Giro d'Italia Stage 18 Cycling Betting Tips: Valdaora - Santa Maria di Sala (222KM)

Ian O'Sullivan

Wednesday, May 29, 2019 9:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 29, 2019 9:09 PM UTC

Ian O'Sullivan @CyclingBetting takes us through the Giro d'Italia Stage 18 route through Valdaora, Santa Maria di Sala and offers his best tips.

<div><p>After two tough days of climbing the riders will be glad to hear that this stage is almost totally downhill! Bar a couple of bumps they are basically descending from the 30km mark, all the way to the finish, 190kms later!</p><h2>Giro d'Italia Stage 18</h2><p><strong>Valdaora - Santa Maria di Sala<br />Thursday 30th May, 222kms</strong></p><p>A much-needed 'rest' day for the peloton with the last two stages in their legs and with the climax of this race still to come in the days ahead.</p><p>But will it be a day for the break to make it all the way as the GC teams rest their legs, or will we see the sprinters teams, for the sprinters that are still left, work to make it a sprint at the end of the day? It is the last chance for the sprinters after all.</p><h2>The Route</h2><p>A climb right from the flag drop for 30kms, but it's a nothing hill really, averaging just 1.3%. From the top, they start an enormous descent that lasts most of the day, bar a few little bumps along the way. With 114kms gone they go over the Pieve di Alpago, a Cat 4 climb just 4kms long, and bar a few other small bumps in the next 40kms it's downhill all the way to the flat last 40kms.</p><p>The roads in the finale are wide and dead straight, with just a sharp left-hander with just under 2kms to go to contend with.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><img alt src="https://www.procyclingstats.com/images/profiles/ap/cb/giro-d-italia-2019-stage-18-profile-31b446abb2.jpg" style="width:700px;height:313px;" /></p><h2>Contenders</h2><p>It could be a day for the sprinters, it should be a day for the sprinters, but with Arnaud Démare and Pascal Ackermann the only proper sprinters left in the race, who's going to chase the break? For the breakers/rouleurs it's one of the last chances they have as the next two stages are pretty tough mountain stages and Sunday is a TT.</p><p>So I expect a big battle for the break today among the strong guys of the peloton and we could see a decent break of some 10-15 guys go up the road. With lots of teams represented, then there is a chance of them not being brought back, as there will be even less teams willing to chase the break.</p><p>Back to break picks then. Expect the Italian Pro-Conti teams to be involved, could be their last chance to take a stage win. Androni will be keen to get a few men in it, <strong>Manuel Belletti</strong> is one of the 'best of the rest' here. He has finished 5th, 7th, 8th and 10th in sprints so he should now be challenging for that 3rd podium spot realistically.</p><p>Bardiani will also be desperate to get some men in the break, they are way behind in terms of success rate compared to Androni, they've barely been seen all Giro. <strong>Paolo Simion</strong> was 7th on stage 5, but didn't really feature in any of the other sprints.</p><p>Then we need to look at some rouleurs who will fancy a hit out ahead of the mountains, the guys who might fancy the TT on the final day might also fancy a hit out to test the legs before the weekend, <strong>Jos Van Emden</strong> and <strong>Victor Campanaerts</strong> are two who might fancy a good training session - of the two, I'd prefer to be on JVE at 500/1, it's a huge price if Primoz Roglic gives him the nod to go, although I might have a small bet on Campa too at 40/1.</p><p><strong>Chad Haga</strong> and <strong>Luke Durbridge</strong> are two more diesel engines who will possibly fancy a day in the break, if either of them get in it, they will be very hard to pull back, and Durbridge might have the skills to get away towards the end of the day. At 80/1, why not have a small nibbble on him - <strong>Esteban Chaves</strong> was given the nod today to go today, Durbridge might be given the nod tomorrow.</p><p><strong>Pieter Serry</strong> tried to get in the break today, he missed out, but with Elia Viviani gone home and no sprinter left for them, maybe <strong>Pieter Serry</strong> or <strong>Florian Senechal</strong> might try to go in the break. Senechal is only 25/1, so he is clearly fancied by more than me, but I'd rather be on Serry at the prices, he's 125/1.</p><p>I think it's touch and go between break and sprint though, and if it comes to a sprint, <strong>Arnaud Démare</strong> is a solid pick I think, he'll have a better leadout than <strong>Pascal Ackermann</strong> and has looked stronger than Ackers in recent days, he seems to be coming to the end of the race in good shape. The Points jersey is his for the taking too if he can just finish ahead of Ackermann in the sprint, he really can't be caught by anyone else, it will take <strong>Richard Carapaz</strong> winning three of the remaining stages to overhaul him.</p><h2>Recommendations:</h2><p><strong>0.2pts win on Jos Van Emden at 500/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Betway Today!">Betway</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.2pts win on Pieter Serry at 125/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Betway Today!">Betway</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.3pts win on Luke Durbridge at 80/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Betway Today!">Betway</a></strong></p><p><strong>0.3pts win on Victor Campanaerts at 40/1 with <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=150&amp;a=3e56a0bf-7bdf-4fe1-b9a6-d22c7cc3dd2c&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Join Betway Today!">Betway</a></strong></p><p><strong>2pts win on Arnaud Démare at 2/1 or so on <a href="https://a.oddsmarket.com/record/v?c=153&amp;a=8ec6399a-9df1-4c52-b272-39e6428836a6&amp;f=1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="A+ Rated Bookmaker!">Betfair</a> when the market opens.</strong></p></div>
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