Formula 1 Monaco GP: Can Mercedes be knocked off their perch in the famous Monte Carlo street race?

Eric Kelly

Thursday, May 23, 2019 7:42 AM UTC

Thursday, May. 23, 2019 7:42 AM UTC

After the usual bore fest in Catalonia, we finally head to a track with some character and awe. The history of Formula1 is in this track. Its inaugural race was in 1929 but its official F1 race was in 1950.

<div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>A quick look at the previous race: As usual it was a Mercedes 1<sup>st</sup> and 2<sup>nd</sup>. Max Verstappen did really well to finish ahead of both Ferrari drivers and finish 3<sup>rd</sup>. A bit of a shocker was both Daniil Kyvat and Romain Grosjean didn’t crash and they both finished inside the point positions (top 10). Both Renault cars managed to finish the race without any technical failures, which is a good sign. Hamilton also managed to get his first fastest lap of the race this season, which is worth an extra point this year to the driver who sets the fastest lap during the race.</p><p>In the past this is the sort of track that the Mercedes car was not the dominant one. It was usually between Red Bull and Ferrari, but this year they seem to have the fastest car all around. A tight street circuit like this should be no problem for the Mercedes drivers on Sunday and its going to take a major shock like both of their drivers crashing out if anyone else wants the chance to win.</p><p>As we feared it looks like it’s going to be a shootout between Hamilton and teammate Valtteri Bottas for the championship this year. Mercedes have finished 1<sup>st</sup> and 2<sup>nd</sup> in every race so far this year. As it currently stands Hamilton is seven points ahead of his teammate for the championship. It’s up to Bottas to take the fight to Hamilton and this is the perfect track to set that tone. They are also running away with the constructor’s championship, they currently have 217 points while Ferrari is in second with 121.</p><p>A special mention for Formula1 legend Niki Lauda who sadly passed away this week. He won the f1 world championship 3 times and was also a winner at the Monaco GP on two occasions.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>Aryton Senna has 6 victories in Monaco, the most of any driver. Both Graham Hill and Michael Schumacher are in second with 5 wins each respectively.</p> </li> <li> <p>McLaren are the outright manufacture winner in Monaco with an astonishing 15 wins, in second are Ferrari with 10.</p> </li> <li> <p>There is on average 4 DNFs from the past 5 races in Monaco.</p> </li> <li> <p>A very interesting fact that I like from this season so far: Out of a potential 50 DNFs from the top ten drivers placed in the overall standings, there has only been two. Pierre Gasly in Azerbaijan and Lando Norris in Catalonia.</p> </li></ul><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Lewis Hamilton – 5/4</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Valtteri Bottas – 5/2</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Max Verstappen – 7/2</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Charles Leclerc – 16/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Sebastian Vettel – 16/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Pierre Gasly – 16/1</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>*Rest of Field -1000/1 +</strong></em></p><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>It’s IMPOSSIBLE to look beyond either Mercedes driver winning on Sunday in Monte Carlo. Both drivers have be trading blows with victories. Bottas has won on two street circuits this year (Melbourne and Baku) whilst Hamilton has taken the honours at the tradition race tracks. For this reason I am betting Bottas to get one up on his teammate at another street circuit. If the tight tracks are his specialty well he will really want to win this weekend because there are no more street races for eight races after Monaco. If you’re thinking Hamilton will get pole I would then wait and bet him at an even better price if he starts second but this is such a tight track and almost impossible to overtake so whoever gets pole position should win.</p><p>Renault has had an absolute shocking start to the year but on the bright side both drivers managed to finish the last race. I am definitely going out on a limb here with this bet but Daniel Riccardo has an exceptional record at this track and also won here last year driving for Red Bull. I feel this is the race that will kick start Renault and Riccardo’s season.</p><p>Although I think Mercedes will win the race I still believe Red Bull has a lot of peace around this track and I like Verstappen to set the fastest lap of the race at 9/2 with William Hill. If you feel like Ferrari or even Verstappen might pull off miracle in Monaco, Betway are offering grid position 3<sup>rd</sup> or 4<sup>th</sup> to be race winner at 4/1. Obviously we will have to see how qualifying ends but you would imagine a Red Bull and Ferrari will be starting in them grid positions.</p><p>I have decided to separate my real bets for this race (and future races) from my fun bets for the race. This way theirs something there for the serious betters and the people who like to have a small bet on something fun for the race for some interest.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas race winner 5/2 <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Bet365</a> 1 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Max Verstappen fastest lap 9/2 <a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">William Hill</a> 1 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Daniel Riccardo top 6 finish 9/4 <a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betway</a> 0.5 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Mercedes double podium finish 4/5 <a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betway</a> 1.5 unit</strong></em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Recommended Fun Bets For Interest </strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Either Ferrari driver not to finish the race NO 5/1 <a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="F1 Betting Odds">Betway</a> 0.5 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Daniil Kyvat not to classify 6/4 <a href=";a=df66db4b-b019-4343-9fc7-6c4f20e2a356&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="F1 Betting Odds">Paddy Power</a> 1 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>Nico Hulkenberg not to classify 6/4 <a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Formula 1 Betting Odds">Betfair</a> 0.5 unit</strong></em></p><p style="text-align:center"><em><strong>First team to retire Haas 13/2 <a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="F1 Betting Odds">Betway</a> 0.5 unit</strong></em></p></div>
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