Giro d'Italia Stage 17 Cycling Betting Tips: Commezzadura - Anterselva (181KM)

Ian O'Sullivan

Tuesday, May 28, 2019 8:46 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 28, 2019 8:46 PM UTC

Ian O'Sullivan @CyclingBetting takes us through the Giro d'Italia Stage 17 route through Commezzadura, Anterselva and offers his best tips.
<div><h2>Giro d'Italia Stage 17</h2><p><strong>Commezzadura - Anterselva<br />Wed. 29th May, 181kms</strong></p><p>Another day of climbing, following on from that monster stage 16, and although this stage looks a lot easier on paper, there is still a summit finish to contend with on the final 30km climb to Anterselva.</p><h2>The Route</h2><p>After the start, the route descends slightly along the Val di Sole, up to Passo della Mendola (Mendel Pass), which averages just 4,5% for 8.4kms. The course drops down into Bolzano, climbs up the Eisack Valley, rolls past Bressanone and then reaches the Puster Valley. They then head towards the Natz climb (3.4kms at 7.6%) and Terenten climb (6.6kms at 7.6%), before the long, closing ascent leading to Antholz (Biathlon stadium).</p><p>The final categorised part of the climb to Antholz averages 6.9% for 5.5kms, but as the last kilometre is flat to downhill, the average for the climbing part is actually 8.5% for 4kms, a pretty tough finish to the stage. The race enters the cross-country skiing track at the Biathlon stadium, descends a little bit through a tunnel under the road and then enters the stadium to a 110m home straight.</p><p><img alt src="https://s27394.pcdn.co/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/G19_T17_Anterselva_alt.jpg" style="width:600px;height:343px;" /></p><h2>Contenders</h2><p>So we had a hell of a battle today with the big break of the day making it all the way again, but this time the Astana man came out the wrong side of a two-up sprint. Ciccone and Hirt were brilliant, even dropping Nieve, Caruso and Masnada on the Mortirolo to give themselves enough of a buffer to fight out the stage win.</p><p>So it didn't turn out to be a GC day after all and a lot of them left a lot out on the road today. Not only the team leaders, but a lot of the domestiques had a pretty tough day too. So much so that I think there might be a bit of a truce in the peloton tomorrow and we could see the break being given a far bigger amount of lee-way. Lots of guys were totally frozen and broken looking at the end of that stage, Roglic looked a shell as he warmed down.</p><p>So we need to pick strong guys who can make the break and then are good enough climbers to be able to hang on and push for the win at the end of the day. Eddie Dunbar is one that will always be front of my thoughts, and even more so this Giro as he is going so well. He sits in 22nd in the GC, but is far enough down not to trouble anyone. He will have no problem through the day's climbing and will like this finish more than the flat sprint.</p><p>Astana will be keen to get men in the break though I'd say, now that Miguel Angel Lopez's challenge is all but dead, it's unlikely he'll even make the podium now, he's been very disappointing. They have been firing men up the road a lot lately, with Cataldo winning on Sunday and Hirt coming second today. Maybe it's time for <strong>Ion Izagirre</strong> to try to take another stage for them and gain some time back in the team competition in the process.</p><p><strong>Thomas de Gendt</strong> might finally fancy it, he finished only 18 minutes down today, so was still going pretty well, he finished in the same group as <strong>Bob Jungels</strong>, <strong>Francesco Gavazzi</strong> and four other Androni men, <strong>Larry Warbasse</strong> and <strong>Esteban Chaves</strong>. All of which could be fancies to give it a go tomorrow, kept their powder dry a little today, but still showing they have good legs to finish over a half an hour ahead of the autobus. Larry Warbasse's captain <strong>Tony Gallopin</strong> abandoned today, so he will have more freedom to try something tomorrow, and at a price like 200/1 he's worth a nibble.</p><p><strong>Gianluca Brambilla</strong> will be given a bit of freedom tomorrow I think, now that Bauke Mollema is also unlikely to finish on the podium. If they expect a calmer day GC-wise, then Mollema will be ok in the peloton, if it kicks off it would be good to have Brambilla up in the break. That finish would suit him well too and the team are buzzing after Giulio Ciccone's stage win today.</p><p>As for the GC men? Well if it comes back together, look for <strong>Simon Yates, Primoz Roglic</strong> and <strong>Miguel Angel Lopez</strong> to be looking to try to take some time back after that tough day they had today, and <strong>Vincenzo Nibali</strong> says tonight that he's going to have to come up with something a bit different to try to beat <strong>Richard Carapaz</strong> - what will that be we wonder.. <strong>Bauke Mollema</strong> might like this finish too, it's not the toughest and he could sneak away while the others look at each other. But I think they will be fighting it out for minor honours, possibly for little time gaps, but not the stage win tomorrow.</p><p>The darts are going to be thrown at the candidates below, hopefully we'll get a few in the break to give us a bit of excitement for the afternoon. If it looks like coming back together look to back Simon Yates in play, he might be able to sprint away from the GC guys watching each other in the run in to the finish.</p><h2>Recommendations:</h2><p><strong>0.5pts e/w on Eddie Dunbar at 33/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet365 Odds">Bet365</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.5pts e/w on Gianluca Brambilla at 28/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Unibet Odds">Unibet</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.5pts e/w on Ion Izagirre at 22/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet365 Odds">Bet365</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.5pts win on Davide Formolo at 16/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=bf7f64f4-cd67-4904-9b00-6ded1d41fd18&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Bet365 Odds">Bet365</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.25pts win on Larry Warbasse at 400/1 <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=4fd3c129-b898-4816-9a61-9f7e8f34295a&amp;f=1" target="_blank" title="Unibet Odds">Unibet</a></strong></p></div>
comment here