappen podium finish 1.90 (10/11) at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">William Hill</a> 0.5unit win</strong></li></ul><div><br /><strong>Recommended Fun Bets For Interest</strong></div><ul> <li><strong>Charles Leclerc 5.00 (4/10) at BetVictor 1unit</strong></li></ul></div>
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