Formula1 Mexican GP: Round 18 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Wednesday, October 23, 2019 2:02 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2019 2:02 PM UTC

A top ten finish for hometown hero Sergio Perez is on the cards in Mexico this weekend.

<div><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Formula1 Mexican GP</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Sunday, October 27th, Track: Autodromo Hermanos Rodriquez</strong></p><p> </p><h2>Preview</h2><p>We took a big hit last time out at the Japanese GP, as all the picks were based around a typhoon hitting the area and having a wet race at the very least. Ultimately with an 80% chance of rain we ended up having a dry race with the sun shining. Finish driver Valtteri Bottas was the eventual winner of the race, denying teammate Lewis Hamilton from winning the championship. Hamilton will eventually end up as champion but for how long can Bottas keep him honest.</p><p>We are just four races away from the end of another f1 season, this weekend the circus of Formula 1 will hit Mexico city. The Mexican GP has been back on the calendar since 2016 and always has a massive turnout for hometown hero Sergio Perez (currently the only Mexican driver in F1.</p><p>The Battle for third is still in full swing and it’s the most exciting part of the championship right now. We have two Ferrari drivers who are fighting tooth and nail for the top spot in the team right now, Sebastian Vettel racking up 212 championship points whilst teammate Charles Leclerc has 221. Wedged in the middle is Red Bull driver Max Verstappen, also on 212 points. All three drivers have a chance to finish 3rd in the championship. Verstappen will want this more as he has finished 4th in the last two seasons and never the top 3 of the championship.</p><p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=168&amp;a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3"><img alt src="https://images-production-euw2-753931602578.s3.amazonaws.com/5d582dcf927b95968483da5f/original-10-bet-new-customer-welcome-bonus" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2>Key Stats &amp; Facts</h2><p>· This is only the 5th race at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriquez circuit since it was revamped in 2016. Before this F1 last raced on this track back in 1992.</p><p>· The drivers have a section of the track at turn 12, which drives directly through a baseball stadium. It is one of the nicest features of the track.</p><p>· The circuit is 2,200 metres above sea level, which is the highest in the f1 calendar. The second highest track above sea level is the Brazil GP, which is only 800 metres above sea level.</p><p>· Due to the race being so high above sea level there are some small issues the teams must face throughout the weekend. The main ones are less downforce and the cars are much harder to cool down because there is less oxygen.</p><p> </p><h2>Betting Odds</h2><p>· Charles Leclerc 2/1</p><p>· Lewis Hamilton 13/5</p><p>· Sebastian Vettel 7/2</p><p>· Max Verstappen 4/1</p><p>· Valtteri Bottas 17/2</p><p>· Alex Albon 50/1</p><p>· Rest of Field 1000/1+</p><p> </p><h2>Verdict</h2><p>I can resist not having a bet on Perez to finish in the top ten at odd of 6/4, everything is in our favour with this bet. He has races at this track four times and finished in the top ten on three of those occasions, the race he didn’t finish in the top ten he had a mechanical failure. On top of this he is in top form right now for Racing Point, finishing in the top ten in four out of his last five races, again the race he didn’t finish in the top ten was also a mechanical failure. Take Perez to finish in the top ten here in his home grand prix.</p><p>This weekend I won’t be having a bet on any of the race winners, as I just find this situation way to hard to call and theirs no real value on anybody. Any of the top five drivers could win this Sunday. If you must have a bet on the winner just for interest In the race, then Valtteri Bottas is the obvious choice at odds of around 8/1. I do give Vettel a slight edge of winning this weekend, but I am not loving the price, its not bad but we could get a little better. Another angle to look at is betting the grid position of the winning driver to be 3rd or 4th and hope Vettel qualifies in one of these positions. This bet has come very close to winning on the last two occasions in Mexico, lets hope for 3rd time lucky.</p><p>Finally, we are going to take the winning margin of the race winner to be 8 or more seconds at odds of 15/8. This has occurred on three of the previous four races at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriquez circuit. I am not sure why this trend happens so much here, I would harbour a guess its to do with the high altitude in some shape or form, or it could just be down to poor team strategies. Either way we will take both situations.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><ul> <li>Sergio Perez top ten finish 2.50 (6/4) 2u at <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Well Rated Bookmaker">William Hill</a></li> <li>Grid position of winning driver 3rd or 4th 5.50 (9/2) 1u with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with PaddyPower">Paddy Power</a></li> <li>Winning margin over 8 seconds 2.88 (15/8) 1u at<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Bookmaker"> Betfair</a></li></ul><div> </div><div> </div><h2><strong>Recommended Fun Bets for Interest</strong></h2><ul> <li>Renault both cars to be classified NO 2.50 (6/4) 1u at<a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place your bets with Bet365"> Bet365</a></li> <li>First car retirement Toro Rosso 6.50 (11/2) 1u with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Betway!">Betway</a></li></ul></div>
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