Formula 1 Russian GP: Round 16 Preview and Best Bets

Eric Kelly

Wednesday, September 25, 2019 5:56 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 25, 2019 5:56 PM UTC

Ferrari Are Now The Top Dogs In Formula 1, Can Mercedes Keep Up Their 100% Sochi Record?

<div><h2><strong>Formula1 Sochi GP</strong></h2><p><strong>Sunday, September 29th, Track: Sochi Autodrom</strong></p><div><h2><strong>Preview</strong></h2><p>Sebastian Vettel finally came through with a win last time out in Singapore, his teammate Charles Leclerc took second place whilst Max Verstappen finished third. It’s the first time all season that both Mercedes drivers have finished a race together and not made the top three, neither made the top three in the German GP either but on that occasion Valtteri Bottas crashed out of the race. Vettel will be more than pleased to have won that race and prove all his doubters wrong. Its clear Ferrari have the better car right now. Mercedes won the first eight races of the year but were handed two of those victories due to Ferrari car breakdowns and driver penalties.</p><p>The battle for third is officially on now with six races left, Leclerc and Verstappen have 200 championship points and Vettel has 194. I feel at this stage of the season that Leclerc will most likely finish in third, he is in top form right now and the best driver on the grid. Nevertheless, he is still in a battle for third and I hope this last until the end of the season.</p><p>Leclerc has been compared to F1 legend Michael Schumacher this week in the media, this praise is coming off the back of his recent performances. He has come out and said he is not happy with the comparison as he feels he is nowhere near Schumacher in terms of trophies and race wins, and he is 100% correct.</p><h2><strong>Key Stats &amp; Facts </strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>Lewis Hamilton has gone three races without a victory, the last time this happened was 30 races ago, at the start of the 2018 season.</p> </li> <li> <p>There have only been five races at the Sochi street circuit in F1 history. Mercedes were triumphant on all five occasions.</p> </li> <li> <p>There has been on average 3.1 DNFs in the previous five races in Sochi.</p> </li> <li> <p>Vittel’s win last time out in Singapore was his first in 392 days.</p> </li></ul><p><a href=";a=4417b7df-a48f-47f3-9b45-f79858bc083a&amp;f=3" target="_blank"><img alt src="" style="width:100%" /></a></p><h2><strong>Betting Odds</strong></h2><ul> <li> <p>Lewis Hamilton 7/4</p> </li> <li> <p>Charles Leclerc 9/4</p> </li> <li> <p>Sebastian Vettel 3/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Valtteri Bottas 6/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Max Verstappen 20/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Alex Albon 100/1</p> </li> <li> <p>Rest of Field 1000/1+</p> </li></ul><h2><strong>Verdict</strong></h2><p>I feel the Ferrari’s car package is by far better than Mercedes right now. They have the new superstar on the grid in Leclerc, who is winning races at ease lately and is the fastest driver now during the second half of the season. Has Hamilton took his foot off the peddle (metaphorically not literally) in the second half of the season? Yes, I would say he has due to his massive lead at the top of the championship. He is 65 points ahead of teammate Bottas and 96 ahead of Leclerc and Verstappen. In believing Hamilton has gotten careless I still feel Ferrari and Leclerc would be winning races right now even if Hamilton was in a fight for the championship. So, I believe Ferrari will stay winning this weekend and for either of their drivers to take the race win we can get 4/5 with Betfred right now. I feel both Ferrari drivers are too low of a price to bet on individually so I will take a worse market price and stick more units on it and cover either of them taking home the win in Russia.</p><p>Mercedes have never been beaten in Sochi, but they did have the best car and drivers on all five occasions. They’re not miles slower than the Ferrari’s and they will come to compete. I have a small edge on Bottas to finish qualifying in first place and claim pole position. He finished on pole last year and won the race back in 2017. He is quick here and it suits his driving style, remember his race win this year in Azerbaijan? well this track has a very similar layout. 10/1 for him to take pole on Saturday evening and I can’t not have some action at this price. I believe he should be valued at around 11/2.</p><h2><strong>Recommended Bets</strong></h2><p><a href=";a=1ba923f3-5341-4bda-b457-0138ac61ae7a&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Winning team Ferrari 1.80 (4/5) with Betfred 3 units</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=a710bfac-73c1-4a57-b441-2caf1b9f397b&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas to qualify on pole position 11.00 (10/1) with William Hill 0.5 unit</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Number of finishers under 16.5 2.25 (5/4) with Betfair 1 unit</strong></em></a></p><h2><strong>Recommended Fun Bets for Interest </strong></h2><p><a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Haas first team retirement 7.00 (6/1) with Betway 1 unit</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Valtteri Bottas race winner 6.50 (11/2) with Betfair 0.5 unit</strong></em></a></p><p><a href=";a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="UFC Betting Odds"><em><strong>Romain Grosjean not to finish 3.25 (9/4) with Betfair 1 unit</strong></em></a></p></div></div>
comment here