Giro d'Italia Stage 13 Cycling Betting Tips: Pinerolo - Ceresole Reale (188KM)

Ian O'Sullivan

Thursday, May 23, 2019 9:18 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 23, 2019 9:18 PM UTC

Ian O'Sullivan @CyclingBetting takes us through the Giro d'Italia Stage 13 route through Cuneo, Pinerolo and offers his best tips. 
<div><h2>Giro d'Italia Stage 13</h2><p><strong>Pinerolo - Ceresole Reale<br />Friday 24th May, 188km</strong></p><p>This is a proper mountain stage with two big climbs in the middle of the course, and a finish that tops out at 2,247m in altitude. We will get a strong break go, but I've a feeling this will be a GC day, and that the GC teams will fancy hammering it up that final climb in order to test out their rivals.</p><h2>The Route</h2><p>This high mountain stage features 3 tough categorised summits: Colle del Lys first, then the Pian del Lupo climb just above Cuorgné/Castellamonte, and the final Colle del Nivolet climb, leading all the way to Lago Serrù. The route takes the renewed “old road”, with steep gradients topping out at 14/15%.</p><p>The final climb to Lago Serru is one hell of an end to a very tough stage. The climb starts immediately after they hit the bottom of the Lupo, and goes on for 44kms in total, including the false flat of 5kms about half way up, so all in all, they are climbing for some 39kms, one of the longest climbs in any Grand Tour.</p><p><img alt src="" style="width:600px;height:337px" /></p><p><img alt src="" style="width:600px;height:618px" /></p><h2>Contenders and Favourites</h2><p>It could be very close tomorrow between the break making it or this becoming a GC day. I think I just about favour the GC men fighting out this one, I think the break will not be given the room they were given today, UAE, Astana, M-S and Movistar will see to that I think.</p><p>I will start by going straight into it, I think <strong>Miguel Angel Lopez</strong> wins tomorrow - he was very strong today, he is clearly desperate to make back time he has lost and he will love this finish. I can see him attacking with 4-5kms to go and not many being able to go with him. And if it comes down to a small group of favourites sprinting it out for the win, he'd be one of my favourites to take it.</p><p><strong>Simon Yates</strong> had good support today, Esteban Chaves and Lucas Hamilton did a great job for him. But he himself didn't seem to have the legs to be able to go after Landa and Lopez, or maybe he's just remembering what happened last year and is playing the long game. Who knows, maybe he has his eye on this one tomorrow, a stage that does look pretty suited to him, especially if Chaves and Hamilton blow things apart on the final climb.</p><p>Mitchelton Scott have reconned every single climb in this Giro according to their Directeur Sportif Matty White, maybe it is that Yates isn't 100% and Chaves might be given the green light to attack tomorrow. Either he can get away as all the others let him go and watch Yates, or make the others work hard to bring him back and Yates counters.</p><p><strong>Nibali</strong> might throw in a few attacks, if he's anything like when he was at the Tour of the Alps, but will he be able to get away? Well he couldn't get away from Sivakov and TGH there, doubt he'll get away from these guys. <strong>Mikel Landa</strong> is another who could go well here too, but I think he would prefer a tougher stage, with a slightly easier last section to the climb.</p><p>And what about <strong>Primoz Roglic</strong>? Well he opened 14/1, he's now 10/1, he's clearly fancied by some to go out there and lay down a marker tomorrow on the first summit finish. It worries me how isolated he was today so early in the climb though, I have a feeling that we could see Astana and Movistar try isolate Roglic ahead of an all-out assault on the final climb. It might be that he goes in to defensive mode and just get to the finish with, or as close to the winner as he can.</p><p>Movistar have a few cards to play too of course, with<strong> Richard Carapaz</strong> one that I like for this too. He was going well today but sat in with the leaders as Landa was up the road, he got an easy, armchair ride compared to some of the other guys. If they are watching Landa, Carapaz could do what he did on stage 4 and skip away from them at the end, he does seem to be one of the quickest at finishing off a stage. 14/1 each way will do for me.</p><p><strong>Davide Formolo</strong> struggled today and wasn't able to go with the top guys, will we see him bounce back tomorrow? I don't want to pay to find out at just 16/1. I'm also going to rule out everyone that was in the break today, that was a tough stage and they will be taking a break tomorrow I think. Ciccone is too short, Masnada, Cattaneo or Nieve might have a go in the break, but I don't think the break will win tomorrow.</p><p><strong>Lopez</strong> looked good today, I think he'll really fancy trying to claw back more time tomorrow, and Carapaz might be another who will manage to get away in the last part to fight it out for the win. Chaves could also be involved if Yates isn't up for it, but I think we'll wait and see how they play it tomorrow before thinking about whether to back Chaves another time.</p><h2>Recommendations:</h2><p><strong>1pt win on MA Lopez at 5/1 with <a href=";a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Betway Cycling Odds">Betway</a></strong></p><h2>Matchbets:</h2><p><strong>Majka to beat Zakarin and Sivakov to beat Kangert - 2pts at evens <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet 365 Cycling Odds">Bet365</a></strong></p><p><strong>Richard Carapaz to beat Simon Yates – 2pts at 6/5 <a href=";a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet 365 Cycling Odds">Bet365</a></strong></p><p> </p></div>
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