Formula1 Hungary: Round 12 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Tuesday, July 30, 2019 8:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 30, 2019 8:01 PM UTC

Sebastian Vettel at 8/1 Looks a Solid Each Way Bet
<div><h2>Formula1 Hungary</h2><p><strong>Sunday, August 5th, Track: Hungaroring</strong></p><p> </p><h2>Preview</h2><p>Its amazing the way this sport, or any sport for that matter can turn on its head and shock the world. Only four races ago people were calling for the sport to be cancelled because it was so boring and predictable. Since that race in France, when Lewis Hamilton won by a whopping eighteen seconds, we have had three of the most exciting races of the season. Red Bull driver Max Verstappen beat the odds and won two of those three races. Coming in at winning odds of 40/1 and 10/1, both of which I suggested in my articles and Twitter account.</p><p>Last time in the German GP we seen a lot of crashes and skids in the wet. Six drivers failed to finish the race, even race winner Verstappen had a moment and spun his car 360 degrees. We also had a lot of impressive drives, Sebastian Vettel started in last position and ended up in 2nd position, Daniil Kvyat managed to get himself onto the podium, which I would estimate was at least 50/1 pre-race. Polish driver Robert Kubica managed his first point all season long finishing in 10th position after both Alfa Romero’s were given 30 seconds time penalty. Kubica to score any points was at odds of around 125/1, that would have been nice. Valtteri Bottas missed a golden opportunity to bridge the gap to Lewis Hamilton in the overall standings, as he was in 4th position and looking like he would finish 2nd at least, whilst Hamilton was way down, sitting outside the points. Luckily for Hamilton, Bottas crashed out of the race on lap 56 of 64. Lewis Hamilton surely has the championship wrapped up now, leading by 47 points.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts</strong></h2><ul> <li>There has been on average 3.2 DNFs in the previous five races at Hungaroring.</li> <li>The Formula 1 calendar has been coming to this track since 1986.</li> <li>There have been seventeen different race winners from a possible thirty-two races.</li> <li>Lewis Hamilton holds the record for the most wins in Hungary, with a total of six victories, his first coming way back in 2007.</li> <li>George Russel is the only driver on the grid yet to score any points this season.</li></ul><h2><br />Betting Odds</h2><ul> <li>Lewis Hamilton 11/10</li> <li>Max Verstappen 10/3</li> <li>Valtteri Bottas 11/2</li> <li>Sebastian Vettel 8/1</li> <li>Charles Leclerc 9/1</li> <li>Pierre Gasly 50/1</li> <li>Lando Norris 750/1</li> <li>Rest of Field 1000/1+</li></ul><p style="text-align:center"><a href=";a=9feaaf7a-d7a2-4185-974a-81ad171951df&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%;height:26px" /></a></p><h2>Verdict</h2><p>It’s hard to see Verstappen keeping up these performances and the bookies have adjusted their prices accordingly from the previous three races. I am shocked to see such low odds on Verstappen this weekend and I am having none of that, Lewis Hamilton still has the fastest car and at 11/10 I’m loving the value. Both races Verstappen won Hamilton hasn’t finished inside the top four. Hamilton hasn’t gone anymore than one race without a win and I fully expect him to keep up this trend. I believe 11/10 to be good value on Hamilton prequalifying. I fully expect him to qualify in the top two and if he gets pole his price will drop a lot more than expected, maybe in and around 4/6. Bottas does have value but judging on his recent form I am choosing to stay away this weekend.</p><p>Although the Ferraris have not been on form lately, its hard to pass up on Vettel getting his first victory of the season after the performance he showed in the last race and at 8/1 you have to think this price is a steal for an each way bet at the very least. He has already proven he likes this track, winning here in two of the previous four races. Ferrari have had a mixed season, on one hand they should have at least three wins, on the other their car has underperformed a lot more than expected and also on tracks people thought they would be fast, they really need a win to lift their team morale.</p><p>Charles Leclerc to get pole position is a really nice price at 8/1 with Ladbrokes. This track in Hungary should suit his driving style and are like the two tracks in which he qualified on pole earlier in the season. Those were at the Austrian GP and Bahrain GP.</p><p><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></p><ul> <li><strong>Sebastian Vettel 9.00 (8/1) at <a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Betfair</a> 1unit each way</strong></li> <li><strong>Lewis Hamilton race winner 2.20 (11/10) at <a href=";a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with Paddy Power">Paddy Power </a>1unit</strong></li> <li><strong>Charles Leclerc to qualify on pole 9.00 (8/1) at <a href=";a=b4150791-892f-469b-9b6a-7dfc6df0fb07&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Ladbrokes</a> 0.5 unit</strong></li></ul><div><strong>Recommended Fun Bets for Interest</strong></div><ul> <li><strong>Number of race finishers over 17.5 2.20 (11/10) at Sky Bet 1.5unit</strong></li> <li><strong>Grid position of race winner 3rd or 4th 7.00 (6/1) at <a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in game with William Hill!">William Hill</a> 1unit</strong></li></ul></div>
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