Ferrari have the momentum after Silverstone success and Hockenheim gives them a great chance to open gap.
<p>Last week we talked up the prospects of Sebastien Vettel landing the World Championship title this season at odds-against. We felt it was his to win with Ferrari building momentum and Mercedes fuming and frustrated. Lewis Hamilton is in a funk and that’s never a good sign.</p><p>Ahead of the German Grand Prix on Sunday our view has not changed and Vettel could take a giant step forward by doing something Hamilton failed to do – winning his home race. Hockenheim will host its first Grand Prix for two years and the portents are good that the home faithful will cheer home their hero.</p><p>Chiefly, Mercedes and Hamilton are having issues. The British driver was furious after he missed out on the podium at Silverstone and we don’t like to be with favourites whose heads are hotter than their engines in F1. Hamilton is 13/8 jolly with William Hill and Ladbrokes, a price surely dictated by the patriotic pound.</p><p>The successful driver has to be in an almost Zen-like state. Victory – not to mention safety – depend on it. Gripes and conundrums can affect that calm manner and it is perhaps why Hamilton and a gung-ho mindset took a hit early on in the British GP which cost him. The Mercedes team have struggled horribly with technical issues and strategy calls recently. Austria was a disaster for them and there was even criticism after Silverstone.</p><p>By contrast, Ferrari have grown into the title race. It is now believed their tinkering with the engine gives them the most powerful machine on the grid. And Mercedes, grudgingly, admit that in private. That’s pretty significant.</p><p>Of course, it’s not all about the engine. But when Mercedes have been making the wrong calls and therefore upsetting Hamilton, their greatest asset, it is pretty easy to get with Vettel. His two wins in Canada and Britain came on tracks that were supposed to be shoo-ins for the Mercedes team.</p><p>Ferrari have a good record at Hockenheim. Eleven of their 21 triumphs at the German Grand Prix have been there – a circuit record – and they have also scored the last three one-two finishes at the track (1999, 2006 and 2010).</p><p>Vettel doesn’t have a strong record, though. Despite being only 28 miles from his hometown he has never managed a top-two finish. A 20-second penalty dropped him from second to fifth in 2012.</p><p>Still, the 7/4 <a href="https://a.bookmakersreview.com/record/v?c=132&a=87e126f9-4229-4364-9464-7fbff2763146&f=2">with William Hill</a> shouts value and with Vettel and Ferrari enjoying their time in the slipstream he can make history.</p>